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Dortmund - PSG
Champions League
Wed, 13.12.2023 – 11:00 PM GMT+3
our main tip:
Correct Score 1-1

Dortmund vs PSG prediction

Borussia Dortmund will look to seal their qualification to the knockout stage of this year’s Champions League as group winners when they welcome French champions PSG for the final round of group games on Wednesday. The Yellow and Black lead group F with 10 points and only need a draw to win the group. After a slow start to this competition, they racked off three wins in their last three matches, with the last one being an impressive 3-1 comeback win away at AC Milan that effectively took them to the summit of the group. Coach Terzić will insist on his charges to finish the job here with the leadership of the group on the line.

PSG have struggled to impress this in this competition this season. The French giants needed a last-gasp Mbappe penalty to rescue a point at home against Newcastle last time out and have lost both of their away matches in the group so far. They are second in the group but cannot afford to lose here as a win for either Milan or Newcastle in their matchup will see them leapfrogging the Parisians for the runner’s up slot. They have nevertheless looked great in their preparations for this, winning both league games following that draw to Newcastle.

Although Dortmund have already qualified, they still need to secure their place as Group F winners. PSG meantime are trying to keep away the chasing pack in this group that has indeed lived up to its billing as the group of death. We expect both teams to pull all strings to get a win here or at the very least avoid a loss because a draw will see both of them sailing through. As such we are backing both teams to battle it out to a 1-1 stalemate as our initial Dortmund vs PSG prediction here.

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Main tip: Correct Score 1-1

Our Dortmund vs PSG predictions

According to the statistics and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following tips:

Prediction 1: Correct Score 1-1

This is a critical game for both sides and they will both be keen to avoid a loss which could compromise their positions in the group.

Although they have had some trouble on the domestic front, in the Champions League, Dortmund have been terrific, particularly in their recent showing. They are yet to lose a group game at home and have won their last three overall.

PSG on the other hand have the experience in this competition to get the results that matter. They have never been dumped out of the group phase in their last 6 straight appearances.

With so much still on the line, we expect a close game here and we are backing this game to end in a 1-1 draw at full-time with terrific prices for this option offered at 1Win

Odds for this bet

1Win offers competitive odds for the bet “Correct Score 1-1”

The odd of 6.93 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 14% chance that this game will end in a 1-1 draw at fulltime

Odds comparison for Correct Score 1-1

1Win – odd 6.93
10Bet – odd 6.50

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Prediction 2: 1st Goal – Dortmund

In all three of Dortmund’s group wins, they opened the scoring. PSG on their part have been a bit shaky and considered the first goal in three of their 5 group games.

There will be a lot of pressure on the home side to calm their nerves with an early goal and we expect them to have a go at it right from the start.

As such we are backing Borussia Dortmund to score the opening goal of this match and we recommend Paripesa odds for this option

Odds for this bet

Paripesa offers competitive odds for “1st Goal – Dortmund ”

The odd of 2.42 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 41% chance that Dortmund will score the opening goal of this match

Odds comparisons 1st Goal – Dortmund

Paripesa – odd 2.42
Betwinner – odd 2.40

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Prediction 3: Over 9.5 Corners

This is a match in which both teams will be gunning for the win but also comfortable with a draw. As such we expect relentless attacking and defending from both teams that could yield quite a few corners either way.

When they met in Paris, they had a combined 17 corners (10 for PSG and 7 for Dortmund) in what was an end-to-end game.

We fancy another close game here with lots of goalmouth action. With this in mind, we are backing the at least 10 corners to be taken as our final Dortmund vs PSG prediction here

Statistics for Dortmund vs PSG Prediction

H2H statistics

Looking at the last 5 matches between these teams:

  • PSG have won twice, Dortmund once and they have drawn twice
  • 9 goals scored in these games; an average of just 1.80 goals a game
  • PSG won the reverse encounter 2-0 in Paris

Latest results Dortmund

  • 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 5 matches
  • 11 goals scored in these last 5 matches. Average of 2.20 goals per match
  • Lost 3-2 at home to RB Leipzig in their last match

Latest results PSG

  • Unbeaten in their last 5 (4 wins and a loss)
  • 13 goals scored in their last 5 matches. Average 2.60 goals per match
  • Edged Nantes 2-1 at home in their last match
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Possible squad Dortmund & PSG

Line upDortmund PSG
DefenseSüle, Hummels, Schlotterbeck, BensebainiHakimi, Marquinhos, Skriniar, Hernandez
MidfieldÖzcan, Can, MalenVítinha, Ugarte, Lee;
ForwardReus, Brandt, FüllkrugDembélé, Muani, Mbappe
MissingRyerson (MCL), Moukoko (Hamstring), Wolf (Ankle), Sabitzer (Calf), Haller (Knee), Nmecha (Hip), Duranville (Thigh)Navas (Back), Rico (Head), Ruiz (Shoulder), Kimpembe (Achilles)
CoachEdin TerzićLuis Enrique

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