Leeds vs Chelsea Prediction
The Premier League returns to Elland Road on Wednesday, 03.12.2025 (kick-off 11:15 PM GMT +3) for Matchday 14, when Leeds United host Chelsea FC. This fixture pits an under-pressure Leeds side, currently occupying 18th place with 11 points, against a resurgent Chelsea who sit third with 24 points. Leeds have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats overall, scoring 13 and conceding 25; at home they are 2-2-2. Chelsea, by contrast, arrive with a more convincing record of 7 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats, goals 24:12, and an impressive away record of 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat.
Recent form underlines the contrast: Leeds have one win and four defeats in their last five fixtures, while Chelsea are unbeaten in five with three wins and two draws. The clubs met most recently in a 3:2 result that went Chelsea’s way; overall in the last five meetings across all competitions Chelsea have prevailed on four occasions to Leeds’ solitary victory. Daniel Farke leads Leeds United, and Enzo Maresca is the manager of Chelsea FC—both coaches will seek tactical solutions to influence the outcome on Wednesday.
Below follow our betting prediction and detailed reasoning for the recommended markets.
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Betting prediction — Match result (1X2): Away win — Chelsea FC (Tip 2)
Our primary betting prediction is an away win for Chelsea FC (Tip 2). Several factual reasons make this the most logical selection. Chelsea sit considerably higher in the table (3rd) and have a superior goal difference (24:12), indicative of both attacking potency and defensive solidity; their away form is particularly strong (4 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat). Leeds, by comparison, has conceded 25 goals this season and has lost eight matches overall. Additionally, Chelsea enter the fixture in markedly better recent form — unbeaten in their last five matches — while Leeds have struggled, registering only one victory in their last five.
From a tactical standpoint, Chelsea under Enzo Maresca have demonstrated improved cohesion, disciplined defensive transitions and a capacity to control possession in the midfield areas that will limit Leeds’ opportunities. Leeds under Daniel Farke remain a team that can press and create chances, but they have been exposed defensively and may struggle to contain Chelsea’s attacking options over 90 minutes. Best available odds on the 1X2 market (as supplied): Tip 2 (Chelsea) — Betwinner 1.74.
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Tip 2: Both teams score? Yes
Our second betting tip is that both teams will score (BTTS: Yes). Leeds, despite their defensive vulnerabilities, remain capable of creating chances — they have scored 13 goals this season and, at home, enjoy a more proactive approach under Daniel Farke. Chelsea, for their part, have a potent attack and are likely to find the net even when controlling possession. The last direct meeting ended 3:2, and overall the head-to-head history suggests open encounters between these sides. With Leeds forced to take some risks to climb out of the relegation zone and Chelsea comfortable in possession, spaces will be created that favour goals at both ends. Best available odds on the Both Teams To Score market (as supplied): YES — Paripesa 1.76.
Tip 3: Over/Under – Over 2.5 goals
Our third betting prediction is the Over 2.5 goals market. Both teams have reasons to contribute to a higher-scoring game: Leeds’ defensive record (conceding 25 goals) suggests the match could be open, while Chelsea’s attacking figures (24 goals scored) indicate they are likely to score multiple times. The contrasting styles — Leeds’ urgency to attack and Chelsea’s capacity to create chances from structured possession — increase the likelihood of more than two goals being registered. The recent form and historical meetings between the clubs also favour a match in which both sides score and additional goals are produced.
Best available odds on the Over/Under market: Over 2.5 goals is our selection (market odds vary by bookmaker; please consult Betwinner and other providers for the most current price before placing a wager).
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Statistics for Leeds United vs Chelsea FC
Leeds United team news!
Leeds United have struggled to maintain defensive stability this season, conceding 25 goals in 13 matches. Daniel Farke’s side has picked up just 11 points and sits 18th in the table, with a home record that is balanced but uninspiring (2 wins, 2 draws, 2 defeats). Tactically, Leeds often seek to press high and transition quickly into attack; however, that approach has left them susceptible to counterattacks and has resulted in a run of four defeats in their last five matches. With morale and points urgency factors in play, expect Farke to set up a team willing to take risks in pursuit of a positive result at Elland Road.
Chelsea FC team news!
Chelsea FC under Enzo Maresca are enjoying a notably better campaign than in recent seasons. They possess the league’s third-best record and a compact defensive unit that has conceded only 12 goals. Their away performances have been particularly strong, producing four wins from six fixtures. Chelsea’s last match produced a 1:1 draw at home against Arsenal, demonstrating resilience against top opposition. Enzo Maresca will likely prioritize structured possession and controlled build-up play, exploiting Leeds’ defensive vulnerabilities while minimizing transitions against a side that presses high.
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H2H statistics
The recent head-to-head record favours Chelsea, who have won four of the last five meetings across all competitions; Leeds have managed one victory in that sequence and there have been no draws among those five fixtures. The most recent direct encounter finished 3:2 in Chelsea’s favour. Historical patterns between the two clubs suggest open matches with goals at both ends, but recent superiority lies with Chelsea.
Last results — Leeds United
In their last five matches across all competitions, Leeds United have recorded 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats. Their current form is therefore concerning, with defensive frailties and inconsistent attacking returns contributing to their low position in the table. The most recent match was a 2:3 away defeat to Manchester City, which underlines both their willingness to contest high-level opposition and their susceptibility at the back.
Last results — Chelsea FC
Chelsea’s last five matches show a strong sequence of results: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats. Their consistent performances in that span have propelled them to third place in the Premier League standings. The immediate prior fixture ended in a 1:1 home draw against Arsenal, reflecting Chelsea’s competitiveness against top-tier opposition and their defensive resilience.
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Conclusion
In conclusion, Chelsea FC are the clear favourites for this Premier League encounter at Elland Road. Their superior league position, markedly better defensive record, stronger away form and unbeaten run in recent matches all point to an away victory. Leeds United will be motivated and can create chances, particularly at home, but their defensive record and recent sequence of defeats make them the less likely winners. Our recommended match outcome is an away win for Chelsea (Tip 2), complemented by Both Teams To Score — Yes, Over 2.5 goals, and a predicted correct score of 1:2 in Chelsea’s favour. Bettors should verify live odds at Betwinner and other bookmakers before placing stakes, and consider the balance between value and probability when selecting markets.
