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Iga Swiatek - Aryna Sabalenka
WTA Madrid Open
Sat, 04.05.2024 – 7:30 PM GMT+3
our tip:
Over 2.5 Sets

Iga Swiatek vs Aryna Sabalenka Prediction

The tennis world could not have asked for a better final at the WTA Madrid Open 2024 as World number 1 Iga Swiatek takes on number 2 Aryna Sabalenka. This is a repeat of last year’s Madrid Open final, which Sabalenka won 2-0 and no doubt Swiatek would love to have some revenge this time round. Swiatek leads the head-to-head stats 6-3 against Sabalenka, but it is Sabalenka who won the last time they met in December last year, which was at the World Tennis League (WTL) in the United Arab Emirates.

Polish girl Iga Swiatek did not have a good start to the year, but she has since recovered her form and won two WTA 1000 tournaments already. Swiatek ahs breezed through this year’s Madrid Open, dropping only 1 set in the 5 games she has played so far. In the semi-final, the Pole beat Madison Keys 2-0 (6-1, 6-3) in another dominant display that leaves her as favorite going into this final.

Aryna Sabalenka started the year well with a successful defense of her Australian Open title but since then her form has dipped. The Belarusian has shown signs of regaining her form at this year’s Madrid Open, but still 3 of her 4 matches had to go to 3 sets before she won. In the semi-finals, Sabalenka beat Elena Rybakina 2-1 (1-6, 7-5, 7-6), but was completely outplayed in the 1st set and had to work hard to eventually win the match.

This is a match between two of the best women tennis players today, and both have shown good form going into this tournament. Add the growing rivalry between them, we expect a hard-fought match that is likely to be decided in 3 sets. Hence, our Iga Swiatek vs Aryna Sabalenka prediction is Over 2.5 Sets.

Tip: Over 2.5 Sets

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Head-to-Head stats Iga Swiatek vs Aryna Sabalenka

These two players have met 9 times before:

  • Swiatek won 6, Sabalenka won 3
  • The last time they met Sabalenka won 1-0 (6-4) under special rules

Latest results Iga Swiatek

  • 5 wins in her last 5 matches
  • 31-4 win-loss record this season
  • She beat Madison Keys 2-0 (6-1, 6-3) in the semi-final

Latest results Aryna Sabalenka

  • 5 wins in her last 5 matches
  • 20-5 win-loss record this season
  • She beat Elena Rybakina 2-1 (1-6, 7-5, 7-6) in the semi-finals

ATP Rankings

  • Ranking from: Sat, 04.05.2024
  • Iga Swiatek: # 1
  • Aryna Sabalenka: # 2
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Our tip and odds in detail

According to the statistics above and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following:

Bet on Over 2.5 Sets

Paripesa offers the best odds for the bet “Over 2.5 Sets
The odd of 2.60 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 38% chance that there will be more than 2 sets in total in this match.

Odds comparison for Over 2.5 Sets

Paripesa – odd 2.60
Betwinner – odd 2.60

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