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Atletico MG - Flamengo
Brazil Serie A
Thu, 04.07.2024 – 3:30 AM GMT+3
our main tip:
Under 3.5 Goals

Atletico MG vs Flamengo prediction

The Brazilian Serie A is entering its 14th round with the latest collection of fixtures one of which will see Atletico Mineiro welcome league leaders, Flamengos. The home team have been struggling lately and results have been hardly going their way. In their last five matches, they have only managed a solitary win in a bad run of form that also included two losses.

Flamengo on the other hand have been enjoying a good run and it is no surprise they are at the top of the league after amassing 27 points from their first 13 games. The leaves them three points above their nearest challenger, Botafogo on 24 points.

This match looks like Flamengo should take the win on paper, but the home team will be fighting tooth and nail to get more points on the board to get into the top half of the league and take it from there.

However, from a betting angle, this match will be closely fought with few chances created in the match. Therefore, we are backing under 3.5 goals as our main Atletico Mineiro vs Flamengo prediction.

Our free betting tips are curated by our team of experts with years of betting experiences.

Main tip: Under 3.5 Goals

Our Atletico MG vs Flamengo predictions

According to the statistics and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following tips:

Prediction 1: Under 3.5 Goals

3 reasons why we back Under 3.5 Goals in this match:

  • The last 2 Atletico MG matches produced under 3.5 goals
  • Flamengo’s last 5 macthes returned under 3.5 goals
  • Their last 5 H2H meetings finished with under 3.5 goals

Odds for this bet

Helabet offers competitive odds for the bet “Under 3.5 Goals”

The odd of 1.21 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 83% chance that there will be less than four total goals scored in this match.

Odds comparison for Under 3.5 Goals

Helabet – odd 1.21
Betwinner – odd 1.21

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Prediction 2: Under 10.5 Corners

3 reasons why we are predicting that there will be less than 11 total corners in this match:

  • 3 of Flamengo’s last 5 matches recorded under 10.5 corners
  • Their last 5 H2H returned at less than 11 corners
  • 3 of Atletico MG’s last 5 games returned less than 11 total corner kicks

Odds for this bet

Paripesa offers competitive odds for “Under 10.5 Corners”

The odd of 1.55 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 65% chance that there will be less than 11 total corner kicks in this match.

Odds comparisons for Under 10.5 Corners

Paripesa – odd 1.55
1xBet – odd 1.50

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Prediction 3: Over 1.5 Goals

3 reasons why we back Over 1.5 Goals:

  • Each of Atletico’s last 5 games recorded no less than 2 total goals
  • 4 of Flamengo’s last 5 games produced over 1.5 goals
  • 4 of their last 5 H2H meetings returned no less than 2 total goals

Statistics for Atletico MG vs Flamengo Prediction

Team news Atletico MG!

  • Left sided defender, Rubens is still out with a knee injury and Romulo is expected to continue on the left the three-man defence
  • Bruno Fuchs sat out their last match due to suspension, but he should be restored in the starting line up after serving his suspension
  • Guilherme Arana is missing out as he is with Brazil on international duties

Team news Flamengo!

  • Midfielder, Erick Pulgar will not be in action as he is away at the Copa America with Chile
  • Igor Jesus is suffering from an Ankle injury and Gerson is expected to continue to play in his role
  • Nicolas De La Cruz and Matias Vina are both way with Uruguay on international duty

H2H statistics

Considering the last 47 meetings between these teams:

  • Atletico MG has 20 wins, Flamengo has 19 wins, and 8 matches ended in a draw
  • They scored an average of 2.77 goals per match
  • Their last meeting ended 0-3 in favour of Atletico MG

Latest results Atletico MG

  • 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 5 matches
  • 6 goals were scored in those matches. Average of 1.20 goals per match
  • They drew 1-1 with Atletico GO in their last match

Latest results Flamengo

  • 3 wins, 1 loss and 1 draw in their last 5 matches
  • 7 goals were scored in those matches. Average of 1.40 goals per match
  • They lost 2-1 against Juventude in their last match
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