Olympiacos vs Real Madrid Prediction
The fifth matchday of the Champions League group stage brings a crucial fixture as Olympiakos Piraeus host Real Madrid on Wednesday, 26 November 2025, at 11:00 PM GMT +3 at the Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium. This encounter assumes heightened significance for both clubs: Olympiakos seek to arrest a poor group campaign and salvage pride on home soil, while Real Madrid aim to consolidate their position in the group and move closer to qualification. The following preview offers an analytical assessment of form, statistics and betting recommendations for this fixture.
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Our main tip: Away win for Real Madrid (Tip 2)
Betting prediction: Real Madrid to win (Tip 2). Real Madrid arrive in Piraeus with superior group-stage returns and a more convincing goal difference: 9 points, 8 scored and 2 conceded, compared with Olympiakos’s 2 points and a 2:9 goal tally. The Spanish side’s attacking balance and experience in continental competition make them the favourite to secure all three points. While Olympiakos will be competitive at Georgios Karaiskakis and have registered encouraging domestic results recently, their Champions League defensive record is concerning and suggests vulnerability against a technical and well-organised opposition coached by Xabi Alonso. Considering the comparative quality across the squad, the pragmatic expectation is for an away victory. Best odds on this market: Betwinner — Tip 2 at 1.38.
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Both teams score? No
Betting tip: Both teams will NOT score. The rationale for a “No” on both teams to score rests on Olympiakos’s defensive frailties in the Champions League to date (9 goals conceded in four group matches) combined with their modest scoring output (2 goals). Real Madrid have demonstrated an ability to control games and convert chances efficiently; when facing teams that struggle for consistent attacking production at continental level, they are capable of shutting down offensive opportunities and preserving a clean sheet. Consequently, a bet on both teams not scoring is reasonable: the expectation is that Real Madrid will score at least once while Olympiakos may find it difficult to breach Madrid’s rearguard. Best odds on this market: Paripesa — Both teams NO at 2.07.
Over/Under prediction: Under 2.5 goals
Prediction: Under 2.5 goals. A conservative goals projection is justified by contrasting factors: Olympiakos’s poor group offensive record suggests limited goal threat, while Real Madrid’s tactical discipline under Xabi Alonso can lead to controlled, lower-scoring outcomes in away European fixtures where defensive caution is prioritised. Additionally, knockout-conscious group matches later in the group phase often produce cautious strategies from both managers, particularly with one side (Real Madrid) looking to secure qualification and the other (Olympiakos) attempting to avoid collapse. Taken together, these elements favour a match with relatively few goals — under 2.5 goals is the preferred market. Best odds for Under 2.5 goals market: 2.49 at Betwinner.
Correct score prediction: 0:2 Away win for Real Madrid
Prediction: 0:2 in favour of Real Madrid. The suggested correct score aligns with the expectation that Real Madrid will control the game and secure a shutout while scoring a couple of goals through efficient attacking play. This scoreline reflects the disparity in Champions League group form and the defensive problems Olympiakos have faced in this competition. As always with exact-score predictions, the market is high-risk but offers meaningful returns if the match unfolds as anticipated. Best odds on this market: The 0:2 correct score is 7.00 on Betwinner.
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Statistics for Olympiakos Piraeus vs Real Madrid
Olympiakos Piraeus team news!
Olympiakos head into this fixture under the stewardship of José Luis Mendilíbar. In the Champions League group they have collected 2 points from four matches, occupying a lowly position with a record of 0 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats and a goal difference of 2:9. Their home record in the competition reads 0 wins and 2 draws from two matches; Georgios Karaiskakis has not yielded a group-stage victory thus far. Contrastingly, their recent domestic form is encouraging — across all competitions the team has compiled four wins and one draw in the last five matches, evidencing strong momentum at club level. Despite that domestic run, the gulf in European form and the limited goal return in the Champions League present meaningful concerns ahead of hosting Real Madrid.
Real Madrid team news!
Real Madrid are managed by Xabi Alonso. In the Champions League group they have accrued 9 points and sit comfortably higher in the table with a record of 3 wins and 1 defeat, having netted 8 goals while conceding 2. Their away form in the group reads 1 win and 1 defeat. Across all competitions their recent sequence comprises two wins, two draws and one defeat in the last five matches, indicating reasonable stability albeit with occasional setbacks. Under Alonso’s guidance, Real Madrid have shown a disciplined approach and a capacity to perform in critical European fixtures; their attacking efficiency and defensive organisation make them a formidable proposition on the road.
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H2H statistics
In the most recent head-to-head meetings between these clubs (two matches across all competitions), Real Madrid have emerged victorious on both occasions. The last direct meeting ended as a 2:1 home win for Real Madrid. Historically, Real Madrid’s pedigree and experience in European competition have translated into superior head-to-head performances against Olympiakos.
Last results — Olympiakos Piraeus
In their last five matches across all competitions, Olympiakos have recorded four wins and one draw, with no defeats. This sequence indicates a very positive current form domestically, even if that form has not translated into success in the Champions League group stage. The team shows resilience and strong results at national level, which should not be ignored when assessing their chance in a single-match scenario.
Last results — Real Madrid
Real Madrid’s most recent five matches in all competitions produced two wins, two draws and one defeat. This record denotes relative consistency but also an ability to be held at times. Their continental form remains superior to Olympiakos’s in the group context, though the recent domestic and cup results suggest a squad that can be managed tactically to prioritise European objectives.
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Conclusion
On balance, Real Madrid are the clear favourites for this fixture. Their superior Champions League points tally, better goal difference and proven head-to-head success against Olympiakos underpin the assessment. While Olympiakos enjoy strong recent domestic form and will be buoyed by home support at the Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium, their Champions League scoring difficulties and defensive concessions make it difficult to foresee them overturning Madrid on this occasion. The preview’s principal outcome expectation is an away win for Real Madrid (Tip 2), combined with the likelihood that both teams will not score and that the match will produce fewer than 2.5 goals; the suggested exact score is 0:2 in favour of Real Madrid. As always, consult current team news, lineups and official confirmations before placing any wagers.
