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Bayer Leverkusen - St. Pauli
DFB Pokal
Tue, 03.02.2026 – 10:45 PM GMT+3
our main tip:
HC -1 Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen vs St. Pauli Prediction

The DFB-Pokal tie between Bayer Leverkusen and FC St. Pauli will take place on Tuesday, 03.02.2026 at 10:45 PM (GMT+3) at the BayArena. This cup fixture features a Bundesliga heavyweight in Leverkusen — coached by Kasper Hjulmand — against a determined but out-of-form FC St. Pauli under Alexander Blessin. Recent encounters and current form point to a clear favourite, but cup games often carry their own dynamics. The most recent direct meeting ended in a 2:1 away victory for Bayer Leverkusen, and the head-to-head over the last five meetings favours Leverkusen heavily.

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Main Betting Tip: HC -1 Leverkusen

Leverkusen have been superior in recent head-to-heads, taking four wins and one draw from the last five meetings across all competitions. Their current league and cup momentum is reflected in three wins, no draws and two defeats in their last five matches across all competitions, including a confident 3:1 away performance at Eintracht Frankfurt. Kasper Hjulmand’s side enjoys home advantage at the BayArena, where squad depth and attacking quality should prove decisive against a St. Pauli team that has failed to win in its last five matches. Alexander Blessin’s unit is short on confidence, as shown by two draws and three defeats in their last five outings, and their defensive vulnerabilities are likely to be exposed by Leverkusen’s structured attack and superior individual talent. This is why you are advised to bet on Handicap -1 Leverkusen

Betting Tip 2: Under 3.5 goals

Despite Leverkusen’s offensive strengths, cup ties often adopt a more measured tempo, especially in early knockout rounds where favourites prefer control over reckless forward play. St. Pauli’s recent form indicates defensive frailties but also a lack of cutting edge in attack; their inability to convert chances consistently reduces the overall expected goal tally. Additionally, Leverkusen may prioritise game management once in front rather than pursue an excessively high-scoring rout. These factors point toward a low-scoring contest, making Under 3.5 goals a sensible selection in combination with a Leverkusen win.

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Betting Tip 3: Correct score 2-0

Finally we are suggesting a correct score 2-0 to Bayer Leverkusen. This specific scoreline balances Leverkusen’s likelihood to control the match and break down the St. Pauli defence while also reflecting the visitors’ potential to pressure and limit the goal margin. A 2:0 result captures the expectation of a disciplined home performance: efficient finishing from Leverkusen combined with an organized defensive display that prevents St. Pauli from scoring. It also aligns with the Under 2.5 goals forecast. Best available market information: Correct score 2:0 (specific odds not provided in the supplied data; consult Betwinner or other bookmakers for the current correct-score price).

Betting Predictions from betting-tips.africa

Statistics for Bayer Leverkusen vs FC St. Pauli

Bayer Leverkusen team news!

Kasper Hjulmand presides over a team that enters this cup tie with confidence derived from recent positive results and strong head-to-head form against FC St. Pauli. Leverkusen have secured three wins in their last five matches across all competitions, a run that includes a notable away victory against a quality Bundesliga opponent. Hjulmand’s tactical approach generally emphasizes structured possession, vertical transitions and clinical finishing; at the BayArena his side will be expected to dominate territorial and territorial statistics while controlling the game’s tempo. Squad depth should allow Hjulmand to make targeted rotations for the cup without substantially weakening his starting XI.

FC St. Pauli team news!

Alexander Blessin’s FC St. Pauli are struggling for results, with no wins, two draws and three defeats in their most recent five matches in all competitions. The lack of victories has impacted team morale and consistency, and the visitors must contend with the challenge of containing Leverkusen’s attackers while attempting to find scoring opportunities themselves. Blessin may set his team up to be compact and disciplined defensively, hoping to hit on the break; however, St. Pauli’s recent form suggests they will have to raise their standards significantly to threaten progression at the BayArena.

H2H statistics

The head-to-head record over the last five meetings across all competitions is heavily in favour of Bayer Leverkusen: 4 wins for Leverkusen, 1 draw and 0 wins for FC St. Pauli. The most recent direct encounter ended 2:1 in favour of Leverkusen away from home, reinforcing the psychological and tactical edge that Leverkusen possess in this matchup.

Last results Bayer Leverkusen

In their last five matches across all competitions Bayer Leverkusen have registered 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats. The current formline suggests a team capable of strong performances but not entirely immune to setbacks; nevertheless, their recent victory against Eintracht Frankfurt illustrates their capacity to deliver when required.

Last results FC St. Pauli

FC St. Pauli’s last five matches across all competitions have produced 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats. This sequence underscores a side experiencing offensive struggles and inconsistent defensive displays, contributing to a lack of confidence when facing higher-quality opposition.

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Conclusion

On balance, Bayer Leverkusen enter this DFB-Pokal fixture as clear favourites. Kasper Hjulmand’s team benefits from superior head-to-head records, better recent form and home advantage at the BayArena. FC St. Pauli will seek to frustrate and strike on transitional moments under Alexander Blessin, but their recent run without a win makes an upset less probable. Our recommended primary selection is a Handicap -1 Leverkusen victory, complemented by an overall match total under 2.5 goals, and a projected correct score of 2:0 to Bayer Leverkusen.

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