Serbia vs Albania prediction
The World Cup Qualifying fixture in Europe between Serbia and Albania will be contested on Saturday, 11 October 2025 at 9:45 GMT+3 at the Marakana. This Group K encounter has important implications for both sides as they bid to consolidate positions in the standings. Serbia arrive on 7 points and occupy third place with a record of two wins, one draw and one defeat and a goals tally of 4:5. Albania sit one place and one point above them with eight points from two wins, two draws and one defeat and a goals difference of 5:3. The last direct meeting between these sides ended 0:0; historically the rivalry has produced evenly fought contests.
We have a collection of World Cup qualifiers 2026 predictions for Africans and individuals from other continents.
Main Tip: DC Serbia/Draw
The principal betting tip for this match is a victory or at least a draw for the home side. Several factors support this selection: Serbia will play at the Marakana, where home support and familiarity with conditions should provide an advantage; their recent five-match form shows resilience with three wins and a draw from five competitive fixtures; and Albania’s away record in the current group stage is uninspiring (no wins, one draw, one defeat). While Albania have accumulated slightly more points overall, their inability to convert away performances into victories suggests Serbia can take the initiative on home soil. The best available odds for a Serbia win or draw are offered by Paripesa at 1.22.
Betting Tip 2: Both teams score? No
The second betting tip is that both teams will not score. This selection rests on defensive considerations and Albania’s mixed attacking effectiveness on the road. Serbia’s defensive organisation under their manager tends to tighten in home fixtures, and Albania have not been especially prolific away from home in the qualifying campaign. Given the cautious nature of encounters between these neighbours and the 0:0 outcome in the most recent direct meeting, a match in which at least one side keeps a clean sheet is plausible. Paripesa lists the best price for “Both teams to score – No at 1.65.
While this is not a both teams to score tip, you can visit our BTTS prediction to view fixtures with a possibility of both sides scoring.
Betting Tip 3: Under 2.5 goals
The third recommended market is under 2.5 goals. This selection is in consonance with the “Both teams not to score” tip, and given the expected competitive nature of matches between these two sides, this option is justified, for those who are likely to lean towards a conservative outcome.
Statistics for Serbia vs Albania
Serbia team news!
Serbia arrive with 7 points from four group matches (two wins, one draw, one defeat) and a goals record of 4:5. At home in the qualifiers they have one win and one defeat so far. Their most recent fixture ended in a heavy 0:5 defeat at home to England in a separate international contest; however, across the last five matches in all competitions Serbia’s form reads three wins, one draw and one defeat. Coach Dragan Stojković will be expected to reorganise his side after the setback and to exploit home support at the Marakana. Defensive stability and a pragmatic approach are likely to be priorities.
Albania team news!
Albania have accrued 8 points from five group matches, with two wins, two draws and one defeat, and a goals tally of 5:3. Their away record in the group stands at zero wins, one draw and one defeat, indicating that their results have been stronger on home soil. Albania secured a 1:0 win in their most recent match against Latvia; overall form in the last five games across competitions is robust, with three wins and two draws and no defeats. Manager Sylvinho will aim to continue the unbeaten recent streak and to frustrate Serbia by staying compact and seeking opportunities on the counter.
H2H statistics
The direct head-to-head record over the last three meetings is balanced: one win for Serbia, one draw and one win for Albania. Their most recent encounter finished 0:0, a result that indicates how tightly contested matches between these neighbours can be. Historically the fixtures have been competitive and tactical, with neither side dominating the other decisively over recent meetings.
Last results Serbia
In their last five matches across all competitions Serbia have recorded three wins, one draw and one defeat. Their current form shows resilience and an ability to secure positive results, despite the notable recent home loss to England which represents a significant outlier in terms of scoreline. On balance, the recent sequence suggests a team capable of bouncing back, particularly when playing before their supporters at the Marakana.
Last results Albania
Over the last five matches Albania are unbeaten, registering three wins and two draws. This run demonstrates consistent performance and an absence of defeats in recent action. The team’s form is therefore encouraging, but their away record in the qualifying group remains a concern and somewhat tempers expectations for an away victory in Belgrade.
Conclusion
Albania hold a slender advantage in the table and bring an unbeaten recent run, but their away form in the group is underwhelming. Serbia, playing at the Marakana under manager Dragan Stojković, possess the home advantage and recent positive results that support confidence of a home victory. Taking these factors into account, Serbia are the favourites for this encounter and the consolidated recommendation is a home win or draw. Complementary picks reflect two plausible match scenarios: a clean sheet for one side (Both teams to score- No) and under 2.5 goals outcome.
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