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Esperance Tunis - Al Ahly
CAF Champions League
Sat, 18.05.2024 – 10:00 PM GMT+3
our main tip:
Under 2.5 Goals

Esperance Tunis vs Al Ahly prediction

Esperance Tunis warmed up for this CAF Champions League final 1st leg fixture with a 3-2 win over Etoile du Sahel in their Tunisian domestic league. The win was timely, considering that Esperance had gone 3 games without a win (D2 L1), including losing the Tunisian Cup final to OC Kerkennah in extra time. In the semi finals of the CAF Champions League, Esperance beat fancied Mamelodi Sundowns of South Africa 1-0 both home and away.

For Al Ahly, things seem to be going well as they have registered 5 straight wins in their last 5 matches across all competitions. In the semi-finals of this cup, they managed a 0-0 draw in the 1st leg away to TP Mazembe of DR Congo before finishing the job 3-0 at home in the 2nd leg. If Al Ahly can manage a draw in this match, they will not be disappointed, as they still have to welcome Esperance to Cairo for the 2nd leg.

This being a big cup final, the teams are likely to take a cautious approach to the game. The defenses of both clubs seem up to the task, considering that neither team conceded any goal during the two legs of their respective semi-finals. We expect a low-scoring game here, so our Esperance Tunis vs Al Ahly prediction is Under 2.5 Goals.

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Main tip: Under 2.5 Goals

Our Esperance Tunis vs Al Ahly Predictions

According to the statistics and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following tips:

Prediction 1: Under 2.5 Goals

Both teams managed to keep cleans sheets over the two legs of their semi-final ties. Esperance won 1-0 both home and away against Mamelodi Sundowns while Al Ahly drew 0-0 with TP Mazembe in the 1st leg before winning 3-0 in the 2nd leg. With both teams putting emphasis on their defensive performances, we do not expect many goals in this 1st leg encounter. Hence, our Esperance Tunis vs Al Ahly prediction is Under 2.5 Goals.

Odds for this bet

Helabet offers competitive odds for the bet “Under 2.5 Goals”

The odd of 1.37 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 73% chance that there will be not more than 2 goals scored in this match.

Odds comparison for Under 2.5 Goals

Helabet – odds 1.37
Betwinner – odds 1.37

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Prediction 2: Double Chance – Al Ahly/Draw

Based on recent form, Esperance are flying at the moment with 5 straight wins in their last 5 games, and an unbeaten run of 6 games (W5 D1). In the semi-final, they managed a 0-0 draw away to TP Mazembe. The head-to-head between Esperance and Al Ahly also favors the Egyptians, as they have won all the last 4 encounters against the Tunisians. We, therefore, feel that Al Ahly are more likely to get a positive result in this match. Our second tip is Double Chance – Al Ahly or Draw.

Odds for this bet

1XBet offers competitive odds for “Double Chance – Al Ahly/Draw”

The odd of 1.45 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 69% chance that Al Ahly will win or draw in this match.

Odds comparisons for DC – Al Ahly/Draw

1XBet – odds 1.45
Paripesa – odds 1.45

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Prediction 3: Over 2.5 Bookings

If history is anything to go by then we should expect a feisty match with lots of fouls and contestations. High-stake matches involving either team are known to bring a lot of pressure and tension both on and off the pitch. Bookings and even sending offs are common in such scenarios and we feel that this match is also likely to have a number of bookings. After all, the last 3 H2H encounters each had 3 or more bookings, including a red card in one of the games. Our third tip is Over 2.5 Bookings.

Statistics for Esperance Tunis vs Al Ahly Prediction

H2H statistics

We look at the last 18 matches between these teams:

  • Esperance got 3 wins, Al Ahly 11 wins, there were 4 draws
  • These matches scored an average of 2.17 goals per match
  • The last time they met, Al Ahly won 1-0

Latest results Esperance Tunis

  • 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches
  • 6 goals scored in their last 5 matches. Average 1.20 goals per match
  • They beat Etoile Sahel 3-2 in their last match

Latest results Al Ahly

  • 5 straight wins in their last 5 matches
  • 14 goals scored in their last 5 matches. Average 2.80 goals per match
  • They beat Baladiyat El Mahalla 2-1 in their last match
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Possible squads Esperance Tunis vs Al Ahly

Line upEsperance TunisAl Ahly
DefenseAli, Meriah, Tougai, HamidaHany, Rabia, Abdelmonem, Maaloul
MidfieldSasse, Aholou, Chaaleli, GhachaKouka, Tawfik, Solia
ForwardTeka, RodriguesTau, Ali, Abdelkader
MissingNoneKamal (Injury)
CoachMiguel CardosoMarcel Koller
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