Inter Milan vs AC Milan prediction
The Derby della Madonnina returns to the Giuseppe Meazza on Sunday, 23 November 2025, when Inter Milan and AC Milan meet in a high-stakes Serie A encounter on matchday 12. Kick-off is scheduled for 22:45. The fixture pits the league leaders, Inter Milan (24 points), against a resurgent AC Milan side (22 points) that occupy third place. The two clubs arrive with contrasting recent histories in the head-to-head series and closely matched domestic records this season, ensuring that tactical nuance and fine margins may decide the outcome at San Siro.
This preview offers a reasoned betting prediction for the fixture, grounded in current form, home and away records, recent results and the teams’ respective strengths and weaknesses. The match carries additional narrative weight after AC Milan’s 3:0 victory in the most recent meeting, and both managers — Cristian Chivu for Inter and Massimiliano Allegri for AC Milan — will prepare their sides for a contest that could have significant implications for the title race.
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Betting prediction for Inter Milan vs AC Milan
Main Tip: Both teams score? Yes
Given the offensive capacity of both sides and their willingness to press and exploit transitions, it is plausible that both defences will be breached. Inter have registered 26 goals this season, demonstrating consistent scoring ability, while AC Milan have contributed 17 goals and remain unbeaten away (two wins and three draws), showing an ability to find the net even when not winning. The head-to-head recent history includes several high-profile matches where both teams have contributed to the scoreline, and AC Milan’s attacking threat under Massimiliano Allegri remains potent despite occasional defensive lapses. The statistical market for both teams to score favours YES in this context. Best available odd for Both teams to score (YES): Betway at 1.58
Tip 2: DC Inter Milan/Draw
Inter Milan enter the fixture as favourites based on their superior points total (24) and an impressive home record: five wins, no draws and only one defeat at the Giuseppe Meazza. Under Cristian Chivu, Inter have been efficient in attack and resolute defensively, reflected in a goals tally of 26 scored and 12 conceded. Their recent domestic form includes four wins and one defeat in the last five matches across all competitions, and they arrive off a convincing 3:0 home victory over Lazio Roma, which should bolster confidence ahead of this derby. Tactical familiarity, home advantage and current momentum underpin the recommendation of a home victory or draw. Best available odds for (home win or draw): Paripesa at 1.33
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Tip 3: Over 2.5 goals
The expectation is that the match will exceed 2.5 total goals. Inter’s goal-rich approach (26 goals so far) combined with AC Milan’s resilience in attack and unbeaten away form suggests an open contest with multiple scoring opportunities. In addition, derby fixtures historically tend to produce decisive phases in which defensive discipline can be compromised by the emotional intensity and strategic risk-taking of both sets of players. While specific bookmaker odds for the Over 2.5 market were not supplied in the provided data, the statistical profile and recent output of both teams support an Over 2.5 goals selection as a strong secondary prediction. Best available odd for Over 2.5 goals: (not provided in supplied data)
Statistics for Inter Milan vs AC Milan
Inter Milan team news!
Inter Milan top the Serie A table with 24 points after 12 matchdays and have produced eight wins, no draws and three defeats, scoring 26 goals and conceding 12. At home they have been particularly effective, compiling five wins, no draws and one defeat. Cristian Chivu’s side arrive with momentum, reflected in a recent run of four wins and one defeat over their last five matches in all competitions. The manager’s tactical setup has delivered both attacking potency and a generally reliable defensive structure, making Inter the benchmark for consistency in the league thus far.
AC Milan team news!
AC Milan sit third in the table with 22 points, accrued from six wins, four draws and a single defeat; their goal difference is 17:9. Notably, Milan are unbeaten on the road this season with two wins and three draws away from home, a factor that enhances their prospects in the derby. Massimiliano Allegri’s team have been steady and difficult to beat, reflected in their last five matches which produced two wins and three draws — an indication of resilience and the capacity to grind out results even when not at their free-scoring best. Despite the away solidity, Milan will need to overcome the intimidating atmosphere at San Siro and counter Inter’s current domestic form.
H2H statistics
Head-to-head over the last five meetings in all competitions shows Inter without a win: 0 wins for Inter, 2 draws and 3 wins for AC Milan. The last direct meeting resulted in a 3:0 away win for AC Milan, a result that adds an extra edge and psychological dimension to this encounter. Historical patterns in the rivalry suggest that momentum can swing swiftly, and while recent head-to-head statistics favour AC Milan, current season form and home advantage complicate any straightforward conclusion.
Last results Inter Milan
In their last five matches across all competitions, Inter Milan have recorded four wins and one defeat. Their current form is strong, indicating an upward trajectory under Cristian Chivu and an ability to perform consistently at home and in key fixtures.
Last results AC Milan
AC Milan’s last five matches have produced two wins and three draws, with no defeats in that sequence. This run demonstrates resilience and defensive discipline, particularly in away fixtures, which have yielded an unbeaten record to date.
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Conclusion
On balance, Inter Milan are the favourites for this derby. Their superior points tally, potent goal-scoring record and strong home form under Cristian Chivu provide a solid foundation for expecting a favourable outcome. AC Milan, coached by Massimiliano Allegri, remain a relentless and technically skilled opponent, unbeaten away and capable of overturning expectations, but their recent head-to-head success and the psychological advantage from the previous 3:0 victory may be offset by Inter’s current momentum and the support of their home crowd.
The considered result is a narrow home win or draw: Inter 2, AC Milan 1. The primary betting prediction therefore favours Inter Milan to win or draw (Tip 1 at best quoted odd 1.95 on 1xBet). Complementary selections — both teams to score (Yes) and Over 2.5 goals — reflect the expectation of an open, competitive derby with opportunities at both ends. As always, bettors should weigh the published odds, consider in-play dynamics and manage stakes responsibly.
