Bulgaria vs Turkey prediction
The World Cup Qualifying match in Europe between Bulgaria and Turkey will take place on Saturday, 11 October 2025 at 21:45 GMT+3 at the Vasil Levski National Stadium. This contest, part of Group E (round 7), sees a Turkish side that has recovered some momentum travelling to Sofia to face a Bulgarian team still seeking its first point in qualification. The historical balance and recent trajectories point to a clear advantage, but the Bulgarian hosts will seek a positive reaction in front of their supporters. The following is a formal betting prediction and match preview based on form, head-to-head data and situational factors.
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Main Betting Tip: Under 2.5 goals
Both sides, as currently constituted and in recent results, are more inclined to a cautious approach in a competitive qualifying fixture. Bulgaria’s problems in attack and Turkey’s preference for controlled possession and selective forward thrusts imply a game with limited clear-cut chances; Turkey also may adopt game management once ahead. Consequently, an outcome with fewer than three goals is the prudent selection. The supplied dataset specifies under 2.5 goals as the target market, although a precise best odds for this selection was not listed among the provided figures.
Betting Tip 2: Both teams score? No
Our secondary betting tip is that both teams will not score. Bulgaria have managed zero goals in the qualification group and their offensive record across recent matches is poor; in their last five fixtures across competitions, they recorded no wins, a single draw and four defeats. Turkey have conceded goals during qualifying and elsewhere, but Bulgaria’s inability to convert chances and Turkey’s defensive organisation under Montella suggest a low likelihood of Bulgaria breaking through. The most favourable market figure provided for the “Both teams to score” market in the supplied data is the NO option at 1.66 with Betwinner, which aligns with the expectation that Turkey will win without Bulgaria scoring.
Check out the BTTS prediction if you are in search of clashes that will yield at least a goal on both sides of the pitch
Betting Tip 3: Correct score 0-2
As a final, more specific prediction, the projected correct score is a 0:2 away win for Turkey. This scoreline reflects Turkey’s capacity to find the net while limiting Bulgaria’s attacking opportunities. It is also consistent with the most recent direct meeting (a 4:0 victory for Turkey) and Bulgaria’s current defensive frailties when required to contend with higher-quality attacking units. The supplied data includes “0:2 Away win for Turkey” as the correct-score selection, though no explicit odd for that exact score was provided. Bettors preferring a higher-return option may consider the 0:2 market where available.
Statistics for Bulgaria vs Turkey
Bulgaria team news!
Bulgaria enter this fixture under the management of Ilian Iliev. The side sit fourth in the group with 0 points after two matches (0 wins, 0 draws, 2 defeats) and a goal differential of 0:6. At home in qualification they have one match recorded with a defeat. Their recent pattern across all competitions reads 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in the last five fixtures, a run that raises concerns about offensive productivity and defensive resilience. The immediate priority for Iliev will be to find a solution to the team’s scoring drought and to shore up organisation on transitions, but given the limited time between fixtures and the psychological pressure of a poor start, any changes may be modest.
Note on most recent match: Bulgaria were beaten 0:3 away by Georgia in their last outing, underscoring the current low ebb in form and the need for an immediate improvement.
Turkey team news!
Turkey are coached by Vincenzo Montella and currently occupy third place in the group with 3 points (1 win, 0 draws, 1 defeat) and a goal tally of 3:8. Their away record in qualifiers reads 1 win, 0 draws, 0 defeats. Turkey’s last five matches across competitions show a positive pattern of 3 wins and 2 defeats, indicating greater consistency than their opponents in recent weeks. Montella’s selection decisions will likely prioritise defensive solidity to protect the group position while exploiting counter opportunities and set-piece situations where Turkey have shown threat. Turkey’s last competitive match resulted in a heavy 0:6 home defeat to Spain, but that single result should be weighed against the broader form line and the different tactical contexts of that fixture.
H2H statistics
Head-to-head over the last five meetings across all competitions favours Turkey strongly: Bulgaria have recorded 0 wins, there were 2 draws and Turkey achieved 3 wins. The most recent direct meeting between these sides ended with a 4:0 victory for Turkey on Bulgarian soil, a result that both evidences Turkey’s superiority in recent encounters and psychologically magnifies Bulgaria’s task in this return fixture.
Last results — Bulgaria
In their last five matches across all competitions, Bulgaria have registered 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats. Their current form is therefore poor, characterised by a lack of victories, limited goal scoring and defensive lapses. This sequence contributes to a cautious outlook for their prospects in this qualifying tie.
Last results — Turkey
Turkey’s last five matches across all competitions show 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats. The overall form line indicates more positive outcomes and greater momentum than their opponents. While the heavy loss to Spain is notable, the aggregate recent results suggest a team capable of delivering the required performance on the road.
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Conclusion
On balance, Turkey are the clear favourite for this fixture. Their superior recent head-to-head record, better form in the last five matches, and one win already recorded in the group argue for an away victory. Bulgaria’s offensive impotence in qualification and poor results under Ilian Iliev make it difficult to forecast a home upset. The most plausible scenario is a Turkish victory with a 0-2 scoreline, which backs the fact that there will be a low total of goals affair with just one side managing to score.
