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Mainz - Bayern Munich
DFB Pokal
Wed, 30.10.2024 – 10:45 PM GMT+3
our main tip:
HC +1 Bayern Win

Mainz vs Bayern Munich Pokal prediction

Mainz will be looking to shake off a string of inconsistent performances in the domestic scene when they shift their focus to the DFB Pokal with a tough outing against Bavarian giants Bayern Munich this week. Mainz failed to pick up what would have been their first home win of this season when they were held to a 1-1 stalemate by Monchengladbach at the weekend despite dominating the match for long stretches. Bo Henriksen’s men have their work cut out here but they will be determined to upset the bookies 

After a stinging defeat to Barcelona in midweek, all attention was on Bayern Munich and they duly responded with a 5-0 thrashing away at basement club Bochum at the weekend to move back to the top of the standings. The cake was shared evenly with first-half goals from Olise and Musiala and second-half contributions from top scorer Kane, Sane and Coman completing the rout. They now shift gears to the cup which they lost to the all-conquering Leverkusen side as they seek to once again stamp their authority on the domestic front

This is going to be an interesting match but we expect it to pretty much go one way here. Bayern have been on an absolute tear this season and we are picking them to win with ease here as we expect Vincent Kompany to field a relatively strong squad here. We are therefore picking Bayern to win with a margin of at least 2 goals as our main Mainz vs Bayern Munich prediction for this match

Check out our latest published DFB Pokal betting tips featuring all the top games from this round of the competition

Main Tip: Handicap +1 Bayern Munich Win

Our Mainz vs Bayern Munich Predictions

According to the statistics and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following tips:

Prediction 1: Handicap +1 Bayern Munich Win

Here are 3 reasons why we are backing Bayern to win this match by at least 2 or more goals:

  • They have won each of the last 6 straight H2H encounters by at least 2 goals
  • On the domestic front they have won the last two games against Stuttgart and Bochum by a combined 9-0 scoreline
  • Bayern have been good on their travels with 7 wins in their last 10 matches across all competitions

Odds for this bet

1Win offers competitive odds for the bet “Handicap +1 Bayern Munich Win

The odd of 1.71 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 58% chance that Bayern will win this match by a margin of two or more goals

Odds comparison for Handicap +1 Bayern Munich Win

1Win – odd 1.71
Bet365 – odd 1.70

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Prediction 2: Bayern Munich Over 5.5 Corners

3 reasons why we are backing Bayern Munich to get 6 corners in this game:

  • Bayern have had at least 6 corners in 6 of their last 8 matches
  • The last 5 H2H meetings have also seen them take at least 6 corners
  • Away from home, Bayern have also had 6 corners in the 3 of the last 4 matches

Odds for this bet

Paripesa offers competitive odds for “Bayern Munich Over 5.5 Corners”

The odd of 1.48 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 68% that Bayern will have at least 6 corners in this game

Odds comparisons Bayern Munich Over 5.5 Corners

Paripesa – odd 1.48
Betwinner – odd 1.48

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Prediction 3: Kane Anytime Scorer

Here’s why we feel there is value in picking Lewandowski to score anytime in this game:

  • He is their leading scorer this season
  • Has scored 4 of his last 5 matches
  • He scored against Mainz in both league meetings last season including a hat-trick when they beat them 8-1

Statistics for Mainz vs Bayern Munich Prediction

Team News Mainz

  • Injuries: Mainz will be without centre-back Dominik Kohr and striker Nelson Weiper until mid-November, while defender Andreas Hanche-Olsen is not scheduled to return until late November
  • Doubtful: Austrian Wing-back Nikolas Veratschnig missed the weekend match against Monchengladbach and is in a fitness race for this clash
  • Tweaking the attack: Kaishu Sano and Nadiem Amiri may start as a double pivot behind attackers Armindo Sieb, Jae-sung Lee and Jonathan Burkardt.

Team News Bayern Munich

  • Injuries: Kompany will still be missing the services of Aleksandar Pavlovic (collar bone) and Sacha Boey (knee) until December, while Hiroki Ito and Josip Stanisic (knee) are not likely to feature until the middle of November
  • Strong Lineup: To avoid any slip-ups, Kompany is expected to field his best players here. Dayot Upamecano and Kim Min-jae are almost certain to start in the heart of defence, and Joshua Kimmich may be joined in midfield by Joao Palhinha.
  • On Fire: Harry Kane and Michael Olise were both on the scoresheet against Bochum at the weekend and are expected to continue their impressive starts to the season here. Both should start

H2H statistics

Looking at the last 10 meetings between these teams:

  • Bayern have absolutely dominated this fixture winning all 10
  • The average goals scored is 4.30 goals per match
  • Bayern won the last meeting 8-1

Latest results Mainz

  • 2 wins,1 draw and 2 losses in their last 5 matches
  • 7 goals scored in these last 5 matches. Average of 1.40 goals per match
  • Drew 1-1 at home to Monchengladbach in their last match

Latest results Bayern Munich

  • Also have 2 wins, a draw and 2 losses in their last 5 matches
  • An impressive 13 goals scored in these last 5 matches. Average 2.60 goals per match
  • Thrashed Bochum 5-0 away in their last league assignment
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