Sweden vs Switzerland prediction
The World Cup Qualifying match between Sweden and Switzerland will be played on Friday, 10.10.2025 at 9:45 in the Strawberry Arena. This clash is in the WC-Quali. Europe, Group B (matchday 7), pits Sweden (3rd in the group with 1 point and a goal difference of 2:4) against the group leaders, Switzerland (6 points, 7:0).
Sweden arrive with a mixed start to their qualifying campaign — 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 defeat in the group — while Switzerland have made an emphatic start with two victories. The managers on the touchlines are Jon Dahl Tomasson for Sweden and Murat Yakin for Switzerland. The last direct meeting between the two nations ended in a 1:0 home win for Sweden, and the five most recent encounters overall show a competitive balance: Sweden 2 wins, 2 draws, Switzerland 1 win.
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Our betting prediction for Sweden vs Switzerland
Tip 1: Over/Under – Under 2.5 goals
Despite both sides’ formidable frontlines, we project the match will remain tight and low-scoring — under 2.5 goals. This selection reflects the expectation of structured defensive setups, conservative midfield battles, and the value of a narrow scoreline in a high-stakes qualifier. Sweden’s approach under Tomasson can be pragmatic in home fixtures; Switzerland, despite its attacking prowess, has also demonstrated discipline and may opt for controlled possession rather than open, high-scoring exchanges. Market odds for Under 2.5 goals are at 1.76 with 1win.
Main Tip 2: Home win Sweden (Tip 1)
Sweden to win (1×2: Tip 1) is our secondary betting tip. Although Switzerland topped the group and presented a strong offensive record in qualifying, several factors incline us to back Sweden to claim the three points at Strawberry Arena. Sweden’s coach, Jon Dahl Tomasson, has shown an ability to organise his side defensively, and they enjoy psychological advantages in home fixtures and recent direct encounters, including the most recent meeting, which ended 1:0 in favour of Sweden. Switzerland’s flawless group record is impressive, but their overall schedule and squad rotation risk ahead of this fixture could open a window for a resilient Swedish performance. Best available odds for the 1×2 market: Tip 2 at Paripesa with odds 2.56.
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Tip 3: Correct Score 1:0 for Sweden
Our final betting prediction is a correct score of 1:0 for Sweden. This forecast aligns with the view that Sweden can eke out a narrow victory on home soil — historically plausible given the most recent direct meeting and Sweden’s capacity for organised defending. A 1:0 outcome would satisfy the secondary tip (home win) and the Under 2.5 goals call.
Statistics for Sweden vs Switzerland
Sweden team news!
Sweden sit third in Group B with 1 point, having recorded 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their opening qualifying matches, with a goals tally of 2:4. Home fixtures in the group have not yet produced a meaningful sample for Sweden (home record listed as 0 wins, 0 draws, 0 defeats in the supplied data), so the Strawberry Arena will be the setting for their first impactful home qualifying performance. Coach Jon Dahl Tomasson has recently stabilised the side’s approach, and his selections typically prioritise organisation and pressing discipline. Sweden’s broader form across competitions shows promise: in their last five matches across competitions, they have achieved 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 defeat, indicating decent match rhythm despite the qualifying setback. Their most recent result in qualifying was a 0:2 away loss to Kosovo, which will sharpen their focus for this fixture.
Switzerland team news!
Switzerland led Group B with 6 points and a perfect start in qualifying: 2 wins, 0 draws, 0 defeats, and an excellent goal difference of 7:0. Their away record in the group is recorded as 0 wins, 0 draws, 0 defeats — reflecting scheduling rather than a lack of success. Under Murat Yakin, Switzerland has shown strong cohesion and attacking efficiency; their form across all competitions is outstanding, with five wins in their last five matches. This run underscores their confidence, depth, and ability to control games, although the team may be required to manage rotation and injury considerations across a congested international calendar.
H2H statistics
The last five meetings between Sweden and Switzerland across all competitions are balanced: Sweden 2 wins, 2 draws, and Switzerland 1 win. The most recent direct meeting concluded with a 1:0 victory for Sweden at home. These head-to-head figures indicate that despite Switzerland’s current dominance in qualifying, Sweden has historically been competitive in this matchup and can produce results against their Swiss counterparts.
Last results Sweden
In their last five matches across all competitions, Sweden have registered 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 defeat. This current form line suggests a capable and resilient team that has secured positive outcomes recently, even if their qualifying start has been less favourable.
Last results Switzerland
Switzerland’s recent form is excellent: in their last five matches across all competitions, they have recorded 5 wins, 0 draws, and 0 defeats. This unblemished run highlights their consistency, depth, and ability to convert possession into decisive results.
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Conclusion
Although Switzerland arrive as the nominal favourites on paper — leading the group with two wins and a strong scoring record — Sweden possesses several factors that justify backing them for a home victory in this particular fixture. Sweden’s recent overall form (3-1-1 in the last five), their defensive organisation under Jon Dahl Tomasson, and the psychological edge from recent head-to-head success lend credibility to the selection of a Sweden 1×2 win. Nonetheless, the balance of strengths suggests a tightly contested match; therefore, we project a narrow Swedish victory, most plausibly 1:0, with an expectation that both teams will find opportunities and the overall goals tally will remain below 2.5. Our betting predictions are a home win for Sweden, under 2.5 goals, and a suggested correct score of 1:0 for Sweden.
