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Croatia - Albania
Euro 2024
Wed, 19.06.2024 – 4:00 PM GMT+3
our main tip:
Croatia Win

Croatia vs Albania prediction

A 3-0 loss to Spain in their group opener at the weekend saw Croatia drop to the bottom of the group and they will be looking to bounce back when they take on Albania at the Volksparkstadion (Hamburg) in their second match.

Albania were widely expected to be the whipping boys of the group due to their inexperience at this level. They however showed they were not necessarily coming for a participation certificate with a decent performance against Italy on matchday 1. Albania scored the quickest goal at a Euro finals after just 23 seconds, but they were ultimately pegged back and lost 2-1 to the holders. They will be looking to better than display here

This group of death is taking an interesting turn. Having both lost their openers, we can expect both teams to put up a good fight here. We however fancy Croatia’s experience and finesse to come through for them and we are backing them to pick up all three points on offer here as our main Croatia vs Albania prediction for this match

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Main Tip: Croatia Win

Our Croatia vs Albania predictions

According to the statistics and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following tips:

Prediction 1: Croatia Win

Here are 3 reasons why we are backing Croatia to pick up the win here:

  • They are in good form with 7 wins in their last 10 matches
  • Croatia have not lost consecutive matches in major tournaments since 1996
  • Albania (ranked 66 by FIFA) have not beaten a top 10 ranked team since beating France back in June 2015

Odds for this bet

1Win offers competitive odds for the bet “Croatia Win”

The odd of 1.50 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 67% chance that Croatia will emerge victorious in this game

Odds comparison for Croatia Win

1Win – odd 1.50
1xbet- odd 1.48

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Prediction 2: Over 2.5 Goals

3 reasons why we are backing the opening half to have 3 or more goals:

  • Croatia’s last 4 straight matches have had at least 3 goals scored
  • This has also been the case in 4 of Albania’s last 5 matches
  • We expect both teams to come out with guns blazing as they both try to get their first points of the tournament after they both lost their openers

Odds for this bet

Paripesa offers competitive odds for “Over 2.5 Goals”

The odd of 1.53 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. There is a 65% this match will have at least 3 total goals scored

Odds comparisons Over 2.5 Goals

Paripesa – odd 1.53
Betway – odd 1.50

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Prediction 3: Most Goals 2nd Half

Here’s why we feel there is value in backing the 2nd half to have more goals in this match:

  • A cagey affair is expected in the opening half with both teams keen to keep their defence tight
  • 3 of Croatia’s last 4 matches have witnessed more goals in the 2nd half
  • This has also been the case in 4 of Albania’s last 5 matches

Statistics for Croatia vs Albania Prediction

Team News Croatia

  • Ivan Perisic is still not at 100% after a serious knee injury, so he is likely to start on the bench, while Marin Pongracic is being tipped to get the nod alongside Josip Sutalo in the middle of the defence.
  • Veteran Luka Modrić has three goal involvements in his last three international appearances (G1, A2) and has netted at least once in three of the four Euro tournaments he’s been involved in previously.
  • Lovro Majer has eight goals in 31 caps for his country and is also likely to be included in the starting side, with Andrej Kramaric and Ante Budimir potentially joining him in the final third.

Team News Albania

  •  Berat Djimsiti will continue to skipper Albania from central defence, having played a key role in La Dea’s Europa League triumph last month and in the opener
  • After a tough time at club level, Armando Broja is set to spearhead the Albanian attack, as veteran striker Sokol Cikalleshi – who featured in all eight qualifiers – was dropped and then announced his international retirement.
  • Brentford back-up keeper Thomas Strakosha got the nod over Empoli reserve Etrit Berisha in the opener against Italy and is likely to keep his place between the posts

H2H statistics

This will be the first ever meeting between these two teams

Latest results Croatia

  • 3 wins, 1 Draw and 1 loss in their last 5 matches
  • 10 goals scored in these last 5 matches. Average of 2.00 goals per match
  • Lost 3-0 to Spain in their last match

Latest results Albania

  • 2 wins and 3 losses in their last 5 matches
  • 7 goals scored in these last 5 matches. Average 1.40 goals per match
  • Lost 2-1 to Italy in their last match
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