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Nigeria - Equatorial Guinea
Africa Cup of Nations
Sun, 14.01.2024 – 5:00 PM GMT+3
our main tip:
Under 2.5 Goals

Nigeria vs Equatorial Guinea prediction

Nigeria will look to kick off Group A proceedings with a win when they lock horns with Equatorial Guinea in the group opener on Sunday afternoon. The Super Eagles have had a disappointing run of form in their 2026 World Cup qualifiers including drawing back-to-back against Lesotho and Zimbabwe in their opening two qualifying matches which has put them behind Rwanda and South Africa in their qualifier group. Their quest for a 4th AFCON title offers them an opportunity to put that disappointment aside and get their rhythm back.

Equatorial Guinea on their part have had a stellar campaign in their world cup qualifiers, picking up two straight 1-0 wins against Namibia and Liberia to go joint top with Tunisia in their group. This has them coming into this tournament in high spirits. The Elephants have built a formidable that were also impressive in their AFCON qualifiers where they picked up 13 points from six matches in Group J and finished only behind group winners Tunisia on goal difference. They will look to carry their good run of form into this tournament.

This is expected to be a cagey match. Equatorial Guinea have built their good results on the back of a solid backline. Nigeria have attacking firepower within their ranks but they have been misfiring in recent outings. Given this is the group opener, both of these teams will be a bit cautious and not throw caution to the wind. For our opening Nigeria vs Equatorial Guinea prediction, we are going for Under 2.5 Goals

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Main tip: Under 2.5 Goals

Our Nigeria vs Equatorial Guinea predictions

According to the statistics and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following tips:

Prediction 1: Under 2.5 Goals

Only two of Equatorial Guinea’s last 10 matches across all competitions have had 3 or more goals. They have also kept a clean sheet in 4 of their last 5 matches.

Nigeria have had a couple of 1-1 draws in their last two matches. Their attack has been flat and they will look to get themselves going with this tournament.

2 of their 3 H2H fixtures have also had no more than 2 total goals scored.

We fancy a close game here and we are backing this game to have no more than 2 total goals scored with competitive prices for this option offered at 1Win

Odds for this bet

1Win offers competitive odds for the bet “Under 2.5 Goals”

The odd of 1.71 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 58% chance that this match will have no more than 2 total goals scored

Odds comparison for Under 2.5 Goals

1Win – odd 1.71
Bet365 – odd 1.70

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Prediction 2: Nigeria Win

Inasmuch as Nigeria have struggled lately, they still have enough quality within their rank and file that will be available for this match.

They have dominated this fixture, winning all three times these teams have met.

They are unbeaten in their last 7 matches with 4 wins and 3 draws.

We fancy the Super Eagles to go for the jugular in this group opener. It is likely to be a tight game but we are backing Nigeria to pick up the win great odds for this option offered at Paripesa

Odds for this bet

Paripesa offers competitive odds for “Nigeria Win”

The odd of 1.41 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 71% chance that Nigeria will emerge victorious in this clash

Odds comparisons Nigeria Win

Paripesa – odd 1.41
Betwinner – odd 1.40

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Prediction 3: Most Goals 2nd Half

The opening half of this match is likely to have both teams trying to measure up each other with neither team committing so much offensively.

3 of Nigeria’s last 5 matches witnessed more goals in the 2nd half. The same case obtains for Equatorial Guinea’s last 5 matches.

With this in mind, we are going for Most Goals 2nd Half as our final Nigeria vs Equatorial Guinea prediction here

Statistics for Nigeria vs Equatorial Guinea Prediction

H2H statistics

These teams have met just 3 times before:

  • Nigeria have won all 3 meetings
  • These matches have averaged 2.33 goals a game
  • The Super Eagles won the last meeting 3-1 back in the 2018 AFCON group stage

Latest results Nigeria

  • 3 win and 2 draws in their last 5 matches
  • 13 goals scored in these last 5 matches. Average of 2.60 goals per match
  • Drew 1-1 at Zimbabwe in their last match

Latest results Equatorial Guinea

  • Also unbeaten in the last 5 matches with 3 wins, 2 draws
  • Just 4 goals scored in these last 5 matches. Average 0.80 goals per match
  • Won 1-0 at Liberia in their last match
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Possible squad Nigeria & Equatorial Guinea

Line upNigeria Equatorial Guinea
DefenseAina, Awaziem, Bassey, SanusiAkapo, Coco, Orozco, Ndong
MidfieldIwobi, Onyeka, AriboGanet, Bikoro, Salvador
ForwardSimon, Osimhen, BonifaceMachin, Nsue, Miranda
CoachJose PeseiroJuan Micha

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