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Dortmund - Newcastle
Champions League
Tue, 07.11.2023 – 8:45 PM GMT+3
our main tip:
Over 9.5 Corners

Dortmund vs Newcastle prediction

Following a 4-0 Bundesliga loss against Bayern last time out, Dortmund will turn their attention to the UEFA Champions League when they host Newcastle on Tuesday. With 1 win, 1 loss and 1 draw, Dortmund have only managed 4 points in 3 from a possible 15. As things stand, the German side sit second in Group G, 2 points behind leaders PSG, and only ahead of Newcastle based on h2h. This means there is still a lot to play for in that Group as each team will fight tooth and nail to grab a ticket to the knockout phase. Last time out, Dortmund beat Newcastle 1-0 at St James’ Park, their first win in this year’s tournament. That win confirmed the theory that Group G is indeed the Group of death and it will take a whole lot for Newcastle to make it out. In this tie, Dortmund will be gunning for all 3 points and do the double over Newcastle.

For Newcastle, a return to the UCL for the first time in 20 years is a huge achievement. However, to go beyond this stage, Eddie Howe’s men need to start getting result. As we approach match day 4, the Magpies are 3rd on the log with the same number of points as Dortmund. Since beating PSG 4-1 on match day 2, Eddie Howe’s men have really not been at their best in this tournament. Here, Newcastle will be looking to earn their first win against a German side since 2003. If successful, Newcastle will be on 7 points, putting them in pole position for possible ticket to the knockout phase.

Certainly, Dortmund and Newcastle will be desperate for a positive result as the Group phase battle intensifies. Based on this, we expect a thrilling and exciting tie from start to finish. Hence, for our Dortmund Vs Newcastle prediction, we expect an mouth watering tie with at least 10 corners played.

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Main tip: Over 9.5 Corners

Our Dortmund vs Newcastle predictions

According to the statistics and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following tips:

Prediction 1: Over 9.5 Corners

Dortmund will be playing their 150th UCL match when they host Newcastle on Tuesday. This number of games is the second highest for a German side, only behind Bayern’s 285. This experience came to the fore in the reverse fixture as Dortmund humbled Newcastle 1-0 right there in England. At the moment, both teams are not where they want to be, having only managed 1 win each. This means to be in a good position for a last 16 ticket, something positive must come out of this tie. Given this thirst on both sides, we are anticipating an explosive game with at least 10 corners played.

Odds for this bet

Betwinner offers competitive odds for the bet “Over 9.5 Corners”

The odd of 1.55 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 65% chance that there will be at 10 corners here

Odds comparison for Over 9.5 Corners

Betwinner – odds 1.55
Melbet – odds 1.54

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Prediction 2: Under 3.5 Goals

The last time both sides met, it ended 1-0 to Dortmund. That game came after Dortmund’s 0-0 draw against AC Milan, indicating how tough it is to grind out result in this Group G. Here, Dortmund will be gunning for a double over an English side for the first time since 1996/97 season when they beat Man United 1-0 over 2 legs. Also, a trip to Germany has always been very tough for English sides. In fact, no English manager has won an away tie in Germany since Sir Bobby Robson did so with Newcastle back in 2003. Based on this, it is evident that we are in for a keenly contested game as both teams battle for survival in the Group. Therefore, for our second Dortmund Vs Newcastle prediction, we expect less than 4 goals.

Odds for this bet

Betboro offers competitive odds for “Under 3.5 Goals”

The odd of 1.48 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 68% chance that this match will produce less than 4 goals.

Odds comparisons for Under 3.5 Goals

Betboro – odds 1.48
Mozzart – odds 1.47

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Prediction 3: Over 2.5 Bookings

With few games to go in the UCL Group stage this season, emotions will certainly be running high as teams scamper for the next available points. These points would certainly be crucial in separating the boys from the men and deciding who makes it through to the next stage. With this desperation and thirst for a good result, we expect loads of passion and intrigues to come to the for here. Based on this level of intensity, we are anticipating that at least 3 bookings will be recorded in this tie.

Statistics for Dortmund vs Newcastle Prediction

H2H statistics

Both teams have met just once and Dortmund won the tie 1-0

Latest results Dortmund

  • 3 wins, 1 loss and 1 draw in their last 5 matches
  • 9 goals scored in their last 5 matches. Average 1.80 goals per match
  • In their last match, they lost 4-0 to Bayern

Latest results Newcastle

  • 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 5 matches
  • 10 goals in their last 5 matches. Average 2.00 goals per match
  • They beat Arsenal 1-0 in their last match
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Possible squad Dortmund & Newcastle

Line upDortmundNewcastle
DefenseWolf, Hummels, Schlotterbeck, BensebainiLivramento, Schär, Lascelles, Trippier
MidfieldSabitzer, Nmecha, OzcanJoelinton, Guimarães, Longstaff
ForwardReus, Füllkrug, AdeyemiGordon, Wilson, Almiron
MissingCan ( Hip), Duranville (Thigh), Morey (Knee)Barnes (Ankle), Targett (Hamstring), Isak (Leg), Botman (Knee)
CoachEdin TerzićEddie Howe

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