Lesotho vs Nigeria prediction
The World Cup Qualifiers for Africa return on Friday, 10 October 2025, with a Group C fixture that pits Lesotho against Nigeria at 7:00 PM GMT +3. This encounter carries important implications for both sides: Lesotho seek to climb from the lower reaches of the group while Nigeria aim to consolidate their position among the challengers for qualification. Group C currently sees Lesotho sitting fifth with 6 points from their campaign so far, whereas Nigeria occupy third place with 11 points. The recent history between the two nations favors Nigeria, but recent form and situational factors will be examined in the preview and betting tip that follows.
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Our betting tip for Lesotho vs Nigeria
Main betting tip — 1X2: Double Chance – Nigeria/Draw
Nigeria are the emerging favourites for this fixture. Their superior points tally in Group C (11 points versus Lesotho’s 6), a positive head-to-head record (four wins and one draw in the last five meetings), and a generally stronger squad depth point toward a victory on the road. While Nigeria have drawn frequently in this qualifying campaign, their ability to secure results against mid- and lower-table opponents has been evident. Lesotho’s record of just one win, three draws and four defeats, alongside a particularly modest goals record (4 scored, 12 conceded), suggests they will struggle to contain Nigeria’s attacking options across 90 minutes. For bettors seeking a safe and sure selection, backing Nigeria in the double chance market is the most logical primary choice. Best estimated odds on this market: DC – Nigeria/Draw will be available soon on Betwinner.
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Both teams score? Yes
The “Both Teams to Score” market merits consideration for this match. Nigeria have conceded seven goals in the qualifying campaign, and although their defence is generally stronger than Lesotho’s, they are not invulnerable. Lesotho, despite a low scoring total (four goals in the group), have demonstrated the capacity to find the net on occasion — notably their recent head-to-head draw with Nigeria ended 1:1. Given Nigeria’s tendency to play forward and Lesotho’s willingness to commit players to attack especially at home, a scenario where both sides score is plausible. This selection also offers diversity to complement a straight win pick on Nigeria. Best estimated odds on this market: Both teams to score — Yesat 1.80 on Paripesa.
Over/Under — Under 2.5 goals
For a goals market, Under 2.5 goals is the recommended selection. While Nigeria possess attacking talent, their qualifying record includes numerous low-scoring draws, and Lesotho’s matches have frequently featured defensive lapses offset by a lack of prolific finishing. The aggregate goals profile for both teams in Group C indicates conservative outcomes are common: Lesotho’s matches have not produced high scoring tallies and Nigeria’s string of draws suggests tightly contested affairs. Therefore, a compact encounter producing one or two goals is a credible expectation. This market also aligns with the reality that Lesotho’s home record has not been conducive to high-scoring thrillers. Best estimated odds on this market: Under 2.5 goals ~ 1.95.
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Statistics for Lesotho vs Nigeria
Lesotho team news!
Lesotho enter this fixture with a tally of 6 points in Group C, placing them fifth in the table. Their record stands at 1 win, 3 draws and 4 defeats overall, with a goals balance of 4 scored and 12 conceded. The home record is particularly concerning: Lesotho have failed to register a victory at home in the current qualifying cycle, collecting a single draw and suffering two defeats. The team’s recent form is fragile; in their last five matches across all competitions they have managed only one victory against four defeats. In their most recent outing they suffered a heavy 0:4 away loss to Benin, an indication that defensive frailties can be exploited by well-organised opponents. Manager/coach: -.
Nigeria team news!
Nigeria sit third in Group C with 11 points, accrued from 2 wins, 5 draws and a solitary defeat, and a goals tally of 9:7. Their away record is mixed but competitive, consisting of 1 win, 1 draw and 1 defeat. Over their last five fixtures across all competitions, Nigeria have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, demonstrating occasional inconsistency but maintaining an overall positive momentum relative to Lesotho. Their most recent match ended in a 1:1 draw away to South Africa, showing they can score on the road but also that they are not immune to conceding.
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H2H statistics
The head-to-head record over the last five meetings between Lesotho and Nigeria is emphatically in Nigeria’s favour: Nigeria has won four of those five fixtures, with the remaining encounter finishing as a draw. The most recent direct meeting concluded in a 1:1 draw, illustrating that while Nigeria holds historical dominance, Lesotho is capable of producing intermittent resistance and even scoring against the West Africans. This historical perspective reinforces Nigeria’s status as favourites, though past results also recommend caution for heavy expectations of large scorelines.
Last results Lesotho
In their last five matches, Lesotho have recorded 1 win and 4 defeats; there were no draws in that sequence. Their immediate form can therefore be classified as poor and inconsistent, with defensive vulnerabilities exposed in recent outings. The comprehensive 0:4 defeat to Benin is the most recent indicator of their struggles against stronger opposition.
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Last results Nigeria
Nigeria’s last five matches have produced 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. This sequence signals a degree of fluctuation but an overall capacity to attain positive results. The latest fixture, a 1:1 draw with South Africa, shows a tendency toward closely contested matches rather than runaway victories.
Conclusion
In conclusion, Nigeria arrive as the favourites for this World Cup Qualifier encounter. Their superior standing in Group C, stronger head-to-head record, and greater scoring potential underpin that assessment. Lesotho’s home form and recent heavy defeat indicate vulnerabilities that Nigeria are well placed to exploit. The recommended outcome is a double chance – Nigerian or draw, with supporting markets inclined towards Both Teams to Score — Yes and Under 2.5 goals. Bettors should, as always, consider team news and any last-minute changes to line-ups before placing wagers.
