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Italy - Netherlands
UEFA Nations League
Wed, 14.10.2020 – 8:45 PM GMT+2
our main tip:
DC Italy or Draw

Italy vs Netherlands Uefa Nations League 14.10.2020

On paper, this is supposed to be an exciting encounter between two of Europe’s top footballing teams. However, recent results point to a potentially dull affair.  Italy has managed only 2 goals in their last 3 UEFA Nations League matches. The Netherlands are even worse off with only 1 goal in their last 4 games. The Oranje are traditionally known for their attacking football but this time round things are not working upfront. Italy is also lacking in sharpness in competitive games. In their respective games before this fixture, both teams registered a 0-0 draw. All these point to a tight, low-scoring game. Italy are slightly better and might grind a win.

Main tip: Double Chance Italy or Draw  (go to tip details)

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Head-to-Head stats Italy vs Netherlands

We take a closer look at the stats of the last 22 matches between these teams:

  • Italy has 10 wins. Netherlands has 3 wins. 9 matches ended in a draw
  • On average these matches scored 2.72 goals per match
  • Italy won 1-0 in their last meeting

Latest results Italy

  • 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 matches
  • 17 goals scored in the last 5 matches. Average of 3.40 goals per match
  • Drew 0-0 with Poland in their last match

Latest results Netherlands

  • 2 wins, 2 losses, and 1 draw in the last 5 matches
  • 6 goals scored in the last 5 matches. Average of 1.20 goals per match
  • Drew 0-0 with Bosnia & Herzegovina in their last match

UEFA Nations League A Group 1 standings and latest results

Italy: rank 1st – 3 matches – 1 win – 2 draws – 0 losses – 5 points
Form Guide: D-W-D

Netherlands: rank 2nd – 3 matches – 1 win – 1 draw – 1 loss – 4 points
Form Guide: D-L-W

Possible squad Italy

Italy: Donarumma; Lazzari, Mancini, Acerbi, Biraghi; Locatelli, Cristante, Bonaventura; Berardi, Caputo, El Shaarawy

Out: Insigne, Meret and di Lorenzo (Coronavirus protocols)

Coach: Roberto Mancini

Possible squad Netherlands

Netherlands: Krul; Hateboer, de Vrij, van Dijk, Wijndal; Wijnaldum, van de Beek, Koopmeiners; Berghuis, Depay, Babel

Out: None

Coach: Frank de Boer

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Our tip(s) and odds in detail

According to the statistics above and the odds of the bookmakers, we suggest the following:

1) Bet on Double Chance Italy or Draw

Bet365 offers the best odds for the bet “Double Chance Italy or Draw”
The odd of 1.39 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 72% that Italy will win or draw in this game

Odds comparison for Double Chance Italy or Draw

Bet365 – odd 1.39
Betfair – odd 1.38
22Bet –  odd 1.38
Sportybet – odd 1.38

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2) Bet on Goal Under 2.5

  • 4 out of the last 5 meetings between these teams under with under 2.5 goals
  • Netherlands have not scored in their last 3 games
  • Both teams failed to score in their respective last matches

Odds for this bet

Blackbet have the best odds for “Goal Under 2.5″

The odd of 1.90 means that the bookmakers are calculating with a likelihood of approx. 53% that not more than 2 goals will be scored in the game

Odds comparisons for Goal Under 2.5

Blackbet – odd 1.90
Betfair – odd 1.88
22Bet – odd 1.87
Bet9ja – odd 1.86

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