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Wales - Croatia
Euro Qualifiers
Sun, 15.10.2023 – 9:45 PM GMT+3
our main tip:
Correct Score 1-2

Wales vs Croatia prediction

Wales’s chances of qualifying from this 5 team group are looking bleak and they need a turnaround fast. They are currently 4th with 7 points from 5 games and it is now crucial to win this home game. In the first leg of this tie, Wales managed an impressive 1-1 draw away to Croatia and will be hoping to go one step better at home to win.

Croatia lead the group with 10 points but only a better goal difference separates them from 2nd placed Turkey. The Croats are unbeaten so far in the group after 4 matches (W3 D1) and will draw confidence from the fact that they have not lost to Wales in the last 7 meetings (W4 D3).

For our Wales vs Croatia prediction, we go for a Correct Score of 1-2. This is likely to be a closely fought match and there is little to separate the two teams However, Croatia are in good form and have what it takes to grind a narrow win here.

We have extensively covered Euro qualifiers predictions across all the qualifying groups.

Main tip: Correct Score 1-2

Our Wales vs Croatia predictions

According to the statistics and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following tips:

Prediction 1: Correct Score 1-2

Group D leaders Croatia are unbeaten in this group (won 3, drew 1) and are also unbeaten in regular time in the last 7 games across all competitions. Wales have managed only 7 points so far from 5 group games and are already 2nd bottom in the group. They lost 2 of their last 3 group games. Croatia have never lost to Wales in the last 7 meetings (W4 D3) and so, for our Wales vs Croatia prediction, we feel the visitors will be able to grind a win here with a 2-1 score line.

Odds for this bet

Mozzartbet offers competitive odds for the bet “Correct Score 1-2”

The odd of 8.00 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 13% chance that Croatia will beat Wales 2-1 in this match.

Odds comparison for Correct Score 1-2

Mozzartbet – odds 8.00
Melbet – odds 7.65

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Prediction 2: 1st Half – Over 0.5 Goals

Wales average 1.00 goals per match and Croatia 2.00 goals per match in their last 5 matches respectively. For both teams, their last match saw at least one goal being scored in the first half of the game. In this match, we expect at least 3 goals scored in total and there is a high chance that at least one goal will be scored in the first half of the match.

Odds for this bet

1XBet offers competitive odds for “1st Half – Over 0.5 Goals”

The odd of 1.47 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 68% chance that at least 1 goal will be scored in the first half of this match.

Odds comparisons for 1st Half – Over 0.5 Goals

1XBet – odds 1.47
Betwinner – odds 1.45

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Prediction 3: Over 2.5 Bookings

For Wales, this is like a do or die match if they want to salvage any hopes of making it out of the group and qualifying for Euro next year. Croatia know that only a win can guarantee that they keep their place at the top of the group. We, thus, expect a tough clash with many fouls here and there. This is likely to lead to several bookings in the game and we predict at least 3 bookings in total.

Statistics for Wales vs Croatia Prediction

H2H statistics

We look at the last 7 meetings between these teams:

  • Wales got no wins, Croatia 4 wins, 3 matches were drawn
  • These matches scored an average of 2.29 goals per match
  • The last time they met they drew 1-1

Latest results Wales

  • 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches
  • 5 goals scored in their last 5 matches. Average 1.00 goals per match
  • They beat Latvia 2-0 in their last match

Latest results Croatia

  • 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 matches
  • 10 goals scored in their last 5 matches. Average 2.00 goals per match
  • They beat Armenia 1-0 in their last match
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Possible squad Wales vs Croatia

Line upWalesCroatia
DefenseRoberts, Mepham, Rodon, WilliamsStanisic, Sutalo, Gvardiol, Barisic
MidfieldAmpadu, Wilson, Ramsey, MorrellModric, Brozovic, Ivanusec
ForwardJames, MooreKramaric, Petkovic, Perisic
CoachRob PageZlatko Dalić

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