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Chelsea - Middlesbrough
Tue, 23.01.2024 – 11:00 PM GMT+3
our main tip:
HC -1 Chelsea Win

Chelsea vs Middlesbrough EFL prediction

The first leg 1-0 loss to Championship side Middlesbrough must have come as a surprise to Chelsea, especially since they had started stringing a good run together (4 wins in their last 5 games). They get a chance to put things right at home in Stamford Bridge. Coach Mauricio Pochettino should have enough charges to navigate this tie and reach the final.

Middlesbrough could be just 90 minutes away from a Wembley final if they can avoid defeat in this match. It is a tough call, but they managed to shut out Chelsea in the 1st leg and will believe that it can be done again. Michael Carrick’s men are not shy playing away as they boast of 4 wins in their last 5 away games, including a 3-0 away win to Port Vale in the quarter final of this competition.

This is Chelsea’s most realistic chance of winning silverware this season and we expect them to go all out and secure victory here. Their excellent recent form, especially at Stamford Bridge where they are unbeaten in the last 8 games (W6 D2), makes us believe that they will get a convincing win here. Our Chelsea vs Middlesbrough prediction is Handicap -1 Chelsea Win.

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Main tip: Handicap -1 Chelsea Win

Our Chelsea vs Middlesbrough

According to the statistics and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following tips:

Prediction 1: Handicap -1 Chelsea Win

Chelsea have been impressive in recent games, having managed 4 wins in their last 5 games. They are even more formidable when playing at home, where they are now on an 8-match unbeaten run (won 6, drawn 2). Middlesbrough may have won the 1st leg of this tie, but all indications are that they will be overwhelmed at Stamford Bridge. For our Chelsea vs Middlesbrough prediction, we expect a convincing win from the Blues so we go for Handicap -1 Chelsea Win.

Odds for this bet

Helabet offers competitive odds for the bet “Handicap -1 Chelsea Win”

The odd of 1.73 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 58% chance that Chelsea will win this match with a margin of at least 2 goals.

Odds comparison for Handicap -1 Chelsea Win

Helabet – odds 1.73
Betwinner – odds 1.73

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Prediction 2: Both Teams To Score No

At least one side failed to score in Chelsea’s last 3 games while 2 out of Middlesbrough’s last 4 games also saw at least one team failing to score. What is more intriguing is that all the last 5 head-to-head meetings all had one team failing to score. As Boro take a narrow lead to the Bridge, we expect another tight encounter, and a bet of Both Teams To Score No (BTTS No) looks quite attractive for this match.

Odds for this bet

1XBet offers competitive odds for “Both Teams To Score No”

The odd of 1.93 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 52% chance that one or both teams will fail to score in this match.

Odds comparisons for Both Teams To Score No

1XBet – odds 1.93
Paripesa – odds 1.93

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Prediction 3: Under 3.5 Goals

If the first leg score-line of 1-0 is anything to go by, we should not expect lots of goals in this match. Boro will fight hard to defend their advantage while Chelsea would not want to fall further back in the aggregate score. Added to the fact that neither team has been prolific in recent games, there is a high possibility that this will be a low-scoring match so Under 3.5 Goals is a good bet.

Statistics for Chelsea vs Middlesbrough Prediction

H2H statistics

We look at the last 26 matches between these teams:

  • Chelsea got 18 wins, Middlesbrough 4 wins, and there were 4 draws
  • These matches scored an average of 2.00 goals per match
  • The last time they met, Middlesbrough won 1-0

Latest results Chelsea

  • 4 wins and 1 loss in their last 5 matches
  • 10 goals scored in their last 5 matches. Average 2.00 goals per match
  • They bear Fulham 1-0 in their last match

Latest results Middlesbrough

  • 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches
  • 6 goals scored in their last 5 matches. Average 1.20 goals per match
  • They drew 1-1 with Rotherham in their last match
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Possible squad Chelsea vs Middlesbrough

Line upChelseaMiddlesbrough
DefenseGusto, Disasi, Silva, ColwillAyling, Fry, Clarke, Engel
MidfieldFernandez, Caicedo, Gallagher Barlaser, Hackney, Jones, Rogers, Azaz
ForwardPalmer, Broja, SterlingGreenwood
MissingCucurella (Ankle), Fofana (Knee), James (Thigh), Lavia (Injury), Nkunku (Hip), Sanchez (Knee), Ugochukwu (Thigh)Bangura (Leg), Dieng (Hip), Latte Lath (Muscle), Lenihan (Achilles), McGree (National team), Silvera (National team), Smith (Achilles)
CoachMauricio PochettinoMichael Carrick
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