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Spain - Georgia
Euro Qualification
Sun, 19.11.2023 – 10:45 PM GMT+3
our main tip:
HT/FT, Spain/Spain

Spain vs Georgia prediction

Spain are top of their Euro qualifying group with 15 points from 6 matches and have already qualified for the tournament proper next year. Nevertheless, they would still be keen to finish as group leaders ahead of Scotland who also have 15 points. More importantly, this match is another chance for players to impress the coach if they want to be part of the final team heading for the Euro tournament.

Georgia are in 4th place with 6 points acquired from their 2 matches against group minnows Cyprus. The other 3 teams in the group have all beaten Georgia, including Spain’s 7-1 win when the two teams met earlier in September. Georgia have good reason to try and get victory in this match as a 3rd place finish is still possible and it may offer a playoff route to Euro 2024.

Still, a Spain victory is the more likely here. Spain is playing at home and are likely to go into halftime with a lead over Georgia in a match that the hosts will surely win easily. This is why our Spain vs Georgia prediction is Halftime/Fulltime, Spain/Spain.

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Main tip: Halftime/Fulltime, Spain/Spain

Our Spain vs Georgia predictions

According to the statistics and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following tips:

Prediction 1: Halftime/Fulltime, Spain/Spain

Spain’s excellent run of 4 wins in their last 4 matches saw them beat every team in the group, including Georgia which they beat 7-1. In that game, Georgia were the home team but Spain were 4-0 up by halftime. Georgia have lost 3 of their last 5 games and are likely to lose this one also. We expect Spain to be dominant from early on, so for our Spain vs Georgia prediction we go for Halftime/Fulltime, Spain/Spain.

Odds for this bet

Mozzartbet offers competitive odds for the bet “Halftime/Fulltime, Spain/Spain”

The odd of 1.48 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 68% chance that Spain will take the lead by halftime and win the match in the end.

Odds comparison for HT/FT, Spain/Spain

Mozzartbet – Odds 1.48
Bet365 – Odds 1.48

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Prediction 2: Over 2.5 Goals

Spain average 3.20 goals per game and Georgia 2.80 goals per game over their last 5 games respectively. Georgia’s last 2 games both ended with at least 4 total goals while Spain’s 2 of their 4 group games also scored 4 or more goals in total. This game is likely to attract many goals in total if the first leg encounter is anything to go by. We pick Over 2.5 Goals as our second tip.

Odds for this bet

1XBet offers competitive odds for “Over 2.5 Goals”

The odd of 1.60 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 63% chance that there will be 3 or more goals scored in this match.

Odds comparisons for Over 2.5 Goals

1XBet – odds 1.60
Betwinner – odds 1.60

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Prediction 3: Over 3.5 Bookings

The last time these teams met, there were a total of 7 bookings, 5 for Georgia and 2 for Spain. Against Norway, Spain collected 4 bookings to their opponent’s 2 while Georgia’s match against Cyprus saw a total of 4 yellow cards, 2 for each team. This upcoming encounter is also likely to have many bookings going by the disciplinary record of both teams. We foresee at least 4 bookings in total.

Statistics for Spain vs Georgia Prediction

H2H statistics

We look at the last 6 matches between these two teams:

  • Spain got 5 wins, Georgia 1 win, there were no draws
  • These matches scored an average of 3.17 goals per match
  • The last time they met, Spain beat Georgia 7-1

Latest results Spain

  • 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 games
  • 16 goals scored in their last 5 games. Average 3.20 goals per game
  • They beat Norway 1-0 in their last match

Latest results Georgia

  • 2 wins and 3 losses in their last 5 matches
  • 14 goals scored in their last 5 matches. Average 2.80 goals per match
  • They beat Cyprus 4-0 in their last match
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Possible squad Spain vs Georgia

Line upSpainGeorgia
GoalkeeperSimonMamardashvili
DefenseCarvajal, Le Normand, Laporte, GarciaLochoshvili, Kvirkvelia, Kashia, Azarovi
MidfieldGavi, Rodri, RuizMamuchashvili, Kochorashvili, Kiteishvili, Kvaratskhelia
ForwardTorres, Morata, FatiChakvetadze, Zivzivadze
MissingNoneNone
CoachLuis de la FuenteWilly Sagnol
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