Portugal vs Hungary prediction
The 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifying campaign in Europe continues on Tuesday, 14 October 2025, when Portugal host Hungary at the Estádio José Alvalade. Kick-off is scheduled for 21:45 GMT+3 in a Group F fixture that pits the group leaders against the team currently occupying second place. Portugal arrive with a perfect start to their group phase, while Hungary have shown promise but remain vulnerable away from home. This preview assesses form, personnel considerations and historical context before delivering our betting recommendations.
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Main Tip: Under 3.5 Goals
Given the defensive tendencies of the favourites and Hungary’s mixed form, the likelihood of a low to medium-scoring affair is significant. Portugal’s matches in this qualification cycle and recent internationals have tended toward efficient winning margins rather than high-scoring shootouts, and Hungary’s pragmatic approach under Marco Rossi often produces compact games when facing stronger opposition. Consequently, an “Under 3.5 goals” selection is our second prediction for those seeking to avoid extreme scorelines. The best odds for this outcome is available on 1xBet at 1.83.
Betting Tip 2: Portugal Win (Tip 1)
Portugal win is our secondary selection for this encounter. Roberto Martínez’s side tops Group F with nine points from three matches, recording three wins, no draws and no defeats, and a goal difference of +7 (9 scored, 2 conceded). Their home form in qualification is impeccable so far, and Martínez has rebuilt a balanced squad that combines attacking potency with defensive organization. Hungary have shown resilience but their away record reads 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats, which suggests they have not yet demonstrated an ability to take full points on the road in this campaign. Historical H2H data also favours the hosts, as Portugal have prevailed in four of the last five meetings. Considering form, squad quality and home advantage, the most logical betting prediction is a Portugal victory, and the best available odds for a Portugal win is 1.26 on 1xBet.
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Betting Tip 3: Correct score- 2:0
Our third and final selection is an exact-score forecast: a 2:0 home win for Portugal. This scoreline aligns with the expectation of a controlled Portugal performance, in which they impose themselves sufficiently to score one or two goals while keeping a clean sheet. It also reflects historical tendencies: Portugal have managed narrow, decisive victories against Hungary in recent encounters.
Statistics for Portugal vs Hungary
Portugal team news!
Manager Roberto Martínez has fashioned a side that combines Premier League experience with talented domestic players. Portugal occupy first place in Group F with a perfect record: three wins from three matches and a goals tally of 9:2. Their home record in qualifying is similarly unblemished, with one win from one match at the Estádio José Alvalade to date. Martínez will likely rely on a structured defensive base and incisive attacking transitions; the team’s recent five-match form reads five wins, no draws and no defeats, indicating high confidence and consistent performance levels. Expect Portugal to field a lineup geared toward control and efficiency, particularly given the imperative to maintain top position in the group.
Hungary team news!
Marco Rossi’s Hungary occupy second place in Group F with four points from three matches (one win, one draw, one defeat) and a goals record of 6:5. Hungary have yet to register an away win in this qualifying section, with an away record consisting of one draw and no defeats; however, their ability to take points on the road has been limited so far. Rossi typically prioritizes tactical discipline and compact shape, but Hungary’s recent form is mixed — two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last five fixtures across competitions. Tactical pragmatism will be crucial for Hungary if they are to frustrate Portugal and exploit opportunities on the counter.
H2H statistics
The head-to-head record between Portugal and Hungary over the last five meetings is heavily tilted toward Portugal: four wins for Portugal and one draw; Hungary have not won any of those five encounters. The most recent direct meeting ended in a 3:2 away victory for Portugal, demonstrating that while Portugal have been decisive overall, Hungary can be competitive and create scoring chances. Historical dominance, however, supports Portugal’s status as clear favourites for this fixture.
Last results Portugal
In their last five matches across all competitions, Portugal have registered five wins, no draws and no defeats. Their current form is therefore exceptional, with momentum firmly on their side heading into this Group F encounter.
Last results Hungary
Hungary’s recent five-match sequence across competitions shows two wins, one draw and two defeats. This formline points to inconsistency, a factor that may be decisive when facing a stable and in-form Portuguese side.
Conclusion
On balance, Portugal are the clear favourites for this World Cup qualifier. Roberto Martínez’s team bring superior form, an unbeaten start in Group F, home advantage and a favourable head-to-head record against Hungary. Marco Rossi’s side possess quality and resilience but have displayed mixed results and lack a convincing away-winning record this qualifying cycle. Accordingly, our forecast favours a controlled Portuguese victory, with the most likely outcome being a 2:0 win, and a match finishing with under 3.5 goals.
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