South Sudan vs Senegal prediction
The 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifying campaign for Africa resumes with an intriguing encounter in Group B as South Sudan host Senegal on Friday, 10 October 2025, with kick-off scheduled for 3:00 PM GMT +3. This fixture pits the group leaders, Senegal (18 points), against a struggling South Sudan side (4 points) near the lower end of the table. The match will draw attention not only because Senegal are favourites to consolidate their position at the summit, but also because South Sudan will be eager to exploit home advantage and collect vital points in a tightly contested group. Our preview assesses form, head-to-head context, likely tactical dynamics and provides a considered betting tip for the game.
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Betting tip for South Sudan vs Senegal
Below we offer our primary betting tip along with three additional selections that complement the main market. The choices reflect current form, defensive records and the psychological gap between the two teams.
Main tip — 1X2: Senegal to win (Away win)
Senegal represent the clear favourite in this fixture. They top Group B with 18 points from eight matches (5 wins, 3 draws) and are yet to taste defeat. Their away record is impressive: two wins and a draw in three matches on the road, and they have a superior goal difference (13:3). South Sudan, conversely, have struggled to score (3 goals in eight matches) and have not recorded a victory at home in qualifying (0 wins, 0 draws, 2 defeats at home so far). The head-to-head history is limited, but the only direct meeting concluded with a 4-0 Senegal victory, underlining the gulf in quality. For these reasons, the most logical 1X2 selection is an away win for Senegal. Best odds on the market: Senegal to win at 1.30 odds on Paripesa.
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Second tip — Both teams to score? No
South Sudan have managed just three goals in eight Group B fixtures and have frequently failed to breach robust defences. Senegal have conceded only three goals themselves across the same period and have demonstrated the ability to control matches, particularly against lower-ranked opponents. Given South Sudan’s low scoring output and Senegal’s propensity to limit opponents, “Both teams to score — No” is a sensible complementary selection. The expectation is that Senegal will restrict South Sudan’s attacking opportunities while scoring at least once themselves. Best odds on the market: BTTS — No at around 1.85 on 1Win.
Third tip — Over/Under: Under 2.5 goals
Combining the defensive solidity of Senegal with South Sudan’s scarcity of goals, the match is likely to be a low-scoring affair. Senegal’s tactical approach in away qualifiers has often been conservative and pragmatic, especially against teams that park deep and play on the counter. South Sudan’s inability to convert chances makes the Under 2.5 goals market appealing. This selection aligns well with the BTTS — No tip and the first-match data available for both teams in qualifying. Best odds on the market: Under 2.5 goals at approximately 1.90 on Paripesa.
Our multibet tips are made of several selected matches that are combined to give you high odds for greater returns.
Statistics for South Sudan vs Senegal
This section summarises key statistics from the qualifying campaign and recent form that inform the analysis above.
South Sudan team news!
Manager: – Nicolas Dupuis
South Sudan approach this fixture with considerable limitations in attack: three goals scored in eight Group B matches and no home victories recorded in qualifying so far. Their recent form is fragile (0 wins, 2 draws, 3 defeats in the last five matches across all competitions), indicating defensive frailties and a lack of consistent goal threat. At home they have not yet managed a point in qualifying (0 wins, 0 draws, 2 defeats), suggesting either tactical naivety against stronger opponents or a squad still developing experience at this level. Expect a compact defensive setup with emphasis on counter-attacks and set-piece opportunities; large-scale rotation is unlikely unless injury issues force changes.
Senegal team news!
Manager: Aliou Cissé –
Senegal enter this match in strong form and with clear momentum, boasting 18 points in Group B and an unbeaten record up to this point (5 wins, 3 draws, 0 defeats). Their away form is sound: two victories and a draw on the road, and they have accumulated a +10 goal difference (13 scored, 3 conceded) across group matches. Recent form is excellent (4 wins, 0 draws, 1 defeat in the last five matches), and the squad benefits from experience, tactical flexibility and attacking options capable of breaking down defensive opponents. Senegal are expected to control possession, press intelligently and exploit transitions to create scoring chances.
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H2H statistics
The head-to-head sample is minimal: only one meeting between the sides in competitive action, which Senegal won 4-0 at home. That result exemplifies the current power balance. Historically there is little direct rivalry or familiarity to suggest South Sudan can surprise; the short H2H record further supports Senegal as clear favourites.
Last results South Sudan
In their last five matches across all competitions South Sudan have registered 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats. The current form indicates a side lacking cutting edge in attack and inconsistent defensive performances. They managed a draw in their most recent outing, which may provide a small confidence boost, but the broader trend remains negative.
Last results Senegal
Senegal have enjoyed a strong run: in their last five matches they have achieved 4 wins and 1 defeat. That sequence demonstrates resilience and the ability to secure results across different opponents and venues. Their recent victory away from home underlines their capacity to perform on the road, an important factor when assessing this fixture.
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Conclusion
On balance, Senegal arrive as unquestionable favourites for the match in Juba. Their superior points tally, unbeaten record in Group B, positive goal difference and strong recent form make them the likely winners on Friday. South Sudan’s difficulties in scoring and lack of home results diminish their prospects and increase the probability of a Senegal victory, likely by a narrow margin. The most prudent forecast is therefore an away win for Senegal, accompanied by expectations of a low-scoring contest and a clean sheet for the visitors. Punters interested in conservative markets should consider Senegal to win, BTTS — No, and Under 2.5 goals as compatible selections that reflect both teams’ recent performances and overall statistical profile.
