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Kenya - Burundi
CAF World Cup Qualifiers
Fri, 07.06.2024 – 4:00 PM GMT+3
our main tip:
Under 2.5 Goals

Kenya vs Burundi prediction

Kenya will look to impose their will when they welcome neighbours Burundi on matchday 3 of the CAF World Cup Qualifiers to be played in Malawi’s Bingu National Stadium. The Harambee Starrs kicked off this campaign on the wrong footing as they lost 2-1 away to Gabon. They nevertheless showed flashes of brilliance in that loss and used the same to bounce back with an impressive 5-0 win at Seychelles on matchday 2. This will technically be their first home fixture and they will look to make the most of it.

Burundi are tied on 3 points with Kenya after also getting mixed results with a win and a loss in their opening two qualifiers. A 3-2 win over Gambia in their opener had them buzzing with confidence but a 2-1 loss at home to Gabon brought them back to earth. The Swallows will fancy their chances against their East African neighbours especially now that the game is being played in Malawi

A cagey affair is to be expected here. Both teams are looking at this match as one they need to win to keep pace with the group leaders Ivory Coast and Gabon who face off in this round. Again with regional superiority on the cards here, neither of these teams will cede too much ground to the other. As such we are picking Under 25 Goals as the main Kenya vs Burundi prediction for this match

Explore other World Cup Qualifiers betting tips that’ll keep your winnings flowing now that the football season has just ended.

Main tip: Under 2.5 Goals

Our Kenya vs Burundi predictions

According to the statistics and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following tips:

Prediction 1: Under 2.5 Goals

Here are 3 reasons why we feel this game will have Under 2.5 Goals:

  • Their 5 H2H meetings have averaged just 1.00 goals a game
  • In fact none of these matches have had more than 2 goals
  • Critical match for both teams so they are likely to default to defensive formations

Odds for this bet

1Win offers competitive odds for the bet “Under 2.5 Goals”

The odd of 1.53 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 65% chance that this match will have no more than 2 total goals scored

Odds comparison for Under 2.5 Goals

1Win – odd 1.53
1xbet- odd 1.51

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Prediction 2: Double Chance – Kenya/Draw

3 reasons why we are going for DC – Kenya/Draw:

  • Kenya have only lost once in 5 H2H meetings with Burundi
  • On current form, Kenya seems to be on the upward trajectory with 3 straight wins
  • Burundi on the other hand are sliding down with 3 losses in their last 5 matches

Odds for this bet

Paripesa offers competitive odds for “Double Chance – Kenya/Draw”

The odd of 1.26 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. There is a 79% Kenya will either win or draw this match

Odds comparisons Double Chance – Kenya/Draw

Paripesa – odd 1.26
Betway – odd 1.26

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Prediction 3: Olunga Anytime Scorer

Here’s why we feel there is value in taking Olunga to score anytime:

  • He is in form at the moment scoring an impressive 7 goals in his last 3 matches for Kenya (all wins)
  • In this competition, he has tallied two goals already (both against Seychelles) last time out

Statistics for Kenya vs Burundi Prediction

Team News Kenya

  • Team coach Engin Firat is happy with the team’s progress in training camp. He has the full squad at his disposal with no injury concerns which has provided a much-needed boost of confidence, setting the stage for what promises to be an exciting and challenging campaign.
  • The team is already in Lilongwe and Firat further allayed any fears of a loss of home-ground advantage saying they are familiar with the playing surface having played at this Bingu National Stadium, where Kenya won the Four Nations Invitational tournament in March
  • Players to watch: All eyes are of course on talismanic striker Olunga who has been scoring goals for fun with 7 goals in his last 3 matches

Team News Burundi

  • Burundi made history by qualifying for the 2019 Africa Cup of Nations. They nevertheless lost all the group matches and exited the competition without scoring a single goal.
  • Current coach Etienne Ndayiragije is confident they can go a step further and throw their hat in the ring for this World Cup qualification campaign.
  • Goals have been hard to come by for this team. The onus is on Abdul Razak to lead the charges from the front

H2H statistics

Looking at the 5 meetings between these teams:

  • Both teams have a win and 3 matches were drawn
  • These matches just 1.00 goals a match
  • The last meeting ended in a 0-0 draw at fulltime before Kenya edged it 1-0 in Extra Time

Latest results Kenya

  • 3 wins, 1, draw and 1 loss in their last 5 matches
  • 15 goals scored in these last 5 matches. Average of 3.00 goals per match
  • Beat Zimbabwe 3-1 last time out in an International Friendly

Latest results Burundi

  • 1 Win, 1 Draw and 3 losses in their last 5 matches
  • Just 4 goals scored in these last 5 matches. Average 0.80 goals per match
  • Drew 0-0 with Botswana in an international friendly last time out
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