Villarreal vs Valencia Prediction
The Primera División fixture between Villarreal CF and Valencia FC is scheduled for Sunday, 22 February 2026 at 11:00, on matchday 25, and will be contested at the Estadio de la Cerámica. This encounter pits a high-flying Villarreal side, occupying third position in the table with 48 points, against a struggling Valencia outfit positioned 15th with 26 points. The contrast in league positions, goal difference, and recent home/away form frames this contest as a match in which the host will be considered clear favourites, yet Valencia possesses the capacity to frustrate and exploit transitions if given space by Marcelino’s side.
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Betting predictions for Villarreal CF vs Valencia FC
Main Prediction: Villarreal Win (Draw No Bet)
Villarreal CF is the recommended selection in the 1X2 market. Marcelino’s team sits third with 48 points after recording 15 wins, 3 draws, and 6 defeats, and they boast a strong home record of 9 wins, 1 draw, and 2 defeats. The Yellow Submarine has produced a superior goal difference (45:26) compared to Valencia and arrives with reasonable recent form. Their direct superiority is underlined by the most recent head-to-head, where Villarreal secured a 2:0 away victory. Given Villarreal’s consistency at Estadio de la Cerámica, their positional advantage, and stronger scoring record, a home win is the primary recommendation. Best available odds for a Villarreal victory (Draw No Bet): 1.32 (1win).
Tip 2: Both teams score? Yes
The second advised selection is that both teams will score. Despite Villarreal’s superior defensive record, Valencia have shown an ability to find the net intermittently even when struggling overall; the visitors have scored in a number of recent fixtures and will be motivated to salvage points against a top opponent. Marcelino’s side, while robust at home, can be susceptible to counter-attacks if they commit players forward, and Valencia, under Carlos Corberán, has tactical flexibility to exploit transitional moments. Recent meetings and current attacking numbers signal a reasonable probability that both sides will get on the scoresheet. Best available odds for Both Teams To Score — YES: 1.78 (Paripesa).
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Tip 3: Over/Under – Over 2.5 goals
The third advised market is Over 2.5 goals. Villarreal have scored 45 goals so far this season, evidencing their offensive threat; while Valencia have conceded 37, which points to defensive frailties that the hosts can exploit. Although both sides have recorded mixed defensive performances in recent matches, the combination of Villarreal’s attacking intent at home and Valencia’s tendency to concede makes a higher-scoring affair plausible. This selection aligns with the expectation that the match will feature multiple scoring opportunities and at least three goals in total. Best odds for Over 2.5 goals at Paripesa.
Statistics for Villarreal CF vs Valencia FC
Villarreal CF team news!
Coach Marcelino has guided Villarreal to third place with 48 points, reflecting 15 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats and a goals tally of 45 scored versus 26 conceded. At home the team are formidable: 9 victories, 1 draw and just 2 defeats, making Estadio de la Cerámica a difficult venue for visitors. In the last five matches across all competitions Villarreal’s form reads 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, indicating some inconsistency but overall competitive results. Their most recent outing resulted in a 1:0 away win at Levante UD, demonstrating defensive solidity when required. Marcelino’s tactical setup typically prioritises structured defence combined with incisive attacking transitions, and his choices at full-back and in midfield will be pivotal to sustain pressure on Valencia. Injuries and rotations may affect selection, but the available statistical profile positions Villarreal as the more stable and reliable side.
Valencia FC team news!
Managed by Carlos Corberán, Valencia occupy 15th place with 26 points from 6 wins, 8 draws and 10 defeats, and a goals record of 25 scored and 37 conceded. Their away record is modest: only 2 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats on the road, highlighting difficulties when playing away from Mestalla. Valencia’s recent form over five matches stands at 2 wins and 3 defeats, with no draws in that sequence, and their last result recorded a 2:0 away victory at Levante UD. Corberán will need to organise his side carefully to limit space for Villarreal’s attackers and to encourage efficient counter-play. Defensive lapses and inconsistency in away performances will be the primary concerns ahead of this fixture.
H2H statistics
The head-to-head record over the last five meetings (all competitions) shows a balanced picture: 2 wins for Villarreal, 2 draws and 1 win for Valencia. The most recent direct meeting finished as a 2:0 away win for Villarreal CF, reinforcing the hosts’ psychological and tactical edge in recent encounters. The H2H data suggests competitive fixtures with a tendency for goals and tight margins.
Last results Villarreal CF
Over the last five matches in all competitions Villarreal have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. The current form indicates a team capable of positive results but not entirely free from lapses. Their most recent result was an away win, which provides momentum as they return to their home stadium.
Last results Valencia FC
Valencia’s last five matches across all competitions produced 2 wins and 3 defeats (no draws). This pattern demonstrates periods of effectiveness interspersed with vulnerability, particularly in fixtures that demand consistent defensive resilience. The visitors will be keen to arrest this inconsistency in one of the toughest away assignments of their season.
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Conclusion
On balance, Villarreal CF enter this fixture as clear favourites. Marcelino’s team combine superior league position, a robust home record, and a more prolific attacking output than Valencia. While Valencia possesses attributes that can trouble strong opponents—chiefly in transition and set-piece scenarios—their away form and negative goal difference reduce the likelihood of an upset. The principal recommendation is a home win for Villarreal (Tip 1, best quoted at 1.77). Complementary selections endorse a match in which both sides find the net (Both Teams To Score — YES, 1.78 Paripesa) and the probability of three or more goals (Over 2.5 goals). As a conservative alternate outcome, a 1:1 correct score is considered a plausible scenario should Valencia’s defensive discipline succeed in limiting Villarreal’s chances, though odds for that exact score were not provided in the supplied data. Overall, expect Villarreal to take the initiative and be the favourite to secure the three points, while Valencia can be expected to contest the match and create scoring opportunities of their own.
