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Spain - Italy
Euro 2024
Thu, 20.06.2024 – 10:00 PM GMT+3
our main tip:
DC Spain/Draw

Spain vs Italy prediction

Matchday 2 of the Euro 2024 in group B will feature the highly anticipated clash between, two Elite Nations, Spain and Italy at the Veltins Arena. Over the weekend, Spain served us a reminder as to why they are one of the most successful Nations in this competition after they tore Croatia apart in their opening match to cruise to the summit of the group.

Holders, Italy on the other hand, survived an early scare from Albania and went to seal a narrow 2-1 win over them at the Signal Iduna Park on Saturday. This slender victory places the Gli Azurri behind Spain on goal difference.

Both Nations have had a pleasing start to the tournament which in other words means that they are very well-matched. As they lock horns this Thursday, there’s a huge possibility of a close contest but we are backing the La Roja with a little caution. Therefore Our Spain vs Italy prediction is for Spain to either win or draw the match and we recommend the Double Chance Market.

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Main tip: Double Chance Spain/Draw

Our Spain vs Italy predictions

According to the statistics and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following tips:

Prediction 1: DC Spain/Draw

3 reasons why we are predicting DC Spain/Draw:

  • Spain are still yet to lose to Italy since 2021
  • The La Roja have won 3 of their recent 5 games with the Gli Azzurri, losing once and drawing 1.
  • Spain’s 3-0 win over Croatia makes them the better team in this contest.

Odds for this bet

Betwinner offers competitive odds for the bet “DC Spain/Draw”

The odd of 1.32 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 76% chance that Spain would come out of this match with at least a point.

Odds comparison for DC Spain/Draw

Betwinner – odds 1.32
Betboro- odds 1.26

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Prediction 2: Under 3.5 Goals

3 reasons why we back Under 3.5 Goals:

  • 17 of their last 18 H2Hs produced less than 4 goals.
  • Italy conceded just 2 goals in their last five matches, translating to a concession average of 0.40 goals per game.
  • Their H2H goal average is 1.88

Odds for this bet

Betboro offers competitive odds for “Under 3.5 Goals”

The odd of 1.28 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 78% chance that this match will feature less than 4 goals.

Odds comparisons for Under 3.5 Goals

Betboro – odds 1.28
Betwinner – odds 1.24

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Prediction 3: Italy Over 0.5 Goals

3 reasons why we back Italy Over 0.5 Goals:

  • Italy have scored in 4 out of their last 5 games.
  • The Gli Azurri are averaging 1.40 goals per game after netting 7 times in their last 5 matches.
  • Italy scored in 4 of their last 5 meetings with Spain.

Statistics for Spain vs Italy Prediction

Spain’s team news!

  • There is a major injury worry for Spain as Captain, Alvaro Morata went off injured in the 67th minute of the Croatia game. The doubtful absence of Morata will give room for Mikel Oyarzabal against the Gli Azzurri.
  • Apart from Morata’s case, there shouldn’t be much of a change to the squad that crushed Croatia except for a probable introduction of Alejandro Grimaldo ahead of Cucurella in a bid to fortify the La Roja’s attack.

Italy’s team news!

  • In respect to the importance of the La Roja, Luciano Spalleti may consider a little rotation in a bid to double up his team’s guard in the attacking front through the introduction of Genoa winger, Mateo Retegui.
  • Other players to watch are Bastoni, Dimarco, Barella, Pellegrini and Chiesa.

H2H statistics

We take a look at their last 18 meetings

  • Spain have 6 wins, Italy have 6 wins, and 6 games was drawn
  • They scored an average of 1.88 goals
  • The last time they met, Spain won 2-1

Latest results Spain

  • 3 wins, 1 loss, and 1 draw in their last 5 matches
  • 16 goals scored in their last 5 matches. Average 3.20 goals per match
  • They won 3-0 against Croatia during their last match

Latest results Italy

  • 4 wins, and 1 draw in their last 5 matches
  • 7 goals scored in their last 5 matches. Average 1.40 goals per match
  • They won 2-1 against Albania during their last match
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