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England - Iceland
International Friendly
Fri, 07.06.2024 – 9:45 PM GMT+3
our main tip:
Over 3.5 Goals

England vs Iceland prediction

England is gearing up for the upcoming Euro 2024 with a match against Iceland. This game presents a chance for new players in Gareth Southgate’s 33-man provisional squad to showcase their skills, especially with regulars like Jude Bellingham (UCL participation), Harry Maguire (injury), and Luke Shaw (injury) sidelined. Anticipating several changes in the starting lineup, England may struggle to shore up their recent poor defensive record, having only kept one clean sheet in their last five matches, falling below their usual standards.

On the contrary, Iceland struggled to advance through a tough Group C during qualifying, but they have this match and a game against the Czech Republic ahead to start getting back on the right path. During their qualifying campaign, Iceland showed flashes of their strength by achieving significant results such as a 4-1 victory against Israel and a 1-0 win against Bosnia. Iceland has won 3 of their last 4 matches and has scored an average of 1.40 goals per game. However, Iceland has had difficulty performing against England, losing 3 of their last 4 games, and will have to step up if they’re to get anything from this friendly.

This is an opportunity for the new players to show their skills and secure a place in the starting line-up. Meanwhile, Iceland will have their fair chance playing with a rotated England squad. The game will witness a lot of chances at both ends, especially from England, and we predict that the game will have at least 4 goals in total.

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Main tip: Over 3.5 Goals

Our England vs Iceland predictions

According to the statistics and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following tips:

Prediction 1: Over 3.5 Goals

3 reasons why we back this game to feature at least 4 goals:

  • Their previous 4 direct meetings produced an average of 3.80 goals per game
  • England won by a 4-0 score in their most recent home encounter with Iceland
  • While England averages 1.60 goals, Iceland is averaging 1.40 goals in their last 5

Odds for this bet

Betboro offers competitive odds for the bet “Over 3.5 Goals”

The odd of 1.82 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 55% chance that this game will feature at least 4 total match goals.

Odds comparison for Over 3.5 Goals

Betboro – odd 1.82
Betwinner – odd 1.80

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Prediction 2: England Over 1.5 Goals

3 reasons why we back England to score at least 2 goals:

  • England scored at least 2 goals in 3 of their last 5 games
  • England is averaging 1.60 goals per game in their most recent 5 games
  • Iceland conceded at least 4 goals in their last 2 visits to Wembley Stadium

Odds for this bet

Paripesa offers competitive odds for “England Over 1.5 Goals”

The odd of 1.29 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 78% chance that England will score at least 2 goals in this game.

Odds comparisons for England Over 1.5 Goals

Paripesa – odd 1.29
Betboro – odd 1.29

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Prediction 3: Handicap -1 England Win

2 reasons why we back England to win by 2 goal margin:

  • England has a superior squad quality, which will guarantee a comfortable win
  • England won their previous 2 direct encounters by at least 3 goal-margin

Statistics for England vs Iceland Prediction

England’s team news!

  • England’s Euro 2024 squad has been announced, and several high-profile stars including Marcus Rashford, Henderson, and Raheem Sterling have been snubbed by Gareth Southgate
  • Out of the 33-member squad, Harry Maguire, Luke Shaw, Anthony Gordon, and Harry Kane are sidelined due to injuries. Though Kane should recover just in time for the Euro 2024, he remains a doubt for this match
  • Jude Bellingham will be rejoining the squad later due to his activities in the just-ended UCL final and will likely not participate in this game
  • Cole Palmer has been involved in 33 Premier League goals for Chelsea, which could make a significant impact on both this game and the upcoming summer tournament for England

Iceland’s team news!

  • Willum Willumsson, Go Ahead Eagles’ striker is the only miss for Age Hareide’s side
  • Genoa’s striker, Albert Gudmundsson will be pivotal in this game following his recent hattrick and finding the net in their last 2 games

H2H statistics

Let’s take a look at their last 4 meetings.

  • England won 3 matches, and Iceland won 1 match
  • They scored an average of 3.80 goals per match
  • The last time they met, England won by a 4-0 score

Latest results England

  • 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches
  • 8 goals scored in their last 5 matches. Average 1.60 goals per match
  • They won 3-0 against Bosnia during their last match

Latest results Iceland

  • 3 wins, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches
  • 8 goals scored in their last 5 matches. Average 1.60 goals per match
  • They lost 2-1 against Ukraine during their last match
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