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Argentina - Uruguay
World Cup Qualifiers - CONMEBOL
Fri, 17.11.2023 – 3:00 AM GMT+3
our main tip:
Argentina Win (DNB)

Argentina vs Uruguay prediction

World Champions Argentina will look to maintain their 100% start to the 2026 World Cup qualifiers when they welcome Uruguay in this 5th round of games. La Albiceleste have won all four of their fixtures so far while keeping clean sheets in all of them and scoring 7 goals in the process. A first-half brace from Messi was enough to earn them an easy 2-0 win over Peru away at Estadio Nacional de Lima last time out to open up a 5-point cushion at the top. They are yet to get really tested and this visit of Uruguay might well be the first real test.

Uruguay are second on the log with 7 points from their 4 group matches. Marcelo Bielsa’s side pulled off a major upset last time out as they defeated Brazil 2-0 in Montevideo to end the South American giants eight year eight-year-long 18-match unbeaten away run in the World Cup Qualifiers. That win certainly gives them a sense of belief coming into this match and they will be hoping to get something out of this game too.

Argentina has dominated this fixture in recent years. They haven’t lost to Uruguay since 2015 and have actually won the last three straight encounters between them. Bearing this in mind and looking at their form coming into this match, we are inclined to back the home team to win on the draw no-bet option as our opening Argentina vs Uruguay prediction here.

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Main tip: Argentina Win (Draw No Bet)

Our Argentina vs Uruguay predictions

According to the statistics and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following tips:

Prediction 1: Argentina Win (Draw No Bet)

Argentina have been perfect to start these qualifiers. They are also on a historically great run in their home fixtures, including winning the last 10 straight games at home.

Uruguay have struggled on the road, failing to win any of their 2 away matches at Colombia and Ecuador respectively.

It’s difficult to see past another home win for the home team. We are therefore backing Argentina to win on the draw no bet option available at decent prices on 1xBet

Odds for this bet

1xBet offers competitive odds for the bet “Argentina Win (Draw No Bet)”

The odd of 1.20 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 83% chance that Argentina to Win but bets will be void (refunded) if the game ends in a draw.

Odds comparison for Argentina Win (Draw No Bet)

1xBet – Odd 1.20
Bet365 – odd 1.17

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Prediction 2: Under 2.5 Goals

Argentina’s defence has been sterling. They are yet to concede a goal 4 matches into these qualifiers. However, they haven’t quite lit up the place with, getting a couple of 1-0 wins at home in the 4-match winning streak.

It has also been a slugfest whenever these teams meet with only 2 of their last 7 encounters witnessing at least 3 goals.

Odds for this bet

Paripesa offers competitive odds for “Under 2.5 Goals”

The odd of 1.80 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 56% chance that this game will have no more than 2 total goals scored

Odds comparisons Under 2.5 Goals

Paripesa – odd 1.80
Betwinner – odd 1.78

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Prediction 3: Messi Anytime Scorer

Messi has scored in 2 of the 3 games he has suited up for in this competition, including the brace against Peru last time out. His motor seems to still be running and he is still picking up accolades including the Balon D’Or that he won for his exploits locally and internationally in the last year. We expect him to lead the lines here and we feel there is value in picking Messi to Score Anytime as our final Argentina vs Uruguay prediction

Statistics for Argentina vs Uruguay Prediction

H2H statistics

Assessing the 10 meetings between these teams:

  • Argentina dominate with 6 wins, Uruguay have 2 wins, and 2 games were drawn
  • These matches scored an average of just 2.20 goals per match
  • The last time they met Argentina won 1-0

Latest results Argentina

  • Won their last 5 straight matches
  • 9 goals scored in these last 5 matches. Average of just 1.80 goals per match
  • Defeated Peru 2-0 away in their last match

Latest results Uruguay

  • 3 wins, a draw and a loss in their last 5 matches
  • 10 goals scored in their last 5 matches. Average 2.00 goals per match
  • Beat Brazil 2-0 at home in their last match
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Possible squad Argentina & Uruguay

Line upArgentina Uruguay
GoalkeeperMartinezRochet
DefenseMolina, Romero, Ontamendi, TagliaficoNandez, Caceres, Vina, Piquerez
Midfieldde Paul, Fernandez, Mac AllisterValeverde, Ugarte, de la Cruz
ForwardMessi, Martinez, GonzalezAraujo Nunez, Pellistri
MissingNoneNone
CoachLionel Scaloni Marcelo Bielsa

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