Benin vs Senegal prediction
The Africa Cup of Nations encounter between Benin and Senegal will take place on Tuesday, 30.12.2025, at 10:00 PM (GMT+3) at Stade de Tanger. This Group D fixture carries significant weight for both teams as they seek to consolidate or improve their positions in a compact group. Senegal tops the table with 4 points after two matches, while Benin sit third with 3 points. Both sides come into this match with contrasting offensive records — Senegal has scored four and conceded one, whereas Benin have a more modest goals tally of 1:1. The outcome in Tangier is likely to be decisive in determining which side advances from the group phase with comfort and which must take greater risks in the remaining fixtures.
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Main Betting Tip: Over 2.5 goals
While the BTTS projection in the final tip favors a single side scoring, tournament dynamics and recent trends among these teams suggest the match could produce more than two goals. Senegal has shown an ability to score multiple goals in a match during the competition, and Benin in certain fixtures have displayed a propensity to concede when forced to open up. If Benin are compelled to chase the game, particularly after an early Senegal goal, the encounter could open up and generate additional scoring opportunities. Therefore, over 2.5 is a viable alternative stance for punters seeking higher returns, especially if lineups indicate an attacking intent from either side.
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Betting Tip 2: Senegal Win
Senegal enters this match as clear favorites on the balance of recent form, historical superiority and squad depth. Their unbeaten start to the group (one win and one draw) and superior goal difference reflect better attacking efficiency and greater defensive stability than Benin. Head-to-head data further underlines Senegal’s superiority: in the last five meetings between these sides Senegal has won four and drawn one, with Benin yet to register a victory in that sequence. Tactical discipline under coach Pape Thiaw, combined with a generally higher-quality squad and more frequent goal threats, makes a Senegal victory the most probable 1X2 outcome.
Betting Tip 3: Both teams score? No
Although Senegal has demonstrated attacking capability, Benin’s goal output in the tournament has been limited, and they have recorded just one goal to date. Senegal’s defense has also been comparatively effective, conceding only once so far. Given Senegal’s tendency to control matches and Benin’s more conservative approach, a low-scoring affair with only the visitors finding the net is plausible. This selection leans on Senegal’s capacity to suppress Benin’s attacking transitions while still posing a threat on the break or via set pieces. Best available odds for the BTTS market: NO at Betwinner, 1.53.
Statistics for Benin vs Senegal
Benin team news!
Benin currently occupy third place in Group D with 3 points, recorded from one win and one defeat, and a goal balance of 1:1. They have yet to register any home results in the tournament (home record: 0 wins, 0 draws, 0 defeats) as this fixture takes place at a neutral venue in Tangier. The official head coach listing for Benin in the supplied data is indicated as “-”, which suggests either a transitional staff situation or that the coach name was not provided. In tactical terms, Benin have been compact and pragmatically organised in their recent matches, relying on disciplined defending and swift counter-attacks. Their recent form across all competitions reads as two wins and three defeats in the last five fixtures, indicating inconsistency and vulnerability when adapting to stronger opponents.
Senegal team news!
Senegal sit atop Group D with four points, accrued from one victory and one draw, and a healthy goals statistic of 4:1. Coach Pape Thiaw oversees a side that has combined a relatively robust defensive record with an effective forward line in the tournament. The provided away record shows no prior away results in this campaign for Senegal at the stadium in Tangier (away record: 0 wins, 0 draws, 0 defeats), but their overall recent performance across competitions stands at three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five outings. Senegal’s squad depth and tactical cohesion under Thiaw make them the pre-match favourites and better-equipped to handle the strategic demands of a group-stage fixture.
H2H statistics
In their most recent direct meeting the recorded result was a 1:0 victory for Senegal. Examining the last five encounters across all competitions, Senegal have dominated the head-to-head sequence: Benin have recorded 0 wins, there has been 1 draw and Senegal have won 4 matches. This historical advantage is an important contextual factor; it indicates a consistent upper hand by Senegal both in terms of psychological edge and on-field outcomes.
Last results Benin
Benin arrive at this fixture with a last-match victory (1:0 win over Botswana as provided) and an aggregate recent form of two wins and three defeats in their last five matches across all competitions. This pattern reflects spurts of effectiveness but overall inconsistency, especially against higher-calibre opponents.
Last results Senegal
Senegal’s most recent match ended in a 1:1 draw with DR Congo, and their last five matches show a solid record of three wins, one draw and one defeat. This sequence demonstrates greater stability and an ability to avoid defeat over multiple fixtures, supporting the view that Senegal is in stronger competitive shape heading into the group encounter.
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Conclusion
On balance, Senegal are the clear favourites for this Africa Cup of Nations meeting. Their superior recent form, favourable goal difference, convincing head-to-head record and the managerial stewardship of Pape Thiaw all point toward an away victory in Tangier. Benin possess resilience and can be difficult opponents, but their limited scoring return and inconsistent run of results make them less likely to secure a positive outcome against Senegal. Consequently, the recommended Over 2.5 Goals, Senegal win (Tip 2), with a final expectation that both teams will not score (BTTS: No).
