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Nicolas Jarry - Tommy Paul
ATP Rome
Fri, 17.05.2024 – 9:30 PM GMT+3
our tip:
Over 21.5 Games

Nicolas Jarry vs Tommy Paul Prediction

Nicolas Jarry has had a bad start to the year but now seems to be finding redemption at this year’s Italian Open. He was on a four-match losing streak before this tournament, but has now won 4 straight matches to reach this semi-final. The Chilean showed his resilience and determination against Stefano Tsitsipas in the quarter-final to knock out to highly-fancied Greek in 3 sets.

Tommy Paul also needed a 3-set victory over world number 9 Hubert Hurkacz in the quarter-final in a hard-fought match that had 13 breaks of serve. Before that, Paul had to overcome another top player in world number 4 Daniil Medvedev in the Round of 16. The American has progressed steadily over the past year and this is now his third semi-final appearance at a Masters event over the past 10 months. He usually struggles on clay at this stage, but that seems to be changing in this tournament.

These two players have met 3 times before with Tommy Paul leading 2-1 (1-1 on clay). Nevertheless, Nicolas Jarry is the more accomplished player on clay. The Chilean has won 3 ATP Tour tournaments before and also beaten some big names at this level. No doubt this will be a hard-fought match with both players having nearly-equal chances. For our Nicolas Jarry vs Tommy Paul, we go for Over 21.5 Games.

Tip: Over 21.5 Games

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Head-to-Head stats Nicolas Jarry vs Tommy Paul

These two players have met 3 times before:

  • Tommy Paul leads 2-1. They are tied 1-1 on clay
  • The last time they met, Jarry won 3-1 (3-6, 6-1, 6-4, 7-5) in French Open 2023

Latest results Nicolas Jarry

  • 4 wins and 1 loss in his last 5 matches
  • 26-9 win-loss record this season
  • He beat Stefano Tsitsipas 2-1 (3-6, 7-5, 6-4) in the quarter final of this tournament

Latest results Tommy Paul

  • 4 wins and 1 loss in his last 5 matches
  • 19-7 win-loss record this season
  • He beat Hubert Hurkacz 2-1 (7-5, 3-6, 6-3) in the quarter final of this tournament

ATP Rankings

  • Ranking from: Fri, 17.05.2024
  • Nicolas Jarry: # 24
  • Tommy Paul: # 16
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Our tip and odds in detail

According to the statistics above and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following:

Bet on Over 21.5 Games

Paripesa offers the best odds for the bet “Over 21.5 Games
The odd of 1.52 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 66% chance that there will be a total of at least 22 games in this match.

Odds comparison for Over 21.5 Games

Paripesa – odd 1.52
Betwinner – odd 1.52

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