Fenerbahçe vs Aston Villa Prediction
The Europa League returns to Şükrü Saracoğlu on Thursday, 22.01.2026 at 8:45 for a decisive Group-stage (Ligaphase 7) meeting between Fenerbahçe and Aston Villa. With both clubs still mathematically involved in the fight for qualifying positions, this fixture assumes considerable importance. Fenerbahçe arrive on 11 points, occupying 12th place in the group table after registering three wins, two draws, and one defeat, scoring nine and conceding five; their home record stands at two wins and one draw from three matches. Aston Villa sit higher on 15 points in third position, having recorded five wins and one defeat so far with a goals tally of 10:4 and an away record of two wins and one defeat.
The managers are well known at the elite level: Fenerbahçe are under the direction of Domenico Tedesco, while Aston Villa are led by Unai Emery. Both coaches bring tactical acumen and European experience, which should make this contest tactically intriguing. There is no prior head-to-head history between the clubs in competitive matches, so form, squad availability, and in-game management will be decisive factors.
Looking for an edge in your Europa League bets? Our Europa League betting tips break down every match with clear analysis and helpful insights so you can make smarter, more confident picks.
Main Tip: Draw (Tip X)
Betting prediction: The principal selection for this encounter is a draw (Tip X). Several factors underpin this choice. Aston Villa enter the match as the nominal favourites on account of superior group points and a more prolific goalscoring record, yet their recent domestic setback at home leaves questions about their consistency. Fenerbahçe have been resilient at home in Europe and in domestic action, showing solidity and an ability to score; their last outing produced an away victory, demonstrating attacking purpose. With both sides capable of finding the net but neither side fully dominant in recent form, a stalemate appears a realistic and balanced outcome. The best available odds for a draw in the supplied data are 3.62 at 1win.
Betting Tip 2: Both teams score? Yes
Betting tip: The second selection is Both teams score? Yes. This market merits consideration because both clubs have shown offensive intent across the campaign: Aston Villa have netted ten times in group matches, and Fenerbahçe have scored nine goals. Fenerbahçe’s home matches in the competition have tended to be open and productive, while Villa’s away record shows they can find goals on the road. Defensive lapses have been present for both sides at different moments, increasing the likelihood that both teams will contribute to the scoreline. The best listed odds in the provided information for Both teams to score — Yes — is 1.60 at Paripesa.
Having trouble creating your Paripesa account? Check our detailed Paripesa registration guide for a smooth sign-up process.
Betting Tip 3: Correct score 1:1 Draw
Betting tip: The final selection is the exact score prediction of 1:1. This forecast follows logically from the expectation of a balanced match in which both sides score but neither establishes a clear advantage. A 1:1 scoreline represents a frequent equilibrium in European knockout-style group contests when two comparably matched teams meet — each capable of an opening goal but cautious about exposing themselves to a counter. The correct score of 1:1 is also listed in the supplied data as the chosen exact scoreline with best odds at Paripesa.
Statistics for Fenerbahçe vs Aston Villa
Fenerbahçe team news!
Under the stewardship of coach Domenico Tedesco, Fenerbahçe have consolidated a compact and proactive style, particularly in home fixtures. Their group statistics show nine goals scored and five conceded, reflecting a side that can attack with purpose while maintaining relative defensive organisation. At Şükrü Saracoğlu, the team has been unbeaten in the competition so far, with two wins and a draw, indicating a strong home platform. Recent domestic form has been encouraging — the squad won their latest match away at Alanyaspor by a narrow margin — and injuries or suspension issues were not supplied in the data. Tedesco’s tactical choices and the side’s home confidence are important variables for the upcoming encounter.
Aston Villa team news!
Aston Villa, coached by Unai Emery, arrives having amassed 15 points in the group with an efficient record of five wins and one defeat, and a goal difference that highlights attacking efficiency. Their away record in the competition stands at two wins and one defeat, so they are far from intimidated by travel or hostile atmospheres. Despite this, their most recent domestic fixture produced a home loss to Everton, which raises questions about momentum and concentration. Emery’s reputation for European nous and tactical adjustment will be central to how Villa approach a potentially cagey tie on Turkish soil.
H2H statistics
There are no prior competitive meetings between Fenerbahçe and Aston Villa: the head-to-head record stands at 0 encounters, 0 wins for Fenerbahçe, 0 draws and 0 wins for Aston Villa. With no direct historical data, analytical emphasis must rest on current form, squad composition and managerial tactics rather than past confrontations.
Last results Fenerbahçe
In their last five matches across all competitions Fenerbahçe have recorded four wins and one defeat, with no draws. This sequence indicates strong recent form, momentum and an upward trajectory in performance. The single defeat among those five outings suggests occasional vulnerability, but overall the current form is positive and reinforces the team’s credibility, particularly at home.
Last results Aston Villa
Aston Villa’s form over the last five matches shows two wins, one draw and two defeats. This pattern reflects a more mixed state of performance compared with their opponent: while Villa have demonstrated match-winning capability, inconsistency and defensive lapses have contributed to their two losses. The mixed form underlines the potential for an open contest where both teams can score, yet also points to risks that might prevent Villa from securing a comfortable away victory.
TIP: Download Telegram before you click here!
Conclusion
In conclusion, the match at Şükrü Saracoğlu is finely poised. Aston Villa arrive as the higher-ranked team in the group and on paper the stronger scorer, but their recent domestic slip and mixed recent form reduce the certainty of an away victory. Fenerbahçe’s solid home record in the competition, combined with a superior run of wins in recent fixtures, argues for resilience and the capacity to secure at least a share of the spoils. On balance, the selection of a draw (Tip X) as the primary betting prediction is defensible: it recognises the balance between Villa’s scoring edge and Fenerbahçe’s home form. Complementary forecasts — both teams to score (Yes), Over 2.5 goals, and an exact score of 1:1 — align with the expectation of an open, competitive encounter with contributions at both ends of the pitch. Bettors should confirm live odds with their chosen bookmaker; the supplied best odds for the main markets include Tip X at 3.62 (1xBet) and Both teams to score — Yes at 1.60 (Paripesa).
