Spain vs Bulgaria prediction
The 2026 FIFA World Cup European qualification campaign continues on Tuesday, 14 October 2025, when Spain welcome Bulgaria to the Municipal José Zorrilla for a Group E fixture kicking off at 21:45 GMT+3. Spain sit atop Group E with a perfect record — three wins from three matches and an impressive goal difference of 11:0 — and will aim to maintain momentum in front of their supporters. Bulgaria, by contrast, have struggled to make an impact and occupy fourth place with no points after three games and a goals tally of 1:12. The historical and recent form trends point strongly in favour of the hosts, but the match still merits careful analysis for both sporting and betting considerations.
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Main Tip: Over 1.5 Goals 1st Half
Spain enter this fixture as overwhelming favourites. Their attacking output has been prolific in qualifying and their defensive record is impeccable, having conceded no goals thus far. Bulgaria arrive on the back of heavy defeats, scoring rarely and having shown defensive fragility. Spain also enjoyed a convincing 3-0 victory in the most recent direct meeting, and the personnel and tactical cohesion under coach Luis de la Fuente have been clear. Given the gulf in form and quality, the most reliable market is to go for at least two total goals in the first 45 minutes of the encounter, with odds of 1.50 on Paripesa.
Betting Tip 2: Both Teams To Score? No
Spain have not conceded in qualifying so far, and their defensive structure has been disciplined and compact. Bulgaria’s inability to create consistent scoring opportunities in recent fixtures, combined with Spain’s dominance of possession and territorial control, suggests a low probability that Bulgaria will breach Spain’s defence. Consequently, the “Both teams to score — No” market is an attractive secondary selection with odds of 1.23 on Paripesa.
While we did not back both sides to find the back of the net here, we have a BTTS prediction page to get a hang of our to identify fixtures with a potential for GG outcomes.
Betting Tip 3: Over 3.5 goals
Although this market may appear striking given Spain’s recent clean sheets, the combination of Spain’s prolific scoring record in qualifying and Bulgaria’s defensive vulnerabilities raises the possibility of a high-scoring outcome. Spain’s forward players have been clinical and are capable of converting multiple opportunities, while Bulgaria’s recent heavy defeats suggest a tendency to concede multiple goals in single matches. For bettors willing to accept a higher-risk, higher-reward selection, Over 3.5 goals stands out as a bold play that aligns with Spain’s capacity to generate numerous scoring chances and Bulgaria’s frailties at the back.
Statistics for Spain vs Bulgaria
Spain team news!
Spain top Group E with 9 points from 3 matches (3 wins, 0 draws, 0 defeats) and an impressive goals record of 11:0. Their home record is perfect so far with one win from one home game, and the squad have displayed both attacking efficiency and defensive organisation. Coach Luis de la Fuente has overseen a coherent tactical approach that blends ball retention, intelligent pressing and clinical finishing. Spain’s recent form across all competitions reads as four wins and one defeat in their last five fixtures, indicating strong momentum and squad confidence as they prepare for this qualifier.
Bulgaria team news!
Bulgaria have endured a difficult start to their qualifying campaign, sitting on 0 points and a 1:12 goal record (0 wins, 0 draws, 3 defeats). Their away record shows one defeat from one game on the road in qualifying so far. In recent fixtures across all competitions their form reads 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in the last five matches, reflecting limited attacking returns and defensive instability.
H2H statistics
The head-to-head record over the last five meetings is heavily biased in Spain’s favour: 4 wins for Spain and 1 draw, with no victories for Bulgaria. The most recent direct encounter resulted in a 3:0 away win for Spain, underscoring the historical dominance of the Spanish side and their capacity to produce decisive results against this opponent.
Last results Spain
In their most recent five matches across all competitions, Spain have recorded 4 wins and 1 defeat, demonstrating excellent overall form. The team’s current momentum is positive and suggests a cohesive unit capable of imposing their style on opponents and maintaining consistency over the course of the qualification campaign.
Last results Bulgaria
Bulgaria’s recent sequence across the last five matches is less encouraging: 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats. This sequence highlights pressing issues in both defence and attack, and reflects a side struggling to find form and consistency on the international stage.
Conclusion
Spain are clear favourites for this World Cup qualifier against Bulgaria. The hosts possess superior form, a potent attacking unit, and a solid defensive record, while Bulgaria arrive with scant offensive threat and significant defensive concerns. The principal recommendation is over 1.5 goals to be scored inside the first half, supplemented by the “Both teams to score — No” selection for a cleaner, value-oriented outcome. For bettors seeking higher variance, Over 3.5 goals is also a possible outcome.
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