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Al Ahly - Belouizdad
CAF Champions League
Fri, 08.12.2023 – 7:00 PM GMT+3
our main tip:
Under 2.5 Goals

Al Ahly vs Belouizdad prediction

An injury-time equalizer by Young Africans denied Al Ahly all three points on offer and threw a spanner in the works in Group D with the defending champs Al Ahly barely hanging on to the summit of the group by the skins of their teeth. The Egyptian giants have 4 points from their opening two matches and they are closely followed by Ghana’s Medeama and the visitors Belouizdada who are both tied on 3 points. Al Ahly have nevertheless been solid at their Al-Salam Stadium in Cairo in both the domestic league and in this competition and they will be looking to maintain this form here. Coach Marcel Koller was visibly disappointed with their capitulation in Tanzania and he will be looking for a response here.

Like the hosts, Algeria’s Belouizdad also suffered a late game collapse in their last group match as they conceded in the 94th minute to Medeama who completed a 2-1 comeback win on matchday 2 in front of their supporters to spark off wild celebrations. Belouizdad had kicked off the competition with a solid 3-0 home win over Young Africans from Tanzania and looked set to pick up a second straight win in the group when they took an early lead away at Medeama. The Reds have been perennial participants in this competition but they have yet to surpass their semifinal appearance back in the 1996 edition

This is a key game for both of these teams. Al Ahly will be keen to re-establish control of Group D with a solid win here while the visitors will look to make the most of the opportunity to also go top if they can upset the bookies with a win. Defence has been Al Ahly’s calling card at home as they showed with the clean sheet in the group opener against Medeama. We expect a closely contested game and a defensive mindset from both teams. With this in mind, we feel there is value in going for Under 2.5 Goals as our initial Al Ahly vs Belouizdad prediction here.

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Main tip: Under 2.5 Goals

Our Al Ahly vs Belouizdad predictions

According to the statistics and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following tips:

Prediction 1: Under 2.5 Goals

Al Ahly’s defense has been on display particularly at home where they have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their last 8 games across all competitions.

This is also a derby at the regional level with the two North African teams looking to underline their credentials and superiority.

Such games tend to be close with neither side keen to cede too much ground to the opponent. As such we are backing this game to have no more than two total goals scored with great odds for this option offered at 1Win

Odds for this bet

1Win offers competitive odds for the bet “Under 2.5 Goals”

The odd of 1.78 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 56% chance that this game will have no more than 2 total goals scored

Odds comparison for Under 2.5 Goals

1Win – odd 1.78
10Bet – odd 1.77

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Prediction 2: First Half – Draw

Three of the 4 matches these teams have played to start this competition this season have been level at the break. This includes both of Al Ahly’s games against Medeana and Young Africans as well as Belouizdad’s last group game match away at Medeana.

There will be a lot of pressure on both teams not to drop points here and therefore the start of this game is expected to be especially close.

Given the circumstances, we feel comfortable picking this game to end in a stalemate in the opening half with terrific prices for this option offered at Paripesa

Odds for this bet

Paripesa offers competitive odds for “First Half – Draw ”

The odd of 2.14 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 47% chance that the opening half of this match will end in a draw

Odds comparisons First Half – Draw

Paripesa – odd 2.14
Betwinner – odd 2.10

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Prediction 3: BTTS NO

Goals haven’t been flying in both of these teams’ recent matches. They are both averaging just 1.40 goals a match in their last 5 games across all competitions.

Going back in history, both matches they have faced off in ended in 1-0 wins for Al Ahly.

We fancy another close game here with few chances either way. All factors considered, we are backing the BTTS No market as our final Al Ahly vs Belouizdad prediction here

Statistics for Al Ahly vs Belouizdad Prediction

H2H statistics

These teams have met twice before in the group stage back in 2001:

  • Al Ahly won both matches 1-0
  • Just 2 goals scored meaning the average is just a goal a match
  • Ah Ally won 1-0 away in their last match

Latest results Al Ahly

  • 2 wins and 3 draws in their last 5 matches
  • 7 goals scored in these last 5 matches. Average of just 1.40 goals per match
  • Drew 1-1 away at Young Africans in their last match

Latest results Belouizdad

  • 3 wins and 2 losses in their last 5 matches
  • Also scored 7 goals scored in their last 5 matches. Average 1.40 goals per match
  • Lost 2-1 away at Medeama in their last match
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Possible squad Al Ahly vs Medeama SC

Line upAl AhlyBelouizdad
GoalkeeperEl ShenawyGuendouz
DefenseTawfik, Rabia, Abdelmonem, MaaloulBelkhiter, Keddad, Laouaf
MidfieldDieng, Ateya, AshourBentahar, Samake, Hadded, Benguit, Selmi
ForwardTau, Kahraba, El ShahatBoussouf, Darfalo
CoachMarcel KollerMarcos Paqueta

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