Baleares vs Atletico Madrid Prediction
The Copa del Rey fixture between Atlético Baleares and Atlético Madrid is scheduled for Wednesday, 17 December 2025, with kick-off at 21:00. This cup tie contrasts a Segunda Federación side that has enjoyed a strong recent run under coach Luis Blanco with a top-level, tournament-experienced Atlético Madrid side led by Diego Simeone. Although the two clubs have no prior head-to-head meetings on record, the clear gulf in squad quality, resources and European experience establishes Atlético Madrid as the favourites. The following is our structured betting prediction and analysis for the match, together with ancillary market selections and the best available odds.
You can bank on our Copa del Rey betting tips to serve as a guide for you in this fixture and other matches in the competition.
Main Tip: Both teams score? No
Our principal betting tip concerns the Both Teams To Score market, where we advise backing “No”. The reasoning aligns with expectations that Atlético Madrid will prioritise defensive organisation and limit Atlético Baleares’ effective scoring opportunities. Diego Simeone’s teams traditionally emphasise compactness and risk control — attributes that are especially pronounced in knockout cup matches. Meanwhile, Atlético Baleares, though in good form in their tier, typically encounter a higher tactical and physical barrier when facing top-division opponents, which often translates into fewer clear-cut chances.
In light of the match dynamics and probable game plan — with Atlético Madrid expected to manage the contest and restrict high-quality chances — the “Both teams do not score” selection appears plausible. The best available odds for Both Teams To Score — No are 1.81 at Betwinner.
While we have predicted BTTS? No outcome in this encounter, we have loads of BTTS prediction for games with that potential.
Betting Tip 2: Atletico Madrid Win -Tip 2
Our second betting prediction is an away victory for Atlético Madrid. The rationale rests on multiple factors: superior squad depth, tactical discipline under Diego Simeone, and Atlético Madrid’s consistent competitive level in cup and league competitions compared with the lower-tier status of Atlético Baleares. Atlético Madrid arrive in decent form, having secured three wins and suffered two defeats in their last five matches, while Atlético Baleares have shown impressive recent domestic form with four wins and a single defeat in their last five. Nevertheless, the disparity in individual quality and experience, particularly in decisive moments of cup fixtures, should favour the visitors.
From a risk-management perspective, Atlético Madrid’s capability to control tempo and exploit set-piece and transition opportunities makes them the logical pick for the 1X2 market. The best available price for this selection is 1.21 at Betwinner. Given the context of a knockout tie where Atlético Madrid are expected to press for control and minimise exposure, backing the away win represents the most straightforward and statistically defensible single-market stake.
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Betting Tip 3: Over 2.5 goals
As a third market suggestion, we propose the Over/Under market with a recommendation for Over 2.5 goals. This selection anticipates an open contest in which Atlético Madrid’s attacking intent and Atletico Baleares’ relative defensive vulnerabilities at a higher level combine to create multiple scoring opportunities. Cup ties between mismatched sides often produce fluctuating momentum: the favourites may score early and then concede either through inattention, set-pieces, or the underdog’s opportunistic responses. Additionally, Atlético Baleares’ recent offensive form suggests they are capable of contributing to the scoreboard, while Atlético Madrid possess the firepower to score multiple goals.
While the Over 2.5 market carries greater variance than lower goal lines, it can offer significant value when the tactical picture suggests both high-intensity attacking phases and potential defensive exposures. Note that the supplied data does not include a specific best-odds quote for the Over 2.5 market; bettors should consult current bookmaker boards to secure the most favourable price before placing a wager.
Statistics for Atlético Baleares vs Atlético Madrid
Atlético Baleares team news!
Atlético Baleares, coached by Luis Blanco, have produced encouraging recent form, recording four wins and one defeat in their last five matches across competitions. The team’s confidence domestically is evident, and Blanco has demonstrated the ability to prepare his squad effectively for competitive fixtures. For this cup tie, Atlético Baleares will likely adopt an organised and disciplined approach, aiming to exploit set-pieces and fast transitions whenever possible. However, limitations in squad depth and the step-up in class when facing Atlético Madrid should temper expectations. Injuries, squad rotation and the need to balance league commitments may also influence Blanco’s selection and tactical approach.
Atlético Madrid team news!
Atlético Madrid, under the stewardship of Diego Simeone, come into the match with three wins and two defeats in their last five outings. Simeone’s teams are renowned for defensive organisation, physicality and efficiency on the break. Atlético Madrid have the resources to rotate players while maintaining a high tactical standard, which is a decisive advantage in cup competitions. Expect Simeone to field a strong side intent on progressing, though he may also manage minutes for certain starters in light of other calendar commitments. The visitors’ strategic emphasis will likely be on controlling central zones, limiting the hosts’ dangerous possessions and capitalising on set-pieces and transition chances.
H2H statistics
There are no recorded head-to-head meetings between Atlético Baleares and Atlético Madrid in the data provided. The historical record stands at 0 meetings across all competitions: 0 wins for Atlético Baleares, 0 draws, and 0 wins for Atlético Madrid. As a consequence, direct historical comparison adds no additional insight to predict the outcome, and analysis must rely on current form, squad assessment and tactical profiles.
Last results Atlético Baleares
In their most recent sequence of five matches, Atlético Baleares have achieved four wins and suffered one defeat. This run indicates a team in good domestic rhythmic form and suggests confidence among the playing group. The current form profile shows strong momentum, which could make them competitive in a one-off cup match. Nonetheless, form must be contextualised against the level of opposition; success in lower tiers does not directly equate to guaranteed resilience against top-division opponents.
Last results Atlético Madrid
Atlético Madrid’s recent five-match record shows three wins and two defeats. While not flawless, this pattern demonstrates competitive consistency. The squad’s blend of defensive focus and attacking quality, combined with the managerial experience of Diego Simeone, sustains their status as favourites in knockout encounters. The two recent defeats suggest areas for improvement, but in cup ties the team often exhibits a pragmatic approach designed to secure progression.
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Conclusion
On balance, Atlético Madrid enter this Copa del Rey tie as clear favourites. The squad quality, managerial experience under Diego Simeone, and the club’s habitual performance in high-stakes matches give the visitors a distinct advantage. Atlético Baleares’ recent good form under Luis Blanco should not be underestimated and can produce a spirited performance; however, the step up in opposition quality is substantial. Our recommended primary bet is both teams to score? No, and away win for Atlético Madrid and over 2.5 goals.
