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Italy - Albania
Euro 2024
Sat, 15.06.2024 – 10:00 PM GMT+3
our main tip:
HC -1 Italy Win

Italy vs Albania prediction

Defending champions Italy will be looking for a good start at Euro 2024 against tricky opponents Albania in their opening match. Despite being the holders, the Azurri are not considered among the top favorites, but cannot be ruled out as they traditionally perform well in big tournaments. There is good reason for optimism as they are unbeaten in their last 5 games (3 wins, 2 draws). Nevertheless, the lack of good strikers up front is severely felt, as they average just 1.00 goals per game in their last 5 games.

Albania are well-deserving of a second appearance at the European Championship in their history after topping their qualifying group that also had Poland and the Czech Republic. Coached by former Arsenal and Barcelona left-back Sylvinho, the Albanians have the potential to get a result here, especially if they are underestimated by their opponents. Chelsea striker Armando Broja is among their forwards, and he will be hoping for a good tournament to help boost his career going forward.

Italy seem to have figured out a working formula under coach Luciano Spalletti and have what it takes for a comfortable victory here. Albania impressed more than expected in qualifying, but Italy present a much bigger opposition and will likely prove too strong. Our Italy vs Albania prediction is Handicap -1 Italy Win.

We have the best Euro 2024 predictions selected by our team of betting experts.

Main tip: Handicap -1 Italy Win

Our Italy vs Albania Predictions

According to the statistics and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following tips:

Prediction 1: Handicap -1 Italy Win

  • Italy are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (won 3, drew 2)
  • Italy won all 4 head-to-head matches against Albania, the last meeting by 3-1
  • Albania 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches

Odds for this bet

Helabet offers competitive odds for the bet “Handicap -1 Italy Win”

The odd of 2.14 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 47% chance that Italy will win with a margin of at least 2 goals.

Odds comparison for HC -1 Italy Win

Helabet – odds 2.14
Betwinner – odds 2.14

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Prediction 2: Both Teams To Score No

  • Italy have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 5 games
  • Albania failed to score in 3 of the last 4 H2H matches against Italy
  • Both teams have relatively low scoring rates in recent games – Italy 1.00 goals and Albania 1.20 goals scored in their last 5 games respectively

Odds for this bet

1XBet offers competitive odds for “Both Teams To Score No”

The odd of 1.55 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 65% chance that one or both teams will fail to score a goal in this match.

Odds comparisons for Both Teams To Score No

1XBet – odds 1.55
Paripesa – odds 1.55

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Prediction 3: Over 8.5 Corners

  • Italy’s last 3 games each had 9 or more total corners
  • Albania have won at least 4 corners in each of their last 3 games
  • All the last 4 H2H matches produced 9 or more corners each

Statistics for Italy vs Albania Prediction

Italy Team News

  • Inter Milan midfielder Nicolò Barella is a doubt to start against Albania due to a muscular issue
  • Nicolo Zaniolo, Francesco Acerbi, Giorgio Scalvini, and Tottenham left-back Destiny Udogie all to miss tournament due to injury

Albania Team News

  • Regular squad members who participated in qualifying such as Sokol Cikalleshi, Myrto Uzuni and Keidi Bare dropped from the tournament squad
  • Dependable playmaker Kristjan Asllani has played only 8 minutes of club football in 2024
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H2H statistics

We look at the last 4 matches between these teams:

  • Italy won all the 4 matches
  • These matches scored an average of 2.00 goals per match
  • The last time they met, Italy won 3-1

Latest results Italy

  • 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 matches
  • 5 goals scored in their last 5 matches. Average 1.00 goals per match
  • They beat Bosnia & Herzegovina 1-0 in their last match

Latest results Albania

  • 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches
  • 6 goals scored in their last 5 matches. Average 1.20 goals per match
  • They beat Azerbaijan 3-1 in their last match
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