Burundi vs Kenya prediction
The World Cup Qualifying (Africa) Group F fixture between Burundi and Kenya will take place on Thursday, 09.10.2025 at 16:00 GMT+3. This match carries significance for both sides as they pursue improved positions in a congested group table: Burundi currently occupy fourth place with 10 points from eight matches (3 wins, 1 draw, 4 defeats, goals 13:10), while Kenya sit one position below in fifth with 9 points from eight matches (2 wins, 3 draws, 3 defeats, goals 17:11). Historical encounters and recent form suggest an evenly contested fixture, but subtle differences in momentum and attacking output will shape expectations ahead of kick-off.
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Main Betting Tip: Over 2.5 goals
The two sides have collectively demonstrated an ability to find the net in recent matches (Burundi 13 goals for this campaign, Kenya 17). Kenya’s recent heavy win demonstrates their capability to contribute multiple goals, and Burundi has shown they can score as well—matches between these nations have tended to feature goals historically, as evidenced by an even head-to-head slate. Given Kenya’s offensive potency and Burundi’s occasional defensive lapses (10 goals conceded), the probability of three or more goals in the contest is realistic.
Betting Tip 2: Kenya Win (DNB)
Kenya approaches this fixture having recorded a dominant 5:0 home win in their most recent match, showing they remain capable of producing high-scoring performances and clinical finishing when in form. Although Kenya’s official away record in qualification so far is modest (0 wins, 0 draws, 1 defeat), their recent offensive output (17 goals in the campaign) indicates they can exploit defensive vulnerabilities when they click in the final third. Burundi, despite being unbeaten at home in the league data provided (1 win, 0 draw, 0 defeat at home), arrives off a 0:2 away defeat to Gambia and has been inconsistent overall. The combination of Kenya’s momentum and Burundi’s fragile recent away form makes an away win (DNB) plausible.
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Betting Tip 3: Correct Score 2-2
Our final forecast is a correct score prediction of 1:1. This selection should be viewed as a conservative, value-oriented pick in contrast to the main recommendation. The most recent direct meeting between these nations ended in a 1:1 draw, and their head-to-head history (1 win for Burundi, 3 draws, 1 win for Kenya across the last five meetings) reflects recurring equilibrium and low-decided-margin outcomes. If one prefers a modest stake with an attractive return, a 2:2 correct score remains a logical alternative.
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Statistics for Burundi vs Kenya
Burundi team news!
Manager/coach: – Etienne Ndayiragije
Burundi have accumulated 10 points from eight matches in Group F, with a goal tally of 13 scored and 10 conceded. Their home record in the campaign is currently recorded as 1 win, 0 draws and 0 defeats, suggesting they have been efficient at their own venue in the limited home exposure recorded. Across the last five matches in all competitions Burundi have posted 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, indicating a mixed run of form. The most recent outing was a 0:2 away loss to Gambia, a result that exposed defensive vulnerabilities and momentum issues that the coaching staff will be eager to address on home soil.
Kenya team news!
Manager/coach: – Benni McCarthy
Kenya sit on 9 points from eight group matches and have produced 17 goals while conceding 11, demonstrating a comparatively stronger offensive record across the campaign. Their away record is shown as 0 wins, 0 draws, 1 defeat, though that limited sample does not fully capture Kenya’s potential on the road. In their last five matches across competitions Kenya have achieved 3 wins and 2 defeats, a sequence that highlights periods of strong attacking form interspersed with defensive inconsistencies. Kenya’s most recent result was a resounding 5:0 victory over Seychelles, an encouraging sign for the attacking unit ahead of this fixture.
H2H statistics
Across the last five meetings between Burundi and Kenya in all competitions the head-to-head record reads: 1 win for Burundi, 3 draws, and 1 win for Kenya. The most recent direct encounter finished 1:1, illustrating the competitive and often closely contested nature of matches between these two nations. Historically the pair have tended to produce tight scorelines, with draws occurring in the majority of recent fixtures.
Last results Burundi
In their last five matches across all competitions Burundi registered 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. The current form shows oscillation between positive results and setbacks — a pattern that underlines unpredictability and the potential for both resilience and vulnerability depending on tactical setups and personnel availability.
Last results Kenya
Kenya’s recent five-game sequence comprises 3 wins and 2 defeats, with no draws in that span. The form indicates that Kenya have been capable of producing decisive victories, though they have also been susceptible to surrendering results. Their attacking efficiency is a notable feature of their current form.
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Conclusion
This fixture projects as a finely balanced contest with slight edges in differing departments: Kenya possesses superior recent attacking output and momentum following a convincing victory, while Burundi retains home familiarity and a degree of defensive compactness. Our assessment designates Kenya as the marginal favourites for an away win based on recent scoring form and the potential to exploit Burundi’s inconsistencies. The principal recommendation is an Over 2.5 Goals, while the secondary pick is to be an away victory (DNB) for Kenya, and a conservative correct score forecast of 2:2 for bettors seeking value on a draw. As always, bettors should consider team news, line-ups, and late developments before placing stakes.
