Wales vs North Macedonia Prediction
The World Cup Qualifying (Europe) encounter between Wales and Macedonia will take place on Tuesday, 18 November 2025 at 10:45 PM GMT +3 at the Cardiff City Stadium. This Group J fixture is pivotal as both nations sit level on 13 points and are separated narrowly in the table: Macedonia occupies second place while Wales lie immediately behind in third. With qualification scenarios still open for both sides, the match promises tactical caution and considerable strategic significance.
Wales arrive with a record in the group of four wins, one draw and two defeats, having scored 14 goals and conceded 10. Their home performances comprise two victories and a single defeat. Macedonia, by contrast, have accumulated three wins and four draws without defeat in the group, with a goals tally of 12 scored and only three conceded; their away record shows two wins and one draw. The last direct meeting between these teams finished in a 1:1 draw, and the head-to-head record across the last three meetings is evenly balanced.
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Betting prediction — Home win (Tip 1)
Betting prediction: Wales to win (Tip 1). Wales will have the advantage of a partisan crowd at the Cardiff City Stadium and a manager, Craig Bellamy, who has instilled a clear identity in home fixtures. While Macedonia have been difficult to beat, their approach often leans to containment and draws; Wales possess greater attacking potency in this qualifying campaign (14 goals scored) and are likely to press for the three points given the immediate table implications. The best available odd for a home win in the supplied market is 1.78 at 1win. This selection reflects both the home advantage and Wales’ need to secure an upper-hand in Group J.
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Betting prediction — Both teams score? No
Betting tip: Both teams score? No. Prediction: Both sides do not both score. Despite Wales’ relative scoring output, Macedonia have conceded only three goals in the group and their defensive organisation has been a notable strength. A tight, low-scoring encounter is therefore plausible, with Macedonia likely to prioritise defensive discipline and Wales mindful of the risk of leaving space on transitions. Given those dynamics, a “Both teams to score: No” outcome is a strong possibility. The best listed odd for this market in the supplied data is 1.75 at Betwinner for “No”, making it an attractive conservative complement to the main 1X2 selection.
Betting prediction — Over/Under: Under 2.5 goals
Prediction: Under 2.5 goals. The match projects as a tactical battle in which risk management may dominate, particularly in the opening stages and given the equal points situation. Macedonia’s exceptional defensive record in the group (just three goals conceded) and Wales’ pragmatic tendencies at home in high-stakes qualifiers suggest fewer clear-cut scoring opportunities. Consequently, an Under 2.5 goals bet aligns with both teams’ recent defensive performances and tournament context. Best odds for Under 2.5 goals are 1.77 on 1Win.
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Statistics for Wales vs Macedonia
Wales team news!
Wales sit third in Group J with 13 points, collected from four wins, one draw and two defeats; they have a goal difference reflecting 14 for and 10 against. Their home record in qualifying reads two wins and one defeat, indicating reasonable effectiveness at Cardiff City Stadium. The squad’s recent form across all competitions shows two wins and three defeats in the last five fixtures, signaling inconsistency but also an ability to secure results when required. The team is managed by Craig Bellamy, who has emphasized organised defending and quick transitions. Wales’ most recent match prior to this fixture was a 1:0 away victory against Liechtenstein, a result that will contribute to the team’s confidence heading into this decisive qualifier.
Macedonia team news!
Macedonia are second in Group J with 13 points, exhibiting a resilient campaign of three wins and four draws and, notably, no defeats in group play. Their defensive solidity is a key statistical feature: only three goals conceded in group competition. On the road they boast two wins and one draw from away fixtures, demonstrating an ability to collect points away from home. Recent overall form reads one win, three draws and one defeat from the last five matches, indicating steady but conservative results. Macedonia’s last match saw them held to a 0:0 home draw with Latvia.
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H2H statistics
The direct encounters between Wales and Macedonia over their last three meetings have been balanced: each nation has claimed one win, with one match ending in a draw. The most recent head-to-head meeting finished 1:1, underlining the closeness of these contests and the historical propensity for tight scorelines. Such parity in past results reinforces expectations of a closely fought game in Cardiff.
Last results Wales
In their most recent five matches across all competitions, Wales have recorded two wins and three defeats. This formline points to fluctuation in performances: capable of victories but also prone to setbacks. The team’s current form reflects both resilience in specific fixtures and vulnerabilities that opponents can exploit if Wales are not at their best.
Last results Macedonia
Macedonia’s last five outings across all competitions produced one win, three draws and one defeat. This sequence highlights their tendency to secure draws and grind out results, particularly through defensive organisation. Their form suggests consistency in avoiding losses, a factor that will influence the tactical approach they adopt in Cardiff.
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Conclusion
Given the available information, Wales enter this fixture as narrow favourites principally due to home advantage, the imperative to win in a tight group, and a manager in Craig Bellamy who is likely to set an assertive, attacking game-plan at Cardiff City Stadium. Macedonia’s solidity and unbeaten group record make them a formidable opponent and a team that will seek to neutralise Wales’ attacking threats. On balance, the most probable outcome is a narrow home victory for Wales, with limited goals and the match plausibly finishing 1:0. Accordingly, the primary betting suggestion is a Wales win (Tip 1), complemented by “Both teams to score? No”, and an Under 2.5 goals expectation.
