Lorenzo Sonego vs Carlos Alcaraz prediction
Italian Lorenzo Sonego fought back from a set down to defeat Briton Daniel Evans in the first round to set up this early meeting with Alcaraz at the Rod Laver Arena on Thursday. He has his work cut out but he will be feeling confident having actually gotten the better of his more illustrious opponent in their only meeting back in 2021. Sonego was lethal in his serve in that last match winning 82% on his serve while dropping an expressive 23 aces. He will be hoping to carry some of that performance here.
Number 2 seed Carlos Alcaraz is eager to get back into the big stage in the first grand slam of the year after he lost the last one (US Open final) to his archrival Djokovic. He got off to a flawless start in the opening round of this competition with an easy 3-0 win over Frenchman Richard Gasquet. Alcaraz broke Gasquet’s serve 4 times in this match without conceding any break himself on his way to this victory.
Alcaraz is the overwhelming favorite to win here but we feel Sonego will want to have a little say considering he has the little 1-0 edge in the only encounter. We expect a tough opening set with both players throwing haymakers at each other. As such we expect quite a few games to be played in that opening set with neither player looking to cede any ground to start. We are therefore going for at least 10 games to be played here.
Tip: First Set Over 9.5 Games
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Head-to-Head stats Lorenzo Sonego vs Carlos Alcaraz
These two players have just once before.
Sonego won 2-0 (6-3, 7-6) in the 1st round in Cincinnati back in 2021
Latest results Lorenzo Sonego
- 3 wins and 2 losses in his last 5 matches
- 2-3 win-loss record this season
- He beat Daniel Evans 3-1 (4-6, 7-6, 6-2, 7-6) in the first round
Latest results Carlos Alcaraz
- 4 wins and 1 loss in his last 5 matches
- 1-0 win-loss record this season
- He beat Richard Gasquet 3-0 (7-6, 6-1, 6-2) in the first round
- Ranking from: Thu, 18.01.2024
- Lorenzo Sonego: # 46
- Carlos Alcaraz: # 2
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Our tip and odds in detail
According to the statistics above and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following:
Bet on First Set – Over 9.5 Games
1xBet offers the best odds for the bet “First Set – Over 9.5 Games”
The odd of 1.87 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 67% chance that the first set of this game will have at least 10 games played
Odds comparison for First Set – Over 9.5 Games
1xBet – odd 1.87
Bet365 – odd 1.83
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