Malta vs Netherlands prediction
The FIFA World Cup 2026 qualifying fixture in Europe between Malta and the Netherlands will take place on Thursday, 09.10.2025 at 9:45 GMT+3. This Group G encounter will be staged at the National Stadium, where Malta will attempt to claim points against a Netherlands side currently leading the group. Malta occupy fifth place with 2 points from their opening five matches, while the Netherlands sit at the top of Group G with 10 points from four matches. The head-to-head record is emphatically in favour of the visitors: the Netherlands have won all four prior meetings, including the most recent direct encounter, an 8:0 victory.
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Main Tip: Over 3.5 Goals
This match presents a strong prospect for a high aggregate number of goals because of the Netherlands’ ability to score multiple times. The Dutch have averaged more than three goals per game in the group stage and have previously inflicted heavy defeats on Malta, including the 8:0 result in their last meeting. Malta’s defensive record (12 goals conceded in five qualifying matches) indicates they are likely to concede repeatedly against superior attacking opposition. Thus, a market such as Over 3.5 goals accommodates the scenario of a dominant Dutch performance with multiple goals, even if Malta do not add to the scoreline themselves, and the best odds are available at 1.82 on Betwinner.
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Betting Tip 2: Both teams score? No
While the Netherlands possess significant firepower, their defensive record in qualifying has been solid relative to Malta’s anemic attack. Malta have scored only one goal in five group matches, which suggests they may struggle to breach a Dutch defence that has conceded only three goals in the competition so far. The Netherlands’ superiority in possession, tactical organisation under coach Ronald Koeman and the likely dominance in territory and chances reduces Malta’s opportunities to score. Therefore, the “No” selection in the Both Teams To Score market is appealing, particularly when paired with a confident away win and the odds can be found priced at 1.32 on Betwinner.
Betting Tip 3: Netherlands Win – Tip 2
The Netherlands enter this fixture as clear favourites. Their campaign to date has produced three wins and one draw, with an impressive goal difference of 14:3. They have also demonstrated strong form on the road, recording two away victories in the group thus far. Conversely, Malta have failed to register a victory in qualifying, with only two draws and three defeats and a goal tally of just 1:12. The historical context amplifies the visiting side’s superiority: four head-to-head wins in as many matches and an 8:0 triumph in the most recent meeting underscore the gulf in class. Given the Netherlands’ attacking potency and Malta’s defensive vulnerabilities, an away victory is the most probable outcome.
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Statistics for Malta vs Netherlands
Malta team news!
Malta enter the fixture in a difficult position within Group G. The squad has accumulated 2 points from five matches, with a record of 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats, and a goal tally of 1 scored against 12 conceded. Their home record to date reads 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. The team’s coach is listed as “-” in the provided data, indicating that either the coach is not specified in this brief or there is no change to report here. Malta’s recent form across all competitions shows one victory, two draws and two defeats in their most recent five matches. The current form suggests occasional resistance but persistent defensive frailties and a limited attacking output.
Netherlands team news!
The Netherlands are managed by Ronald Koeman and lead Group G with 10 points from four matches, compiled from three wins and one draw, leaving them unbeaten in qualifying to date. Their goal tally of 14 for and 3 against demonstrates a potent attack combined with a generally reliable defence. The Dutch away record is particularly notable, with two wins from two away fixtures in the campaign. In their last five matches across competitions the Netherlands have registered three wins, one draw and one defeat, which indicates a strong and relatively consistent run of results under Coach Koeman.
H2H statistics
The head-to-head record between Malta and the Netherlands is overwhelmingly in favour of the visitors. Across the last four meetings in all competitions, Malta have failed to secure a win or a draw, while the Netherlands have claimed victory on each occasion (0 wins Malta, 0 draws, 4 wins Netherlands). The most recent direct meeting resulted in an 8:0 win for the Netherlands — a result that highlights the historical mismatch between the two sides and sets expectations for the upcoming fixture.
Last results Malta
In their last five matches across all competitions Malta have recorded 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats. This pattern indicates intermittent positive outcomes but overall inconsistent form. The team’s current form shows some capacity to earn points against lower-ranked opposition, yet their offensive output remains severely limited and defensive lapses are frequent.
Last results Netherlands
The Netherlands have compiled 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their previous five matches across competitions. This sequence reflects a strong competitive level and underlines their position as favourites in Group G. Their recent matches have demonstrated offensive efficiency and tactical balance under Ronald Koeman’s stewardship.
Conclusion
All considered, the Netherlands are clear favourites for the encounter at the National Stadium. Their superior group position, goal-scoring record, unbeaten qualifying run to date and commanding head-to-head history against Malta underpin this assessment. Malta’s limited attacking output and porous defence render them vulnerable to a decisive Dutch victory. However, our primary betting tip is that we are backing both teams to record at least four total goals between them, both teams not to score, and finally, a Dutch victory in this encounter.
