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Barcelona - FC Porto
Champions League
Tue, 28.11.2023 – 11:00 PM GMT+3
our main tip:
Under 3.5 Goals

Barcelona vs FC Porto prediction

After losing ground in the La Liga race over the weekend following a 1-1 draw with Rayo Vallecano, Barcelona turn their attention to the Champions League where they are top of the group with 9 points from 4 games. A win here will secure qualification from the group, but it won’t be easy since they are not scoring many goals in recent games (Average 1.00 goals per game in their last 5 games).

FC Porto also have 9 points from 4 games in this UCL group and would very much love to secure qualification with a win here. A 4-0 win in their last match was a major boost, but it was against a lower tier team in the Portuguese Cup. A UCL away match against Barcelona is not likely to yield them many goals, considering Porto couldn’t score at home when the two teams met last month.

For our Barcelona vs FC Porto prediction, we go for Under 3.5 Goals because this is likely to be a low-scoring affair. None of the last 3 head-to-head matches saw more than 2 goals scored, with the most recent encounter ending in a 1-0 win for Barcelona.

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Main tip: Under 3.5 Goals

Our Barcelona vs FC Porto predictions

According to the statistics and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following tips:

Prediction 1: Under 3.5 Goals

At the moment, Barcelona are not scoring many goals as they average only 1 goal per game in their last 5 games. In their last match, they needed an own goal to draw 1-1 with Rayo Vallecano. FC Porto’s scoring run was not so different, until their last match, in which they managed to score 4 goals against a team from the lower division in a cup tie. We expect a low-scoring match when these two teams meet, so our Barcelona vs FC Porto prediction is Under 3.5 Goals.

Odds for this bet

Mozzartbet offers competitive odds for the bet “Under 3.5 Goals”

The odd of 1.41 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 71% chance that not more than 3 total goals will be scored in this match.

Odds comparison for Under 3.5 Goals

Mozzartbet – Odds 1.41
1Win – Odds 1.41

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Prediction 2: Barcelona Win

Barcelona already won the 1st leg of this group encounter 1-0 away to Porto and will be banking on their home advantage to grind another win here. They have won their 2 home games so far in the group and look more likely to secure another 3 points to boost their quest for qualification from a group that is still not easy to call. We reckon that Barcelona will be able to do enough to grab the much-needed crucial win here.

Odds for this bet

1XBet offers competitive odds for “Barcelona Win”

The odd of 1.53 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 65% chance that Barcelona will win this match.

Odds comparisons for Barcelona Win

1XBet – odds 1.53
Betwinner – odds 1.51

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Prediction 3: Over 3.5 Bookings

We are in for a highly contested match as a win here for either team would be a big boost in the group’s qualification fight. The last time these teams met, there were a total of 9 bookings, plus a sending off. As they meet again, it is likely to be another feisty encounter with plenty of fouls and other bookable offenses. A bet of Over 3.5 Bookings is thus in order.

Statistics for Barcelona vs FC Porto Prediction

H2H statistics

We look at the last 4 matches between these two teams:

  • Barcelona have won all the 4 previous matches against FC Porto
  • These matches scored an average of 2.75 goals per match
  • The last time they met Barcelona won 1-0

Latest results Barcelona

  • 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches
  • 5 goals scored in their last 5 matches. Average 1.00 goals per match
  • They drew 1-1 with Rayo Vallecano in their last match

Latest results FC Porto

  • 4 wins and 1 loss in their last 5 matches
  • 10 goals in their last 5 matches. Average 2.00 goals per match
  • They beat CDC Montalegre 4-0 in their last match
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Possible squad Barcelona vs FC Porto

Line upBarcelonaFC Porto
DefenseCancelo, Christensen, Martinez, BaldeJoao Mario, Pepe, Carmo, Zaidu
MidfieldPedri, Gundogan, De JongConceicao, Varela, Eustaquio, Franco
ForwardYamal, Lewandowski, FelixPepê, Evanilson
MissingGavi (ACL), ter Stegen (Back), Roberto (Calf)Carmo (Yellow Cards), Jaime (Muscle), Marcano (Knee), Wendell (Calf)
CoachXavi HernandezSérgio Conceição
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