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Poland - Netherlands
Euro 2024
Sun, 16.06.2024 – 4:00 PM GMT+3
our main tip:
Over 3.5 Goals

Poland vs Netherlands prediction

Poland’s journey to their 5th consecutive European Championship finals has been marked by impressive performances in warm-up friendlies, including a convincing 3-1 victory over Ukraine in Warsaw. Under the leadership of Michał Probierz since last September, the team has remained unbeaten for 7 games (4W, 3D). Notable among these results was a goalless draw against Wales in Cardiff, which ultimately led to a penalty shootout victory that secured Poland’s ticket to Germany. The Eagles have shown significant improvement in their offensive capabilities, scoring three or more goals for the first time under Probierz’s management. As they prepare to face their first-game opponents, Poland faces a formidable challenge as they seek to secure their first victory over them in 11 meetings.

Meanwhile, in recent times, dominant wins have become common for the Netherlands, as evidenced by their impressive record of 5 victories and just one defeat in their last 6 matches. The only blip on their otherwise flawless run was a 2-1 loss to Germany. The Oranje have been particularly solid defensively, keeping clean sheets in all five of their wins. Furthermore, they have maintained an unbeaten streak in head-to-head encounters against their opponents, Poland, with seven wins and four draws from the past 11 meetings. As they gear up for Group D play, the Netherlands are considered heavy favorites to progress further in the competition based on their current form and historical dominance over their rivals.

Both teams have been performing consistently, with each averaging at least 2 goals per game in their last five matches leading up to this showdown. This trend indicates that both sides possess strong attacking capabilities and are likely to engage in a goal-fest. Therefore, our Poland vs Netherlands prediction is that we can expect at least 4 goals to be shared between these two teams.

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Main tip: Over 3.5 Goals

Our Poland vs Netherlands predictions

According to the statistics and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following tips:

Prediction 1: Over 3.5 Goals

3 reasons why we back the game to produce more than 3 goals:

  • Michal Probierz’s tenure saw Poland score 3+ goals for the first time, and averaged 2.20 goals in their last 5 games
  • 3 of the Netherlands’ recent 4 matches have produced at least 4 total match goals
  • 2 of their most recent 3 direct meetings have featured at least 3 total match goals

Odds for this bet

Betboro offers competitive odds for the bet “Over 3.5 Goals”

The odd of 3.20 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 31% chance that this game will will feature at least 4 total match goals.

Odds comparison for Over 3.5 Goals

Betboro – odd 3.20
Betwinner – odd 3.10

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Prediction 2: Both Teams to Score

3 reasons why we back the game to see both teams find the net:

  • Poland has found the net in all but 1 of their previous 7 recent matches
  • The Netherlands have scored at least 1 goal in all their previous 12 games
  • 4 out of their recent 5 head-to-heads saw both teams find the back of the nets

Odds for this bet

Paripesa offers competitive odds for “Both Teams to Score”

The odd of 1.93 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 52% chance that both teams will find the back of the net in this match.

Odds comparisons for Both Teams to Score

Paripesa – odd 1.93
Betboro – odd 1.91

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Prediction 3: Netherlands Win (Draw No Bet)

3 reasons why we back Netherlands Draw No Bet:

  • The Netherlands has only lost 1 of their recent 6 matches (5 wins, 1 loss)
  • The Oranje have been particularly strong defensive, keeping clean sheets in all 5 of their wins
  • The Netherlands is unbeaten in 11 head-to-head encounters with Poland (6W, 4D)

Statistics for Poland vs Netherlands Prediction

Poland’s team news!

  • Poland’s final 23 ahead of the Euro 2024 brings surprising absences, with Aston Villa star Matty Cash and Grzegorz Kychowiak missing out.
  • The most notable miss is Juventus forward, Arkadiusz Milik who has pulled out after sustaining a knee injury in their 3-1 win against Ukraine.
  • Despite these setbacks, the squad will still boast star names like Barcelona’s Lewandowski, Arsenal’s Jakub Kiwior, and Serie A regulars Nicola Zalewski and Piotr Zielinski. Szczesny will guard the goal while promising talent Martin Bulka from Nice joins as one for the future.

Netherlands’ team news!

  • The Netherlands will have to navigate Euro 2024 without key midfielder Marten de Roon, as he faces a setback in his recovery from injury. This news is a devastating blow for both the team and De Roon
  • In a positive turn of events for the Netherlands, midfielder Frankie de Jong has been cleared to resume non-contact training as he steps up his recovery from an ankle injury. However, despite this progress, he will not make their Euro 2024 opener against Poland.

H2H statistics

Let’s take a look at their last 11 meetings.

  • The Netherlands won 7 matches, and 4 matches were drawn
  • They scored an average of 3.10 goals per match
  • The last time they met, the Netherlands won by a 0-2 score

Latest results Poland

  • 3 wins, and 2 draws in their last 5 matches
  • 11 goals scored in their last 5 matches. Average 2.20 goals per match
  • They won 3-1 against Ukraine during their last match

Latest results Netherlands

  • 4 wins, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches
  • 16 goals scored in their last 5 matches. Average 3.20 goals per match
  • They won 4-0 against Canada during their last match
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