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Jan-Lennard Struff - Carlos Alcaraz
ATP Madrid Open
Tue, 30.04.2024 – 5:00 PM GMT+3
our tip:
Over 2.5 Sets

Jan-Lennard Struff vs Carlos Alcaraz prediction

German number 2 Jan-Lennard Struff made light work of Spain’s Jaume Munar in his opening Madrid battle before upsetting Frenchman Ugo Humbert in round two in straight sets of 7-5, 6-4. This win set him up for a repeat of last year’s final at this very tournament which he lost to Carlos Alcaraz. He has struggled to replicate that performance in subsequent tournaments. This year alone, he has lost in the third round at Indian Wells, Miami and Monte Carlo. He will be hoping to rekindle the magic from last year here

Third-seeded and reigning champion Carlos Alcaraz is hoping to get back to the mountaintop after coming back from an injury that has limited not just his appearances but also his performances this season. He kicked off this tournament with an emphatic win over Alexander Shevchenko and followed it up with another straight-sets win over Brazil’s Thiago Seyboth Wild in round three, even after getting a bit sloppy at the end. The champ remains on course for a terrific Madrid three-peat and is on a 13-match winning streak at the ATP 1000 tournament

There were some signs at the end of that match against Seyboth Wild that Alcaraz could still be less than 100% fit. He withheld his ferocious forehands, opting to attack the net and execute drop shots. This could open the door for Struff to fancy his chances and attack that forehand side more. We fancy an exciting encounter here and we are backing it to go the full length with at least 3 sets played

Tip: Over 2.5 Sets

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Head-to-Head stats Jan-Lennard Struff vs Carlos Alcaraz prediction

Alcaraz leads 2-1 in the H2H matchups

Latest results Jan-Lennard Struff

  • Won his last 5 straight matches
  • 13-8 win-loss record this season
  • He defeated Ugo Humbert 2-0 (7-5 6-4) in the 3rd round

Latest results Carlos Alcaraz

  • 4 Wins and a loss in his last 5 matches
  • 17-4 win-loss record this season
  • Beat Thiago Seyboth Wild 2-0 (6-3 6-3) in the 3rd round

ATP Rankings

  • Ranking from: Mon, 29.04.2024
  • Jan-Lennard Struff : # 24
  • Carlos Alcaraz: # 3
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Our tip and odds in detail

According to the statistics above and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following:

Bet on Over 2.5 Sets

1xBet offers the best odds for the bet “Over 2.5 Sets
The odd of 1.87 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 53% chance that this match will have at least 3 total sets played

Odds comparison for Over 2.5 Sets

1xBet – odd 1.87
Betwinner – odd 1.85

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