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Egypt - Ethiopia
AFCON Qualifiers
Fri, 08.09.2023 – 7:00 PM GMT+3
our main tip:
Under 2.5 Goals

Egypt vs Ethiopia prediction

With qualification for the 2023 AFCON already in the bag, Group D leaders Egypt will be looking to get their pound of flesh when they welcome Ethiopia to the 30 June Stadium (Cairo) for their final group match this Friday. The Pharaohs have 4 Wins and 1 loss from the 5 qualifiers thus far. That one loss incidentally came against Ethiopia on matchday 2. That loss did indeed spark them to turn up the ante and go on a three-game winning streak: back-to-back wins over Malawi and a narrow 2-1 away win in Guinea. They will look to finish the qualifiers with aplomb here.

Despite claiming the scalp of the hosts and group leaders when they faced off in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia have had nothing else worth writing home about. They are rock bottom in the group, tied on just 4 points with Malawi, but with an inferior head-to-head record against them. They played to a goalless stalemate with them last time out when they hosted them but lost 2-1 in Lilongwe in the opening group game. The Walia will need to be at their best if they are to avoid a backlash from the hosts who have revenge on their minds.

When we come to Egypt v Ethiopia predictions, it is impossible to ignore Egypt’s home form They have been terrific at home and hardly ever allow their opponents to get any momentum. Ethiopia will find the going very tough and they will therefore resort to try and keep things tight. As a result, we do not expect a goalrush here though we feel Egypt will be content to get a win of any kind.

Make some quick quids during this international break with our AFCON betting tips for this coming round of matches!

Main tip: Under 2.5 Goals

Our Egypt vs Ethiopia predictions

According to the statistics and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following tips:

Prediction 1: Under 2.5 Goals

With Egypt already through to AFCON 2023 and Ethiopia bottom of the group with no chance to qualify, the level of intensity in this game is not likely to be high. The hosts will be content with a simple win while the visitors will be out to do some damage limitation. The Walia have also struggled on their travels, with just one goal in their last 5 away matches. We are therefore backing this game to have not more than 2 total goals scored with attractive prices for this option available at 1xBet.

Odds for this bet

1xBet offers competitive odds for the bet “Under 2.5 Goals”

The odd of 2.20 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 45% chance that this match will have no more than 2 goals scored

Odds comparison for Under 2.5 Goals

1xBet – odd 2.20
Betwinner – 2.10

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Prediction 2: BTTS No

A quick look at Egypt’s home performances gives you a synopsis of what to expect in this game. They have kept a clean sheet at home in their last 6 straight home matches. Going back in the history of the H2H encounters, they have also kept a clean sheet in all 4 matches at home against Ethiopia. With the hosts looking to finish the qualifiers with a solid win, and the visitors struggling in front of goal, we do anticipate both teams getting onto the scoresheet here. Look around and place your bets for this game to have either one or both teams not scoring with terrific odds for this available at Melbet

Odds for this bet

Melbet offers competitive odds for “BTTS No”

The odd of 1.50 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 67% chance that either one or both teams will fail to score in this game

Odds comparisons for BTTS NO

Melbet – odd 1.50
1xBet – odd 1.48

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Prediction 3: Egypt Win

The Pharaos have been on form since losing to Ethiopia. They sealed qualification with a three-game winning streak in the group. There is also that little matter of payback against the visitors who inflicted on them their only defeat of this campaign earlier on. At home, as we have already outlined, they have been absolutely ruthless with an imperious record of 20 wins, 4 draws, and just 1 loss in their last 25 matches across all competitions going back to November 2018. We expect that trend to hold here and we are backing them to pick up the win in this match.

Statistics for Egypt vs Ethiopia Prediction

H2H statistics

Looking at the last 8 matches between these teams:

  • Egypt dominate with 5 wins, Ethiopia have just one win, 2 matches were drawn
  • These matches scored an average of 3.13 goals per match
  • The last time they met Ethiopia won 2-0

Latest results Egypt

  • Won the last 5 straight matches
  • 13 goals scored in their last 5 matches. Average 2.60 goals per match
  • Beat South Sudan 3-0 in their last match

Latest results Ethiopia

  • 2 wins, a draw and 2 losses in their last 5 matches
  • Just 5 goals scored in their last 5 matches. Average 1.00 goals per match
  • Beat Guyana 2-0 in their last match
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Possible squad Egypt & Ethiopia

Line upEgypt Ethiopia
GoalkeeperEl ShenawyHabtamu
DefenseHany, Mossad, Abdelmonem, SharafAdugna, Tamene, Baye
MidfieldZizo, Attia, HamadaMarkneh, Yohannes, Bekele, Yesuf
ForwardTrezeguet, Mohamed, MarmoushBelay, Taddese, Shubisa
InjuredNoneNone
CoachRui VitoriaDaniel Gebremariam

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