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Rayo Vallecano - Barcelona
La Liga
Sat, 25.11.2023 – 4:00 PM GMT+3
our main tip:
Under 3.5 Goals

Rayo Vallecano vs Barcelona prediction

Before losing 2-1 to league leaders Girona in their last match, Rayo Vallecano had gone on an unbeaten run of 6 matches in all competitions (W2 D4). Nevertheless, they haven’t been scoring so many goals in the league, as they average just 1 goal per game in their last 4 games. In order to win this match, they may need to score more than 1 goal.

Surprisingly, Barcelona are also scoring much fewer than is expected of them. With only 6 goals in their last 5 games, Barcelona’s fixtures haven’t been very entertaining. All their last 5 games each scored not more than 3 goals in total. They should also be wary of the fact that they haven’t beaten Rayo Vallecano in their last 4 meetings (D1 L3).

It looks likely that we are in for a low-scoring match when these two teams clash on Saturday afternoon, especially since it comes immediately after a grueling international break. Neither side is likely to light it up based on recent stats. Thus, our Rayo Vallecano vs Barcelona prediction is Under 3.5 Goals.

Find more La Liga betting tips here for all the big teams and matches every matchday.

Main tip: Under 3.5 Goals

Our Rayo Vallecano vs Barcelona predictions

According to the statistics and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following tips:

Prediction 1: Under 3.5 Goals

This match comes at a time when both teams are not scoring many goals in La Liga so our Rayo Vallecano vs Barcelona prediction is Under 3.5 Goals to be scored in the match. Rayo Vallecano have scored 6 goals and Barcelona 7 goals in their last 5 games respectively. None of Barcelona’s last 5 games produced more than 3 goals. The head-to-head between these two teams also shows not more than 3 goals scored between them in the last 5 encounters. We expect a similar outcome in this match.

Odds for this bet

Mozzartbet offers competitive odds for the bet “Under 3.5 Goals”

The odd of 1.39 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 72% chance that not more than 3 total goals will be scored in this match.

Odds comparison for Under 3.5 Goals

Mozzartbet – Odds 1.39
1Win – Odds 1.38

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Prediction 2: Barcelona Win (Draw No Bet)

Barcelona have 3 wins in their last 4 La Liga games while Rayo Vallecano can only boast of 1 win in their last 5 league games. A tough game is in the offing but Barcelona should have enough firepower to go for a win here. It won’t be easy though, as Rayo Vallecano have gotten the better of the Blaugrana in recent meetings (W3 D1 L1 in their last 5 games). We go for Barcelona Win (Draw No Bet).

Odds for this bet

1XBet offers competitive odds for “Barcelona Win (Draw No Bet)”

The odd of 1.26 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 79% chance that Barcelona will win this match, but the bet is void in case of a draw.

Odds comparisons for Barcelona Win (DNB)

1XBet – odds 1.26
Betwinner – odds 1.26

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Prediction 3: Lewandowski Anytime Scorer

Barcelona’s top striker Robert Lewandowski scored for Poland during the recent Euro qualifiers in their 2-0 win over Latvia. He also scored twice for Barcelona in their 2-1 win over Alaves before the international break and was on target the last time Barcelona played Rayo Vallecano. We recon that he has a high chance of being on the scoresheet in this match.

Statistics for Rayo Vallecano vs Barcelona Prediction

H2H statistics

We look at the last 25 matches between these two teams:

  • Rayo Vallecano got 6 wins, Barcelona 15 wins, 4 matches were drawn
  • These matches scored an average of 3.68 goals per match
  • The last time they met Rayo Vallecano beat Barcelona 2-1

Latest results Rayo Vallecano

  • 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches
  • 10 goals scored in their last 5 matches. Average 2.00 goals per match
  • They lost 2-1 to Girona in their last match

Latest results Barcelona

  • 3 wins and 2 losses in their last 5 matches
  • 6 goals scored in their last 5 matches. Average 1.20 goals per match
  • They beat Alaves 2-1 in their last match
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Possible squad Rayo Vallecano vs Barcelona

Line upRayo VallecanoBarcelona
GoalkeeperDimitrievskiPena
DefenseRatiu, Mumin, Lejeune, EspinoAraujo, Kounde, Martinez, Cancelo
MidfieldPalazon, Valentin, Lopez, GarciaPedri, Gundogan, Lopez
ForwardCamello, BebeYamal, Lewandowski, Joao Felix
MissingTrejo (Knee), Rivera (Suspension)Gavi (ACL), ter Stegen (Back), Roberto (Calf)
CoachFrancisco RodriguezXavi Hernandez
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