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Mali - Ghana
CAF World Cup Qualifiers
Thu, 06.06.2024 – 10:00 PM GMT+3
our main tip:
Under 3.5 Goals

Mali vs Ghana prediction

Mali’s World Cup journey started well with two wins in their opening group games. The arrival of head coach Eric Chelle has led to victories against teams like Nigeria, South Africa, and Guinea. Their home form has been particularly strong, with just one loss in their last five home games. Mali has won their last two games and scored at least 2 goals in each of their last 4 games, putting them in a good position to secure their third group win.

On the contrary, the Black Stars of Ghana are currently struggling after losing their first two group games. They are in 4th place with no points and have only scored 1 goal so far. the rut extends to Ghana’s last 5 games, where they’re winless with 2 draws and 3 losses. Atto Addo and the Black Stars must avoid defeat if they want to qualify for the World Cup 2026. With Ghana’s star-studded line-ups which include the;ikes of Mohammed Kudus, Thomas Partey, Tariq Lamptey, and Jordan Ayew, the head coach, Atto Addo has very arsenal within his squad to navigate the Black Stars of Ghana into a desirable result.

While Mali has scored 4 goals in 2 group games, Ghana has struggled in front of goal with only 1 goal in two group games. Mali is the better side in this match-up, but we can’t underestimate Ghana’s star-studded line-up. As such we anticipate a closely contested game and our Mali vs Ghana prediction will lean towards an under 3.5 goals!

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Main tip: Under 3.5 Goals

Our Mali vs Ghana predictions

According to the statistics and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following tips:

Prediction 1: Under 3.5 Goals

3 reasons why we back the game to feature less than 4 goals:

  • Mali’s last 8 matches produced an average of 2.00 goals per game
  • Ghana’s last 6 games also featured an average of 2.10 goals per match
  • Their last 5 direct meetings produced only a 2.00 goal average per match

Odds for this bet

Betboro offers competitive odds for the bet “Under 3.5 Goals”

The odd of 1.29 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 78% chance that this game will feature less than 4 total match goals.

Odds comparison for Under 3.5 Goals

Betboro – odd 1.29
Betwinner – odd 1.29

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Prediction 2: Both Teams to Score – No

3 reasons why we predict only one or no team to score:

  • 4 of their last 5 H2Hs saw only one team scoring
  • Mali’s had two clean sheets in their recent home games
  • Ghana has scored only 1 goal in their last 2 group games

Odds for this bet

Paripesa offers competitive odds for “Both Teams to Score – No”

The odd of 1.93 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 52% chance that only one or no team will find the back of the net in this match.

Odds comparisons for Both Teams to Score – No

Paripesa – odd 1.93
Betboro – odd 1.92

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Prediction 3: DC Mali/Draw

3 reasons why we back Mali to avoid defeat:

  • Mali has lost only 1 game in their last 12 matches (8W, 3D, 1L)
  • Mali has won 3 of their last 4 home games, including their last two consecutive wins
  • Ghana is winless in their last 5 games (2 draws and 3 losses)

Statistics for Mali vs Ghana Prediction

Mali’s team news!

  • Yves Bissouma, the midfielder for Brighton and Mali, is the only player sidelined ahead of the World Cup Qualifiers due to a shoulder injury that kept him out for most of the season
  • Eric Chelle’s roster has a blend of local and international players, which includes the likes of Amadou Haidara from Leipzig, Mohamed Camara from Monaco, Samassekou from Cadiz, Koita from Salzburg, and Troure from Atalanta who are all fit to feature against Ghana.

Ghana’s team news!

  • Atto Addo’s 26-member squad will include some standout players from the Premier League, such as Tariq Lamptey from Brighton, Mohammed Kudus, the midfield sensation from West Ham, Thomas Partey, from Arsenal, and Jordan Ayew from Crystal Palace
  • Ghana’s former captain, Andre Ayew, and Abdul Baba Rahman are the key left-outs in Atto Addo’s 26-member squad – a great miss for fans who loved the captain’s relentless spirit!
  • Ahead of the upcoming match, Ghana is facing an extensive injury list, with several key players including Inaki Williams, who would have been aiming for his first national goal
  • Other players on the treatment table are Baba Iddrisu, Majeed Ashimeru, Joseph Paintsil, Nathaniel Adjei, Denis Odoi, and Daniel Amartey

H2H statistics

Let’s take a look at their last 5 meetings.

  • Mali won 2 matches, Ghana won 3 games, and 3 matches were drawn
  • They scored an average of 2.00 goals per match
  • The last time they met, Ghana won by a 1-0 score

Latest results Mali

  • 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches
  • 7 goals scored in their last 5 matches. Average 1.40 goals per match
  • They won 2-0 against Nigeria during their last match

Latest results Ghana

  • 2 draws, and 3 losses in their last 5 matches
  • 6 goals scored in their last 5 matches. Average 1.20 goals per match
  • They lost 2-1 to Nigeria during their last match
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