Moldova vs Italy Prediction
The forthcoming World Cup Qualifier for Europe between Moldova and Italy will take place on Thursday, 13.11.2025 at 22:45 GMT+3, staged at Stadionul Zimbru. This fixture from Group I represents a severe challenge for the hosts, who occupy 5th position with 1 point from six matches (0 wins, 1 draw, 5 defeats) and a goal difference of 4:26. Italy are sitting second in the group with 15 points from six outings (5 wins, 0 draws, 1 defeat) and have scored 18 times while conceding 8. Moldova’s home record in the campaign reads 0 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, whereas Italy’s away record is 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat. The nations have met five times in competitive and friendly matches historically: Italy have won all five encounters, including the most recent direct meeting which finished 2:0 in Italy’s favour.
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Main Tip: Over 3.5 Goals
Our primary prediction anticipates a match featuring multiple goals. Italy have demonstrated an ability to generate scoring opportunities in volume during qualifying, while Moldova’s defensive record suggests vulnerability to stronger opponents. Historical head-to-head trends (Italy winning all five direct meetings) combined with Italy’s recent attacking output point towards a fixture where the visitors could produce several goals. The selected market is Over 3.5 goals, reflecting the expectation of a multi-goal affair in which Italy may register a sizable winning margin. The best odds for the Over 3.5 market in this listing were not provided; this best odds for this market is found on Betwinner at 1.84.
Betting Tip 2: Italy Win – Tip 2
Italy enter this fixture in markedly superior form and with a much stronger goalscoring record than their hosts. Over their last five matches across competitions Italy have recorded five wins, whereas Moldova have managed one draw and four defeats in their last five. The visitors’ squad depth, superior individual quality, proven attacking threat and solid recent form indicate they are overwhelmingly likely to take maximum points in Chişinău. Moldova’s home form in this qualifying series — three defeats from three matches — further underscores the disparity. The best odd on Italy to win is 1.20.
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Betting Tip 3: Correct score 0:4
The third and final forecast specifies an exact-score outcome of 0:4 in favour of the visitors. This represents a realistic scenario given the gulf in quality, Italy’s stronger goalscoring form and Moldova’s porous defence. The precise score is naturally speculative and carries long odds, but it is consistent with Italy imposing a comprehensive victory while restricting Moldova to few or no successful attacks. No best-odds reference was supplied for the 0:4 correct-score market in the data provided; interested bettors should check multiple firms for comparative pricing before committing stakes.
Statistics for Moldova vs Italy
Moldova team news!
Moldova arrive in this fixture with 1 point from six matches and a goal tally of 4:26. Their record in the qualification group places them fifth. Recent form is weak: in the last five matches the side have recorded 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats, including a 1:1 away draw in their most recent outing against Estonia. The home record in qualifying shows three defeats from three matches at Stadionul Zimbru. Manager/coach: – (not specified). Moldova will be reliant on compact defensive organisation and counter-attacks, but their margin for error is small against a prolific opponent.
Italy team news!
Italy have accumulated 15 points and occupy second place in Group I, boasting a goals for/against of 18:8. Their away record reads 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat. Recent momentum is strong: five wins from the last five matches across all competitions, the latest being a 3:0 home victory over Israel. Manager/coach: – (not specified). Italy’s combination of tactical discipline, attacking variety and squad depth make them clear favourites, and they will likely approach this match with an ambition to secure qualification momentum and a healthy goal difference.
H2H statistics
The head-to-head ledger is emphatically in Italy’s favour. In the last five meetings across all competitions Moldova have not recorded a single win or draw; Italy have won all five encounters. The most recent direct meeting concluded with a 2:0 victory for Italy. This historical dominance reinforces the analytical expectation that Italy will once again prevail.
Last results Moldova
In their last five matches across competitions Moldova’s recent form reads 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats. The immediate context includes a 1:1 away draw against Estonia, but otherwise the campaign has been characterised by defensive frailty and a scarcity of goals.
Last results Italy
Italy’s last five matches across competitions display 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats. The team’s current formline is excellent, most recently securing a 3:0 home win over Israel, illustrating both attacking potency and defensive solidity.
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Conclusion
On balance, Italy are the clear favourites for the match in Chişinău. Their superior recent form, squad quality, successful head-to-head record and much stronger goalscoring statistics make an away victory the most plausible outcome. Moldova’s difficulties at home in this qualifying campaign and overall defensive record render them unlikely to pose a sustained threat. The principal betting prediction is therefore an over 3.5 goals, Italy away win (Tip 2), and scoreline of 4-0 in favour of the visitors.
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