Morocco vs Congo prediction
The World Cup Qualifying fixture in Africa between Morocco and Congo will take place on Tuesday, 14.10.2025 at 10:00 PM GMT +3. This Group E meeting sees an in-form Moroccan side, already mathematically dominant in the section, receive a struggling Congolese team in a clash which on paper appears highly one-sided. Morocco top the group with 21 points from seven matches — seven wins, no draws and no defeats — and an impressive goal difference of 21:2. Congo, by contrast, sit fifth with a solitary point from five matches, having failed to win and registering four defeats and one draw with goals 4:17. The balance of recent form and historic meetings strongly favours the hosts.
Below we provide our betting predictions for this encounter, offering a main market selection and complementary markets with rationale and the best available odds where supplied.
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Betting prediction — Handicap -2 Morocco Win
Betting prediction: Handicap -2 Morocco Win. Morocco arrive at this fixture undefeated and unbeaten in qualifying, with maximum points and an outstanding goals record. Their home form is perfect in the campaign so far (3 wins from 3 at home), while the visitors have failed to win away and possess a fragile defensive record. Head-to-head history also points overwhelmingly to a Moroccan victory: the last three meetings between these sides have ended in wins for Morocco, including a 6:0 away success in the most recent direct encounter. Given the gulf in class, form and motivation — plus Morocco’s clear need to continue imposing themselves in the group — this market is the most rational primary selection.
Best available odd for Handicap -2 Morocco Win: Paripesa offers 1.44.
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Betting tip — Both teams score? No
Betting tip: Both teams do not score (No). Morocco have conceded only 2 goals in seven qualifying matches, demonstrating a compact and disciplined defensive unit. Congo’s struggles in attack are indicated by their four goals in the campaign and by recent results away from home (no wins, two defeats in away fixtures). Considering Morocco’s defensive solidity and Congo’s limited offensive output, a clean sheet for the hosts is a realistic possibility. Best available odd for Both teams NOT to score: Paripesa offers 1.18 for No.
Prediction — Over/Under: Over 3.5 goals
Prediction: Over 3.5 goals. While the “Both teams do not score” tip anticipates a Congolese shutout, Morocco’s scoring frequency and propensity to win by multiple goals must be recognised. Morocco have averaged three goals per match in the qualifying campaign and have produced high-margin results, including the recent 6:0 meeting. Conversely, Congo’s defensive record (17 conceded) suggests they can be exposed on the counter and by sustained domestic pressure. For bettors seeking a higher-yield market with greater variance, Over 3.5 goals is an attractive proposition because Morocco are likely to score several goals and even a single Congo goal would still keep the market alive. Best available odd for Over 3.5 goals: 1.82 odds on Betwinner.
Betting prediction — Correct score: 4:0 Home win for Morocco
Betting prediction: Correct score 4:0 in favour of Morocco. Projecting a concrete definitive score combines the expectation of Moroccan dominance with the probability of Congo failing to score. The 4:0 scoreline is a realistic outcome given Morocco’s attacking output and propensity to keep clean sheets against weaker opposition. It also aligns with the historical template: Morocco frequently record multi-goal home wins in the qualifying campaign and have previously put sizeable margins past Congo. Best available odd for 4:0 correct score: 5.00 odds on Paripesa.
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Statistics for Morocco vs Congo
Morocco team news!
Morocco enter this fixture as Group E leaders with 21 points from seven matches. Their record reads: 7 wins, 0 draws, 0 defeats, with an aggregate goals tally of 21 scored and 2 conceded. At home they are unbeaten and imperious: 3 wins from 3 in this qualifying cycle. The national team has maintained consistent momentum, registering five wins in their last five matches across competitions; their current form line is W-W-W-W-W. Manager/Coach: – (not specified). Tactical discipline, superior squad depth and a potent forward line make Morocco heavy favourites.
Congo team news!
Congo’s qualification campaign has been deeply problematic. The team occupies fifth place in the group with one point from five matches: 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats, scoring 4 and conceding 17. Their away record in the group reads 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats. Recent form shows no victories over the last five matches across competitions: 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats (D-D-D-L-L form if presented sequentially). Manager/Coach: – (not specified). The side will require a marked improvement both defensively and in transition states to offer a competitive showing.
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H2H statistics
The recent head-to-head history is one-sided. In the last three meetings between Morocco and Congo across all competitions, Morocco has recorded three wins and Congo none. The most recent direct meeting ended in a 6:0 away victory for Morocco, underscoring the gulf between the sides in terms of quality and execution. This historical context amplifies Morocco’s psychological advantage going into the match.
Last results Morocco
In their last five fixtures across competitions, Morocco have recorded five wins, zero draws and zero defeats. The current form is therefore perfect and highly convincing. The most recent match saw Morocco secure a 1:0 home victory versus Bahrain, continuing their winning sequence and defensive resilience.
Last results Congo
Congo’s last five matches across competitions show no wins, three draws and two defeats. Their recent away match concluded in a 1:3 loss to Niger, reflecting continued defensive frailty and an inability to produce decisive attacking outcomes. The overall form trend for Congo is concerning ahead of this visit.
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Conclusion
All available indicators point to Morocco being overwhelming favourites for this World Cup qualifying fixture. Superior form (seven wins from seven in qualifying), a potent attack (21 goals scored), a rock-solid defence (just 2 conceded), an unbeaten home record and an unblemished head-to-head history against Congo combine to make a Moroccan victory the most likely result. Congo’s limited scoring record, porous defence and lack of away success make them unlikely to challenge for points. The recommended primary market is a HC -2 Morocco win (Tip 1), supported by the safer complementary selection that both teams will not score (No). For bettors seeking higher returns, Over 3.5 goals and the exact score of 4:0 in favour of Morocco are plausible alternatives, albeit with greater risk. Overall prediction: Morocco to win comfortably; projected result 4:0.
