Real Madrid vs Villarreal prediction
The Primera División returns to the Santiago Bernabéu on Saturday, 04.10.2025 at 10:00 PM GMT +3, when Real Madrid host Villarreal CF in Matchday 8. This encounter pits two of the league’s early pace-setters against each other: Real Madrid sit second in the table with 18 points while Villarreal occupy third place with 16 points. Both sides arrive in good form and with clear ambitions for domestic success, making this fixture one of the more intriguing ties of the weekend. Below follows a detailed betting prediction for the match, including rationale, team information and a suggested set of market selections.
We provide free La Liga predictions for all matches involving the big teams. Win big with our expert betting tips.
Betting prediction: Correct score 2:1 Home win for Real Madrid
Our primary prediction is in the correct score market. The most plausible precise outcome, considering attacking strengths and defensive organisation on both sides, is a 2:1 victory for Real Madrid. This exact-score projection reflects our belief that Real Madrid will edge the contest, while Villarreal will likely manage at least one goal. The supplied guidance lists 2:1 as the anticipated correct score; the odds for this market are 8.00 odds at 1Win. This selection is consistent with the analysis of both teams going into this match.
1Win is one of the best betting sites in Kenya as reviewed by our team of experts. They score high on their registration, payment methods, betting markets, and odds.
Betting tip: Both teams to score – Yes
Despite Real Madrid’s defensive solidity, Villarreal have demonstrated offensive capability across competitions, recording 13 league goals with a positive goal difference. Historically encounters between the two have not been one-sided goal blankings; the recent head-to-head data and Villarreal’s capacity to find the net even away from home make a both-teams-to-score selection attractive. The supplied best available odd for this market is YES at 1.54 (Betwinner), which reflects the market’s view that both sides are likely to contribute to the scoreline. This selection complements the main tip by acknowledging Villarreal’s attacking potential.
Betting tip: Under 3.5 goals
A pragmatic expectation for this fixture is a match with fewer than four goals. While Real Madrid possess firepower, the encounter between two tactically disciplined sides under experienced coaches—Xabi Alonso and Marcelino—often produces matches that are competitive and controlled rather than wildly open. The suggested Over/Under pick is Under 3.5 goals, indicating anticipation of a tight game with scoring chances but not an excessive total of goals. The best odds for this market are on 1Win at 1.79; however, the selection aligns with the likelihood of a decisive yet not high-scoring contest.
Enjoy easy wins daily with our Victor predictions. We feature matches from different leagues and competitions.
Statistics for Real Madrid vs Villarreal CF
Real Madrid team news!
Coach: Xabi Alonso
Real Madrid arrive at the Bernabéu with a strong statistical profile: 18 points from seven league matches (6 wins, 0 draws, 1 defeat), and a goals for/against tally of 16:8. Their home record is perfect so far this season with three victories from three outings. Under Xabi Alonso, the team demonstrates an organised approach that balances high pressing and intelligent possession play, allowing them to create scoring opportunities while maintaining defensive discipline. Recent form across all competitions shows four wins and one defeat in the last five matches, indicating momentum and confidence ahead of this fixture.
Villarreal CF team news!
Coach: Marcelino
Villarreal are close behind in the standings with 16 points from seven matches (5 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat) and a goals record of 13:5. Their away record reads 1 win, 1 draw and 1 defeat to date, suggesting some inconsistency on the road but the capacity to secure points. Marcelino’s side is tactically organised and efficient in transition, and their recent results demonstrate resilience. Over their last five matches in all competitions, Villarreal have recorded three wins, one draw and one defeat, reflecting solid form but with occasional lapses that Real Madrid could exploit.
Get free football betting tips from our page. We cover a wide range of leagues and competitions from across the world.
H2H statistics
The head-to-head record from the last five meetings across all competitions gives Real Madrid a marginal advantage: three wins for Real Madrid, one draw and one win for Villarreal. The most recent direct meeting ended in a 2:1 away victory for Real Madrid, reinforcing the home side’s psychological and tactical upper hand heading into this weekend’s fixture. Historically, matches between these clubs have often been competitive, with narrow margins and goal contributions from both sides.
Last results Real Madrid
In their last five matches across all competitions Real Madrid have registered four wins and one defeat. This run indicates a strong current form and a squad that is converting opportunities while generally maintaining defensive stability. Their most recent outing produced a comprehensive 5:0 away victory in European competition, which should bolster confidence and morale heading into the weekend’s domestic fixture.
Last results Villarreal CF
Villarreal’s most recent sequence shows three wins, one draw and one defeat in the last five fixtures across all competitions. Their latest match was a 2:2 home draw in a challenging fixture, demonstrating both their attacking intent and occasional defensive vulnerability. The balance of wins in this period indicates good competitiveness, although their away form remains mixed and will be tested at the Bernabéu.
TIP: Download Telegram before you click here!
Conclusion
On balance, Real Madrid enter this clash as favourites. The combination of home advantage, superior goal return, an impeccable home record and recent convincing performances—most notably the 5:0 European win—tilt expectations in their favour. Villarreal possess the tactical acumen and attacking quality to make the match competitive and to score, but they will likely struggle to prevent Real Madrid from asserting control at the Bernabéu. Our consolidated view returns a primary betting prediction of a correct score 2-1 for Real Madrid victory (8.00), supported by the secondary selection that both teams will score (YES at 1.54), and Under 3.5 goals. These choices reflect the most probable scenarios given form, head-to-head history and current season statistics.
