Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao Copa Prediction
The Copa del Rey encounter between Valencia FC and Athletic Bilbao will take place on Wednesday, 04.02.2026 at 11:00 local time at the Estadio de Mestalla. This cup tie brings together two storied Spanish clubs with contrasting recent forms and differing tactical emphases under their respective coaches. Valencia, led by Carlos Corberán, arrives with encouraging momentum, while Ernesto Valverde’s Athletic side has shown irregular results in recent weeks. The last direct meeting between these teams ended in a 2:0 home victory for Valencia, a result that will inform expectations but not determine them conclusively, given the cup context and the capacity for single-match surprises.
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Our betting predictions for the match Valencia FC vs Athletic Bilbao
Main Betting Tip: DC Valencia/Draw
Our principal betting prediction for this fixture is for Valencia FC to avoid defeat. Valencia’s recent sequence of results — three wins, one draw, and one defeat in their last five matches across all competitions — indicates a team in better competitive rhythm than Athletic. Playing at Mestalla confers a meaningful advantage: Valencia have shown resilience at home, and under coach Carlos Corberán, they have developed a more cohesive defensive structure paired with rapid transitional play that can punish opponents on the break. Athletic Bilbao, by contrast, arrive with only one victory in their last five outings and have struggled for consistent attacking output. On the DC market, the best available odds for a Valencia double chance are 1.64 at 1win. This market value, combined with home advantage and superior recent form, supports the selection of a home victory as the primary prediction.
Tip 2: Both teams score? No
As a secondary betting tip, we predict that neither team will score (Both teams score? No). Valencia’s defensive organisation under Corberán has proved increasingly difficult to breach, and Athletic’s recent form suggests a lack of cutting edge in attack: they have recorded only a single win in their last five matches and have been prone to falls in defensive concentration. Consequently, a clean-sheet outcome for one side is plausible, and the most likely scenario is that Athletic will fail to find the net. The best quoted odds available for “Both teams to score — No” is 1.80 at Paripesa.
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Tip 3: Correct score prediction — 1:1 Draw
As an alternative, less-favoured fourth prediction, we propose the correct score 1:1. This selection reflects the cup-match unpredictability and the historical tendency for competitive matches between these clubs to produce tight scorelines. A 1:1 result would represent an outcome where Athletic can muster at least one offensive success while Valencia is unable to convert a definitive advantage into a winning margin. The proper odds for the 1:1 correct score are best priced at Paripesa.
Statistics for Valencia FC vs Athletic Bilbao
Valencia FC team news!
Valencia enters this Copa del Rey tie under the stewardship of coach Carlos Corberán. The team’s recent form — three wins, one draw, and one defeat across the last five fixtures — demonstrates an upward trajectory in competitive performance. Corberán’s approach has emphasized collective defensive organisation and dynamic forward transitions, allowing Valencia to be compact without possession and direct when attacking. The team’s morale will be influenced by their most recent outing, a 1:2 away loss to Real Betis, which may prompt tactical adjustments aimed at restoring home confidence at Mestalla. Injuries or availability concerns have not been specified here, but any final-team news should be confirmed close to kickoff.
Athletic Bilbao team news!
Athletic Bilbao is managed by Ernesto Valverde, a coach with extensive experience in Spanish football and knowledge of Copa del Rey proceedings. Recent form for Athletic reads as one win, one draw, and three defeats in the last five matches, and their most recent match was a 1:1 home draw against Real Sociedad. Valverde’s side has displayed intermittent resilience, but lacks sustained offensive potency in this recent sequence. Tactical emphasis from Athletic will likely aim to control midfield and strike on set pieces and counterattacks, yet defensive lapses have contributed to their mixed results. Final squad composition and any last-minute absences should be checked nearer to kickoff.
H2H statistics
The two clubs have met five times in all competitions with a balanced recent record: two wins for Valencia, one draw and two wins for Athletic Bilbao. The last direct meeting concluded with a 2:0 home victory for Valencia, a result that illustrates Valencia’s ability to secure decisive outcomes at Mestalla against this opponent. Historical head-to-head details suggest competitive parity, though current form tilts the advantage marginally toward Valencia.
Last results Valencia FC
In their last five matches across all competitions Valencia have recorded three wins, one draw and one defeat. This sequence represents a solid run of form entering the cup tie and indicates that the side is in relatively good condition competitively. The recent away defeat to Real Betis (1:2) may have been a minor setback but should not overshadow the positive results achieved before and around that fixture.
Last results Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao’s last five matches comprise one win, one draw and three defeats. This record reflects inconsistency and suggests vulnerabilities that opponents can exploit, particularly in phases where Athletic have shown lapses in concentration. The most recent result, a 1:1 draw at home against Real Sociedad, demonstrates a capacity for competitiveness but not the consistency required to neutralize a confident Valencia at Mestalla.
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Conclusion
On balance, Valencia FC emerge as the favourites for this Copa del Rey tie. Home advantage at the Estadio de Mestalla, superior recent results (three wins, one draw, one defeat), and the tactical organisation instilled by Carlos Corberán combine to give Valencia the edge. Athletic Bilbao, while never to be underestimated under Ernesto Valverde, arrive with less convincing form and limited attacking productivity. Our principal recommendation is a Valencia home win (Tip 1) at best available odds of 2.64 with 1win. Complementary bets reflected above — Both teams do not score (No) at 1.80 with Paripesa, Over 2.5 goals (check current market odds), and the alternate correct score of 1:1 — provide a range of options for differing risk profiles.
