Azerbaijan vs France Prediction
The 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifying campaign for Europe resumes with a notable Group D fixture as Azerbaijan hosts France on Sunday, 16 November 2025 at 20:00 local time. The match will be played at the Tofig Bakhramov Stadium and represents a critical step for both teams in their respective ambitions: Azerbaijan seeking to lift their fortunes in a difficult group, and France aiming to consolidate top spot and maintain their momentum. France is currently top of Group D with 10 points from four matches (3 wins, 1 draw), while Azerbaijan sits fourth with 1 point from four matches (0 wins, 1 draw, 3 defeats). The visitors arrive with a superior goal difference (9:3) compared with Azerbaijan (2:11), and recent form strongly favours Didier Deschamps’s side.
This preview provides an analytical assessment of the contest and concludes with a set of betting predictions for the fixture. Want to know who’s likely to qualify? Our World Cup Qualifiers 2026 predictions break it all down for you!
Our betting prediction for Azerbaijan vs France
Main Betting Prediction: HT/FT – France/France
France is the clear favourite to claim victory in Baku, and we back them to lead at halftime and win at full-time. Their campaign to date demonstrates consistency: unbeaten after four qualifiers with three wins and one draw, and a goal-scoring proficiency that has yielded nine goals. In contrast, Azerbaijan has struggled to find consistency, with only one point and a heavily negative goal difference. Tactical discipline, individual quality in attacking areas, and superior depth on the bench give France multiple avenues to control and extend the game. Given the pronounced mismatch in squad quality and recent form, the primary betting prediction is an away win for France (Tip 2). Best available odds for this outcome is 1.46 at Betway
Betting Tip 2: Both teams score? No
While France possesses attacking potency, their defence has also been reliable across qualifying fixtures; France has conceded only three goals so far. Azerbaijan has managed only two goals in the campaign and has struggled to convert chances, particularly away from moments of unexpected success. The prediction that both teams will not score (No) is supported by the strength of France’s defensive structure and Azerbaijan’s limited attacking output and creativity. On the head-to-head numbers and form, a French clean sheet is a plausible outcome. Best odds available on the both-teams-to-score market, as provided, are 1.51 for No at Paripesa (with Yes at 2.41), making the No selection both sensible from a sporting perspective and competitive in terms of the betting market.
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Betting Tip 3: Correct Score — 0:4 Away win for France
Predicting an exact score is inherently speculative, yet the data and form point towards a convincing French margin. The suggested correct score from the supplied information is 0:4 in favour of France. This exact-score selection aligns with France’s ability to score multiple goals and keep a clean sheet, and it accounts for the disparity between the sides. While exact-score bets carry longer odds, they reflect the qualitative gap and the recent head-to-head dynamics. The supplied brief names 0:4 as the preferred correct-score outcome; bettors should consult their chosen bookmaker for the precise price and staking strategy.
Statistics for Azerbaijan vs France
Azerbaijan team news!
Standing fourth in Group D with 1 point, Azerbaijan’s qualifying campaign has been challenging: 0 wins, 1 draw, and 3 defeats, with a goal tally of 2 scored and 11 conceded. Their home record shows 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 defeats — indicating that they have yet to register a home victory but have not lost at home in the qualifiers to date. The team’s recent form across all competitions reads 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 defeats in the last five matches, a run that highlights offensive difficulties and defensive frailties. Azerbaijan’s interim manager, Aykhan Abbasov, has employed tactical approaches in recent fixtures that focus on compactness and counterattacks. Still, they have struggled to generate consistent chances and convert them into clinical finishes.
France team news!
France leads Group D with 10 points after four matches, accumulating 3 wins and 1 draw, scoring nine goals while conceding three. Their away record reads 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 defeats, showing effective results on the road. Under the management of Didier Deschamps, France has displayed solidity and depth across qualifying fixtures. Their last competitive outing before this fixture was a convincing 4:0 home win against Ukraine, which underlines their attacking form and confidence. Overall, recent form is excellent — four wins and one draw from the last five matches — and the squad combines experienced internationals and emerging talents capable of controlling games at a high tempo.
H2H statistics
The recent head-to-head record heavily favours France. Across the last three meetings in all competitions, Azerbaijan have no wins and no draws, while France have recorded three victories. The most recent direct encounter ended in a 3:0 home win for France. These statistics underline a clear historical dominance by the French national team and should be considered when assessing the likely pattern of this upcoming fixture.
Last results Azerbaijan
In their last five matches across all competitions, Azerbaijan have recorded 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats. The current form is therefore fragile and indicates a side that has struggled to secure positive results or influence games consistently. Defensive lapses and a paucity of goals have characterised their recent performances.
Last results France
France’s recent form is strong: in the last five matches, they have achieved 4 wins and 1 draw, remaining undefeated. This sequence indicates a team in robust physical and tactical condition, capable of imposing its style and converting chances into decisive outcomes.
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Conclusion
On balance, France enters this fixture as heavy favourites. The combination of superior recent form, a healthier goalscoring record, stronger defensive metrics, and a clean head-to-head history makes an away win the most probable outcome. Azerbaijan’s difficulties in attack and their poor results in recent matches reduce the likelihood of a home upset. Accordingly, the primary prediction favours an away victory for France, accompanied by the expectation that both teams will not score, that the match may produce over 3.5 goals given France’s scoring appetite and Azerbaijan’s defensive woes, and that a correct-score line such as 0:4 is plausible. Bettors should weigh these assessments against available odds and manage stakes responsibly.
