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Borussia Dortmund - Real Madrid
Champions League Final
Sat, 01.06.2024 – 10:00 PM GMT+3
our main tip:
Madrid Win (DNB)

Borussia Dortmund vs Real Madrid prediction

An exciting match awaits in the UEFA Champions League final, Europe’s biggest club football competition, as two attacking teams go head-to-head. Borussia Dortmund are back to the final for the first time since 2012/13 when they lost 1-2 to Bayern Munich. Real Madrid won the UCL in 2022 after beating Liverpool 1-0 to make it 14 UCL titles in total, the highest in history.

Dortmund surprised many pundits by making it all the way to the final this season. They had to navigate a difficult path that included PSV Eindhoven in the Round of 16, Atletico Madrid in the quarters, and fancied PSG in the semi-finals. Their domestic form was not impressive by their standards, as they finished 5th in the Bundesliga and no domestic cup. A win here would give them their 2nd UCL title in history after their last triumph in 1997.

For Real Madrid, it has been a great season by all means. The newly-crowned La Liga champions won their Champions League group with a 100% record of 6 wins in 6 games. After dismissing RB Leipzig in the round of 16, they had to overcome the defending champions Manchester City in a difficult quarter-final, followed by another UCL giant Bayern Munich in the semis.

Real Madrid start as favorites here having never lost a Champions League final (played 14, won 14). They are unbeaten in the UCL this season and are on a 32-game unbeaten run in La Liga. Dortmund, on the other hand, lost 2 of their last 4 league games, and 3 losses in their last 10 games in all competitions. Nevertheless, it is a final and none can be written off completely. Thus, our Borussia Dortmund vs Real Madrid prediction is Real Madrid Win (Draw No Bet).

Our Champions League betting tips page covers all the big games in this prestigious competition.

Main tip: Real Madrid Win (Draw No Bet)

Our Borussia Dortmund vs Real Madrid Predictions

According to the statistics and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following tips:

Prediction 1: Real Madrid Win (Draw No Bet)

  • Real Madrid are unbeaten in regular time in their last 42 games across all competitions. They are yet to lose in the Champions League this season (won 9, drew 3)
  • Borussia Dortmund lost 3 of their last 10 games, including 2 losses in their last 4 league games to finish 5th in the Bundesliga
  • The head-to-head favor Real Madrid with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 UCL meetings against Dortmund

Odds for this bet

Helabet offers competitive odds for the bet “Real Madrid Win (Draw No Bet)”

The odd of 1.25 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 80% chance that Real Madrid will win this match but the bet is void in case of a draw.

Odds comparison for Real Madrid Win (DNB)

Helabet – odds 1.25
Betwinner – odds 1.25

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Prediction 2: Over 2.5 Goals

  • Dortmund’s 3 of the last 5 games, and Madrid’s 6 of the last 7 games, all scored over 2.5 goals
  • Dortmund scored 11 goals in their last 5 matches, average 2.20 goals per match. Real Madrid scored 15 goals in their last 5 matches, average 3.00 goals per match
  • All the last 4 head-to-head matches between these two teams scored over 3.5 goals

Odds for this bet

1XBet offers competitive odds for “Over 2.5 Goals”

The odd of 1.75 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 57% chance that there will be a total of 3 or more goals scored in this match.

Odds comparisons for Over 2.5 Goals

1XBet – odds 1.75
Paripesa – odds 1.75

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Prediction 3: Vinicius Junior Anytime Scorer

  • Vinicius Junior has scored 5 goals in the Champions League this season
  • He scored twice in the UCL semi-final 1st leg against Bayern Munich
  • He has a total of 23 goals this season for Real Madrid

Statistics for Borussia Dortmund vs Real Madrid Prediction

H2H statistics

We look at the last 13 matches between these teams:

  • Dortmund got 3 wins, Real Madrid 6 wins, there were 4 draws
  • These matches scored an average of 3.54 goals per match
  • The last time they met, Real Madrid won 3-2

Latest results Borussia Dortmund

  • 4 wins and 1 loss in their last 5 matches
  • 11 goals scored in their last 5 matches. Average 2.20 goals per match
  • They beat Darmstadt 4-0 in their last match

Latest results Real Madrid

  • 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 matches
  • 15 goals scored in their last 5 matches. Average 3.00 goals per match
  • They drew 0-0 with Real Betis in their last match
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Possible squads Borussia Dortmund vs Real Madrid

Line upBorussia DortmundReal Madrid
GoalkeeperKobelCourtois
DefenseRyerson, Hummels, Schlotterbeck, MaatsenCarvajal, Rudiger, Fernandez, Mendy
MidfieldCan, Sabitzer, BrandtCamavinga, Kroos, Valverde, Bellingham
ForwardSancho, Fullkrug, AdeyemiRodrygo, Vinicius Junior
MissingBensebaini (Knee), Duranville (Muscle), Haller (Ankle), Bauza (Illness)Alaba (Knee), Tchouameni (Leg)
CoachEdin TerzicCarlo Ancelotti
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